Keep Counting [Weekly] — 2026-10-22 (Thu)

universe 1586 · latest weekly bar 2026-10-12 (completed week) SETUP 6 · COILING 123 (cohering 68 / diverging 33) · FRESH_BREAK 0

🌐 REGIME — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

capitulation — don’t chase weakness; watch the ⭐ coils for the turn today 106↑ / 183↓ (7%+ wk-movers) · 5-bar balance -94 · T2108 0% above 40-wk MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-10-21)

no state changes since last run

🚦 Gate — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

Capitulation — these coils are TURN-WATCH, not chase-now. Size small, let the regime flip green before leaning in.

⭐ Worth a real look

$RXO (-4.3% from high, 11%/wk, +53% 6mo) — 4G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
$CON (-2.7% from high, 6%/wk, +69% 6mo) — 4G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
$WAT (-3.9% from high, 6%/wk, +33% 6mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 5G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
$WOR (-4.9% from high, 6%/wk, +16% 6mo) — 3G/2R net accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
$EMR (-2.9% from high, 6%/wk, +10% 6mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 4G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; very tight box
$EGBN (-3.2% from high, 5%/wk, +1% 6mo) — 3G/2R net accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; very tight box; range contracting

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs

$FANG (-6.0% from high) — 1G/2R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$ADM (-6.9% from high) — 0G/3R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$AAMI (-6.5% from high) — 2G/2R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$SM (-5.0% from high) — 1G/2R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

$EMR -2.9% 5.5%/wk 6mo +10% $ 2009M 4G/2R accu COHERING
$IQV -3.8% 5.9%/wk 6mo +51% $ 1669M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$WAT -3.9% 6.0%/wk 6mo +33% $ 1677M 5G/2R accu COHERING
$FTRE -4.3% 11.6%/wk 6mo+117% $ 130M 4G/2R accu COHERING
$UNM -4.7% 5.8%/wk 6mo +16% $ 631M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$SAIC -6.7% 5.8%/wk 6mo +40% $ 271M 3G/1R accu COHERING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

$VTRS -0.1% 5.6%/wk 6mo +27% $ 768M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
$XOM -0.1% 5.1%/wk 6mo +22% $10789M 1G/1R dist DIVERGING
$PR -0.2% 6.2%/wk 6mo +27% $ 984M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
$EOG -0.2% 6.6%/wk 6mo +23% $ 1967M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
$UFCS -0.9% 5.9%/wk 6mo +40% $ 36M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
$CHRD -1.6% 7.0%/wk 6mo +25% $ 477M 0G/2R dist DIVERGING
$CAH -1.6% 5.6%/wk 6mo +19% $ 2074M 0G/3R dist DIVERGING
$NHC -2.0% 6.1%/wk 6mo +45% $ 114M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
$WSM -2.0% 6.1%/wk 6mo +26% $ 1198M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
$ALRM -2.1% 5.6%/wk 6mo +23% $ 117M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
$MD -2.3% 5.5%/wk 6mo +19% $ 91M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
$KNTK -2.8% 5.8%/wk 6mo +18% $ 300M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
$PK -2.9% 5.5%/wk 6mo +39% $ 278M 2G/4R dist DIVERGING
$CNC -2.9% 7.1%/wk 6mo +81% $ 1369M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
$DVN -3.8% 6.1%/wk 6mo +15% $ 2241M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
$BBY -4.0% 6.4%/wk 6mo +41% $ 1380M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
$PLUS -4.2% 5.4%/wk 6mo +10% $ 88M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
$COKE -4.2% 5.8%/wk 6mo +11% $ 437M 1G/1R dist DIVERGING
$SM -5.0% 8.8%/wk 6mo +52% $ 618M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
$RS -5.0% 5.7%/wk 6mo +26% $ 540M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
$THC -5.6% 5.9%/wk 6mo +36% $ 961M 1G/1R dist DIVERGING
$NPK -5.8% 6.6%/wk 6mo +4% $ 70M 2G/4R dist DIVERGING
$DRI -5.8% 6.3%/wk 6mo +8% $ 1157M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
$FANG -6.0% 6.8%/wk 6mo +13% $ 1897M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
$ASO -6.1% 7.4%/wk 6mo +0% $ 337M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING
$AAMI -6.5% 7.1%/wk 6mo +38% $ 165M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
$OKE -6.5% 5.3%/wk 6mo +12% $ 1610M 1G/4R dist DIVERGING
$CDW -6.6% 8.0%/wk 6mo +12% $ 1134M 1G/1R dist DIVERGING
$ADUS -6.8% 5.2%/wk 6mo +23% $ 124M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
$ADM -6.9% 5.9%/wk 6mo +23% $ 1433M 0G/3R dist DIVERGING
$SBH -7.1% 7.0%/wk 6mo +15% $ 107M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
$OXY -7.5% 5.9%/wk 6mo +16% $ 2340M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
$ROST -7.8% 5.0%/wk 6mo +4% $ 2382M 0G/3R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

