Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-10-23 (Fri)

universe 1586 · latest daily bar 2026-10-23 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 10 · COILING 23 (cohering 17 / diverging 3) · FRESH_BREAK 1

🌐 REGIME — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

beach-mode — most coils fail here; sit on hands or G/0R only today 58↑ / 57↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance +176 · T2108 55% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-10-22)

⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $CNC, $EPC, $SHOP, $MEDP, $TREX, $KSS, $SBH, $FTRE
🆕 NEW setup: $HOG, $FDS
🌀 new coil: $MUR, $FIVN
↩️ flipped diverging→cohering: $QLYS
➖ dropped out: $CDW, $RELY, $OSCR, $ENR, $TRU, $CNMD, $CRL, $BGC, $CVI, $ASO

🚦 Gate — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

Beach-mode — longs HEAVILY suppressed: only the most decisive G/0R survive, and even those swim against the tide. Most coils FAIL here. Learn/watch tape, not a buy tape. regime gate suppressed 8 cohering coil(s) that weren’t decisive enough for this tape.

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs (lead this regime)

$SBH (-2.9% from high) — 4G/5R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$COKE (-7.4% from high) — 2G/3R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⭐ Worth a real look (secondary — fakes lead this regime)

$TALO (-1.8% from high, 3%/day, +30% 3mo) — 7G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high
$MEDP (-2.2% from high, 3%/day, +14% 3mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 5G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
$TREX (-1.4% from high, 3%/day, +15% 3mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 5G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

$TREX -1.4% 3.2%/day 3mo +15% $ 68M 5G/0R accu COHERING
$MEDP -2.2% 3.4%/day 3mo +14% $ 169M 5G/2R accu COHERING
$CNC -3.2% 3.0%/day 3mo +10% $ 260M 4G/1R accu COHERING
$FTRE -4.9% 4.9%/day 3mo +23% $ 39M 4G/2R accu COHERING
$EPC -6.3% 3.1%/day 3mo +1% $ 14M 4G/3R accu COHERING
$HOG -1.1% 3.5%/day 3mo +17% $ 47M 4G/2R neut MIXED
$FDS -2.5% 3.7%/day 3mo +25% $ 178M 2G/0R accu MIXED
$KSS -2.5% 4.8%/day 3mo +33% $ 86M 3G/1R accu MIXED
$SHOP -7.4% 3.4%/day 3mo +33% $ 1181M 3G/2R neut MIXED
$SBH -2.9% 3.2%/day 3mo +16% $ 21M 4G/5R dist DIVERGING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

$MUR -1.5% 3.2%/day 3mo +18% $ 65M 0G/1R dist DIVERGING
$SBH -2.9% 3.2%/day 3mo +16% $ 21M 4G/5R dist DIVERGING
$COKE -7.4% 3.1%/day 3mo +9% $ 92M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

$QLYS -1.1% 4.4%/day 3mo +61% $ 130M 5G/3R accu COHERING
$DFIN -1.4% 3.2%/day 3mo +10% $ 12M 5G/0R accu COHERING
$TALO -1.8% 3.4%/day 3mo +30% $ 47M 7G/3R accu COHERING
$CNK -2.1% 3.2%/day 3mo +18% $ 66M 2G/2R accu COHERING
$NSP -2.6% 4.1%/day 3mo +8% $ 21M 5G/1R accu COHERING
$CVLT -3.2% 3.8%/day 3mo +13% $ 91M 6G/1R accu COHERING
$SM -3.5% 3.4%/day 3mo +32% $ 86M 1G/0R accu COHERING
$UTHR -3.6% 3.5%/day 3mo +11% $ 406M 3G/2R accu COHERING
$SIG -4.5% 3.3%/day 3mo +22% $ 83M 3G/0R accu COHERING
$RVTY -4.5% 3.9%/day 3mo +47% $ 235M 5G/3R accu COHERING
$ETSY -4.6% 3.6%/day 3mo +4% $ 212M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$MATX -5.1% 3.1%/day 3mo +11% $ 60M 7G/2R accu COHERING
$FIVN -6.0% 5.0%/day 3mo +47% $ 65M 6G/1R accu COHERING
$GKOS -6.6% 3.7%/day 3mo +18% $ 149M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$HPQ -7.1% 3.4%/day 3mo +27% $ 378M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$HUM -7.5% 3.3%/day 3mo +11% $ 621M 2G/2R accu COHERING
$PLTR -7.6% 3.5%/day 3mo +50% $ 3665M 3G/2R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

none coiling

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

$IREZ — 5/5 days
$CORD — 5/5 days
$AAOZ — 5/5 days
$SLN — 5/5 days
$BMBL — 5/5 days
$NBIZ — 5/5 days
$SNDQ — 5/5 days
$SOXS — 5/5 days
$SKDD — 5/5 days
$KPLT — 5/5 days
$RKLZ — 5/5 days
$RGTZ — 5/5 days
$IONZ — 5/5 days
$RAMZ — 5/5 days
$DXC — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
$ENGS — 5/5 days
$HPK — 5/5 days
$FIGS — 5/5 days
$JDZG — 5/5 days
$XHG — 4/5 days
$BEZ — 4/5 days
$BRZE — 4/5 days
$AXTQ — 4/5 days
$LITZ — 4/5 days
$MYGN — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $TALO

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 7G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $SBH

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 4G/5R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🚫 Extended — what we do NOT chase — $ITGR

Already ran far from the 40-MA (high ATR-extension): the obvious move everyone sees, edge gone, prone to the pullback. We surface the pre-obvious coil, not this. This name: +178.7 ATR above the 200d — -0.2% off high but already extended

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_1023 (11)

TALO,MEDP,TREX,CNC,FTRE,EPC,HOG,FDS,KSS,SHOP,SBH

KC_Coils_D_1023 (17)

QLYS,DFIN,TALO,CNK,NSP,CVLT,SM,UTHR,SIG,RVTY,ETSY,MATX,FIVN,GKOS,HPQ,HUM,PLTR

KC_Fakes_D_1023 (3)

SBH,MUR,COKE

KC_OffIdx_D_1023 (0)

(none)

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.

Read № 153 · Friday, October 23, 2026