Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-10-22 (Thu)

universe 1586 · latest daily bar 2026-10-22 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 2 · COILING 35 (cohering 20 / diverging 5) · FRESH_BREAK 2

🌐 REGIME — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

beach-mode — most coils fail here; sit on hands or G/0R only today 273↑ / 205↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance +64 · T2108 57% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-10-21)

🚀 BROKE OUT (setup→fresh): $FDS, $PRGS
⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $LGND, $RELY
🌀 new coil: $TRU, $CNMD, $CRL, $EPC, $CVLT, $DFIN, $CNK, $KSS, $ASO, $NSP, $CNC, $ENR, $CRM, $MEDP, $CVI, $HPQ, $BGC
➖ dropped out: $GME, $PARR, $AMRX, $CHEF, $CRSR

🚦 Gate — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

Beach-mode — longs HEAVILY suppressed: only the most decisive G/0R survive, and even those swim against the tide. Most coils FAIL here. Learn/watch tape, not a buy tape. regime gate suppressed 10 cohering coil(s) that weren’t decisive enough for this tape.

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs (lead this regime)

$SBH (-1.7% from high) — 4G/6R — supply leaving while glued to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$QLYS (-0.9% from high) — 4G/4R — supply leaving while glued to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$CDW (-0.5% from high) — 2G/2R — supply leaving while glued to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$CRM (-7.0% from high) — 1G/2R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⭐ Worth a real look (secondary — fakes lead this regime)

$TREX (-1.3% from high, 3%/day, +18% 3mo) — 5G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high
$MEDP (-4.5% from high, 3%/day, +9% 3mo) — 5G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
$DFIN (-0.5% from high, 3%/day, +16% 3mo) — 5G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

$RELY -7.9% 3.3%/day 3mo +12% $ 66M 1G/0R accu COHERING
$LGND -5.8% 3.6%/day 3mo +2% $ 71M 6G/6R neut MIXED

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

$CDW -0.5% 3.2%/day 3mo +23% $ 174M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
$QLYS -0.9% 4.4%/day 3mo +51% $ 124M 4G/4R dist DIVERGING
$SBH -1.7% 3.2%/day 3mo +20% $ 21M 4G/6R dist DIVERGING
$CRM -7.0% 3.4%/day 3mo +53% $ 1990M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
$CVI -7.7% 5.0%/day 3mo +75% $ 48M 0G/2R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

$ETSY -0.3% 3.6%/day 3mo +13% $ 210M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$DFIN -0.5% 3.2%/day 3mo +16% $ 12M 5G/0R accu COHERING
$ASO -1.1% 3.1%/day 3mo +33% $ 77M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$TREX -1.3% 3.4%/day 3mo +18% $ 68M 5G/0R accu COHERING
$CNC -1.7% 3.1%/day 3mo +12% $ 248M 4G/0R accu COHERING
$CNK -2.3% 3.3%/day 3mo +21% $ 71M 2G/2R accu COHERING
$CRL -3.3% 3.6%/day 3mo +50% $ 255M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$FTRE -3.7% 4.9%/day 3mo +23% $ 39M 5G/5R accu COHERING
$UTHR -4.0% 3.5%/day 3mo +11% $ 402M 3G/2R accu COHERING
$CVLT -4.1% 3.8%/day 3mo +18% $ 86M 6G/2R accu COHERING
$NSP -4.3% 4.1%/day 3mo +11% $ 21M 6G/5R accu COHERING
$MEDP -4.5% 3.1%/day 3mo +9% $ 155M 5G/2R accu COHERING
$SIG -4.6% 3.2%/day 3mo +28% $ 78M 3G/0R accu COHERING
$RVTY -5.3% 3.7%/day 3mo +42% $ 244M 5G/3R accu COHERING
$TALO -5.7% 3.2%/day 3mo +18% $ 41M 6G/4R accu COHERING
$HPQ -6.8% 3.3%/day 3mo +31% $ 370M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$SM -7.6% 3.4%/day 3mo +16% $ 86M 1G/0R accu COHERING
$BGC -7.8% 3.2%/day 3mo +2% $ 32M 3G/2R accu COHERING
$GKOS -7.8% 3.4%/day 3mo +15% $ 143M 1G/1R accu COHERING
$PLTR -7.9% 3.4%/day 3mo +60% $ 3665M 3G/2R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

$OSCR -4.8% 4.1%/day 3mo +18% $ 155M 5G/2R accu COHERING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

$IREZ — 5/5 days
$AAOZ — 5/5 days
$CORD — 5/5 days
$BMBL — 5/5 days
$NBIZ — 5/5 days
$SKDD — 5/5 days
$SNDQ — 5/5 days
$RKLZ — 5/5 days
$SOXS — 5/5 days
$RAMZ — 5/5 days
$RGTZ — 5/5 days
$FIGS — 5/5 days
$RGC — 5/5 days
$ENGS — 5/5 days
$JDZG — 5/5 days
$HPK — 5/5 days
$SLN — 4/5 days
$AXTQ — 4/5 days
$LITZ — 4/5 days
$IONZ — 4/5 days
$DXC — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling
$BEZ — 4/5 days
$KPLT — 4/5 days
$SKHZ — 4/5 days
$CBRZ — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $TREX

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 5G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $SBH

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 4G/6R — supply leaving while glued to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⚖️ Decisive vs Thin — why the count matters — $DFIN

A lopsided tally (e.g. 7G/0R) is decisive commitment; a 2G/2R or 1G/1R is NO read — not enough committed flow to validate either way. Trust decisive, skip thin. This name: 5G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_1022 (5)

TREX,MEDP,DFIN,RELY,LGND

KC_Coils_D_1022 (20)

ETSY,DFIN,ASO,TREX,CNC,CNK,CRL,FTRE,UTHR,CVLT,NSP,MEDP,SIG,RVTY,TALO,HPQ,SM,BGC,GKOS,PLTR

KC_Fakes_D_1022 (5)

CDW,QLYS,SBH,CRM,CVI

KC_OffIdx_D_1022 (1)

OSCR

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.

Read № 151 · Thursday, October 22, 2026