$OVV -0.1% 6.6%/wk 6mo +31% $ 954M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$AVTR -0.2% 6.7%/wk 6mo +93% $ 620M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$APA -0.2% 7.3%/wk 6mo +38% $ 1139M 4G/1R accu COHERING
$HALO -0.5% 6.7%/wk 6mo +76% $ 1120M 3G/2R accu COHERING
$WST -0.6% 5.5%/wk 6mo +40% $ 902M 3G/0R accu COHERING
$MCK -1.0% 5.6%/wk 6mo +16% $ 3752M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$BOX -1.3% 6.5%/wk 6mo +67% $ 418M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$PSX -1.4% 6.3%/wk 6mo +87% $ 3181M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$MPC -1.5% 8.2%/wk 6mo+124% $ 4434M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$PCTY -1.6% 7.4%/wk 6mo +65% $ 467M 3G/2R accu COHERING
$KMI -1.8% 5.4%/wk 6mo +7% $ 1734M 3G/3R accu COHERING
$ELV -1.8% 5.7%/wk 6mo +33% $ 2237M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$EXEL -1.8% 7.2%/wk 6mo +39% $ 647M 4G/1R accu COHERING
$PAYC -1.9% 7.5%/wk 6mo +98% $ 710M 1G/0R accu COHERING
$TMO -2.0% 5.4%/wk 6mo +31% $ 6628M 5G/0R accu COHERING
$ANF -2.2% 8.4%/wk 6mo +62% $ 775M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$MTD -2.3% 6.3%/wk 6mo +21% $ 1331M 4G/0R accu COHERING
$PEB -2.4% 5.8%/wk 6mo +39% $ 204M 5G/2R accu COHERING
$MATX -2.4% 5.8%/wk 6mo +33% $ 305M 4G/1R accu COHERING
$AMN -2.5% 7.9%/wk 6mo+101% $ 97M 4G/1R accu COHERING
$PM -2.5% 5.3%/wk 6mo +30% $ 4477M 3G/2R accu COHERING
$LQDT -2.5% 6.0%/wk 6mo +29% $ 51M 4G/2R accu COHERING
$A -2.5% 6.5%/wk 6mo +42% $ 1782M 3G/2R accu COHERING
$PRSU -2.7% 6.0%/wk 6mo +33% $ 52M 4G/0R accu COHERING
$CON -2.7% 6.0%/wk 6mo +69% $ 143M 4G/0R accu COHERING
$DRH -2.7% 5.2%/wk 6mo +27% $ 173M 6G/3R accu COHERING
$GILD -2.7% 6.1%/wk 6mo +13% $ 4087M 3G/0R accu COHERING
$LLY -2.8% 6.4%/wk 6mo +36% $13754M 3G/0R accu COHERING
$BJ -2.9% 6.1%/wk 6mo +12% $ 735M 5G/1R accu COHERING
$VEEV -3.0% 8.5%/wk 6mo +85% $ 2122M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$CAKE -3.1% 8.7%/wk 6mo +83% $ 770M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$EGBN -3.2% 5.3%/wk 6mo +1% $ 39M 3G/2R accu COHERING
$AMGN -3.3% 6.1%/wk 6mo +22% $ 5731M 5G/2R accu COHERING
$CVI -3.3% 11.7%/wk 6mo+109% $ 223M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$CNK -3.3% 6.3%/wk 6mo +28% $ 380M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$SIG -3.4% 7.4%/wk 6mo +25% $ 338M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$CRBG -3.4% 5.5%/wk 6mo +29% $ 715M 5G/2R accu COHERING
$EBAY -3.5% 7.4%/wk 6mo +15% $ 2148M 4G/2R accu COHERING
$BIIB -3.5% 5.5%/wk 6mo +31% $ 988M 4G/2R accu COHERING
$VLO -3.6% 6.7%/wk 6mo +99% $ 4872M 2G/1R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

none coiling

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

$IREZ — 5/5 days
$AAOZ — 5/5 days
$CORD — 5/5 days
$BMBL — 5/5 days
$NBIZ — 5/5 days
$SKDD — 5/5 days
$SNDQ — 5/5 days
$RKLZ — 5/5 days
$SOXS — 5/5 days
$RAMZ — 5/5 days
$RGTZ — 5/5 days
$FIGS — 5/5 days
$RGC — 5/5 days
$ENGS — 5/5 days
$JDZG — 5/5 days
$HPK — 5/5 days
$SLN — 4/5 days
$AXTQ — 4/5 days
$LITZ — 4/5 days
$IONZ — 4/5 days
$DXC — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling
$BEZ — 4/5 days
$KPLT — 4/5 days
$SKHZ — 4/5 days
$CBRZ — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $RXO

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 4G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $FANG

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 1G/2R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⚖️ Decisive vs Thin — why the count matters — $TMO

A lopsided tally (e.g. 7G/0R) is decisive commitment; a 2G/2R or 1G/1R is NO read — not enough committed flow to validate either way. Trust decisive, skip thin. This name: 5G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_W_1022 (10)

RXO,CON,WAT,WOR,EMR,EGBN,IQV,FTRE,UNM,SAIC

KC_Coils_W_1022 (50)

OVV,AVTR,APA,HALO,WST,MCK,BOX,PSX,MPC,PCTY,KMI,ELV,EXEL,PAYC,TMO,ANF,MTD,PEB,MATX,AMN,PM,LQDT,A,PRSU,CON,DRH,GILD,LLY,BJ,VEEV,CAKE,EGBN,AMGN,CVI,CNK,SIG,CRBG,EBAY,BIIB,VLO,EQH,SXT,HSTM,MANH,CHEF,TRGP,RXO,CRVL,HAE,URBN

KC_Fakes_W_1022 (33)

VTRS,XOM,PR,EOG,UFCS,CHRD,CAH,NHC,WSM,ALRM,MD,KNTK,PK,CNC,DVN,BBY,PLUS,COKE,SM,RS,THC,NPK,DRI,FANG,ASO,AAMI,OKE,CDW,ADUS,ADM,SBH,OXY,ROST

KC_OffIdx_W_1022 (0)

(none)

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.

Read № 152 · Thursday, October 22, 2026