Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 149 · Wednesday, October 21, 2026

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-10-21 (Wed)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-10-21 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 3 · COILING 24 (cohering 11 / diverging 4) · FRESH_BREAK 0

🌐 REGIME — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

beach-mode — most coils fail here; sit on hands or G/0R only today 50↑ / 38↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance +162 · T2108 49% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-10-20)

  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $TALO, $SM
  • 🆕 NEW setup: $PRGS
  • 🌀 new coil: $GKOS, $UTHR, $SBH, $RELY, $PLTR, $CRSR, $COKE
  • ➖ dropped out: $MUR, $CRL, $ASO, $CNK

🚦 Gate — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

Beach-mode — longs HEAVILY suppressed: only the most decisive G/0R survive, and even those swim against the tide. Most coils FAIL here. Learn/watch tape, not a buy tape. regime gate suppressed 5 cohering coil(s) that weren’t decisive enough for this tape.

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs (lead this regime)

  • $SBH (-7.4% from high) — 4G/6R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $PARR (-6.7% from high) — 4G/5R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $QLYS (-4.6% from high) — 3G/4R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⭐ Worth a real look (secondary — fakes lead this regime)

  • $TREX (-5.6% from high, 3%/day, +15% 3mo) — 5G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high
  • $RVTY (-5.8% from high, 4%/day, +38% 3mo) — 5G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high; range contracting
  • $CHEF (-7.1% from high, 3%/day, +17% 3mo) — 4G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 7% off the high

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $TALO -3.5% 3.2%/day 3mo +18% $ 39M 6G/4R accu COHERING
  • $SM -7.1% 3.3%/day 3mo +15% $ 86M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $PRGS -7.5% 4.2%/day 3mo +18% $ 22M 0G/1R dist DIVERGING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $QLYS -4.6% 4.4%/day 3mo +47% $ 120M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $PARR -6.7% 5.2%/day 3mo +9% $ 68M 4G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $SBH -7.4% 3.1%/day 3mo +15% $ 21M 4G/6R dist DIVERGING
  • $PRGS -7.5% 4.2%/day 3mo +18% $ 22M 0G/1R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $FTRE -1.3% 4.9%/day 3mo +23% $ 37M 5G/4R accu COHERING
  • $ETSY -3.4% 3.6%/day 3mo +8% $ 210M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $PLTR -5.3% 3.3%/day 3mo +64% $ 3665M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $TREX -5.6% 3.1%/day 3mo +15% $ 68M 5G/0R accu COHERING
  • $RVTY -5.8% 3.7%/day 3mo +38% $ 244M 5G/3R accu COHERING
  • $SIG -6.4% 3.3%/day 3mo +28% $ 75M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $CHEF -7.1% 3.5%/day 3mo +17% $ 59M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $GME -7.1% 4.0%/day 3mo +23% $ 304M 6G/4R accu COHERING
  • $RELY -7.5% 3.5%/day 3mo +11% $ 67M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $UTHR -7.5% 3.4%/day 3mo +6% $ 337M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $GKOS -7.7% 3.4%/day 3mo +16% $ 135M 1G/1R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $OSCR -4.5% 4.2%/day 3mo +16% $ 163M 5G/2R accu COHERING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $CBRZ — 5/5 days
  • $BMBL — 5/5 days
  • $IREZ — 5/5 days
  • $ASTN — 5/5 days
  • $RGC — 5/5 days
  • $CORD — 5/5 days
  • $NBIZ — 5/5 days
  • $MRNX — 5/5 days
  • $AAOZ — 5/5 days
  • $RKLZ — 5/5 days
  • $SKDD — 5/5 days
  • $FIGS — 5/5 days
  • $RGTZ — 5/5 days
  • $SNDQ — 5/5 days
  • $JDZG — 5/5 days
  • $RAMZ — 5/5 days
  • $PICS — 5/5 days
  • $PCRX — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $VRA — 5/5 days
  • $PMI — 5/5 days
  • $BYRN — 5/5 days
  • $ENGS — 4/5 days
  • $HPK — 4/5 days
  • $SOXS — 4/5 days
  • $SMCZ — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $TREX

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 5G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $QLYS

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 3G/4R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 Inside-Bar Setup — the cocked trigger — $TALO

An inside bar pressed to the box top = a defined buy-stop trigger with the stop right below. You’re early AND you have an exact level — the highest-value pre-obvious state. This name: inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 6G/4R net accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_1021 (6)

TREX,RVTY,CHEF,TALO,SM,PRGS

KC_Coils_D_1021 (11)

FTRE,ETSY,PLTR,TREX,RVTY,SIG,CHEF,GME,RELY,UTHR,GKOS

KC_Fakes_D_1021 (4)

PRGS,QLYS,PARR,SBH

KC_OffIdx_D_1021 (1)

OSCR

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.