Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 148 · Tuesday, October 20, 2026

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-10-20 (Tue)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-10-20 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 1 · COILING 22 (cohering 11 / diverging 3) · FRESH_BREAK 0

🌐 REGIME — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

beach-mode — most coils fail here; sit on hands or G/0R only today 78↑ / 11↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance -12 · T2108 48% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-10-19)

  • 🆕 NEW setup: $DXC
  • 🌀 new coil: $CRL, $MUR, $ASO, $TREX, $LGND, $ETSY, $AMRX, $RVTY, $HUM, $PARR
  • ➖ dropped out: $DBX, $CNC, $AAMI, $DFIN, $ECPG, $CART, $MTUS, $MRNA

🚦 Gate — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

Beach-mode — longs HEAVILY suppressed: only the most decisive G/0R survive, and even those swim against the tide. Most coils FAIL here. Learn/watch tape, not a buy tape. regime gate suppressed 5 cohering coil(s) that weren’t decisive enough for this tape.

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs (lead this regime)

  • $QLYS (-7.7% from high) — 2G/5R — supply leaving while 8% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $PARR (-6.2% from high) — 5G/5R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $CRL (-5.4% from high) — 2G/3R — supply leaving while 5% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⭐ Worth a real look (secondary — fakes lead this regime)

  • $TREX (-5.7% from high, 3%/day, +14% 3mo) — 5G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high
  • $CHEF (-6.4% from high, 3%/day, +18% 3mo) — 5G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high
  • $GME (-6.5% from high, 4%/day, +23% 3mo) — 6G/4R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $DXC -6.7% 4.4%/day 3mo +55% $ 55M 3G/1R accu MIXED

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $CRL -5.4% 3.6%/day 3mo +44% $ 255M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $PARR -6.2% 5.3%/day 3mo +7% $ 69M 5G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $QLYS -7.7% 4.3%/day 3mo +36% $ 117M 2G/5R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $CNK -0.5% 3.4%/day 3mo +24% $ 68M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $ETSY -3.2% 3.8%/day 3mo +9% $ 216M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $FTRE -3.3% 4.9%/day 3mo +23% $ 35M 8G/6R accu COHERING
  • $TALO -3.6% 3.4%/day 3mo +18% $ 37M 6G/5R accu COHERING
  • $ASO -4.5% 3.1%/day 3mo +22% $ 73M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $SIG -5.6% 3.4%/day 3mo +28% $ 75M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $TREX -5.7% 3.1%/day 3mo +14% $ 64M 5G/0R accu COHERING
  • $RVTY -6.2% 3.5%/day 3mo +41% $ 244M 4G/3R accu COHERING
  • $CHEF -6.4% 3.4%/day 3mo +18% $ 59M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $GME -6.5% 4.0%/day 3mo +23% $ 304M 6G/4R accu COHERING
  • $SM -6.5% 3.4%/day 3mo +17% $ 89M 1G/0R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $OSCR -3.9% 4.2%/day 3mo +14% $ 167M 5G/2R accu COHERING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $CBRZ — 5/5 days
  • $IREZ — 5/5 days
  • $BMBL — 5/5 days
  • $RKLZ — 5/5 days
  • $ASTN — 5/5 days
  • $RGC — 5/5 days
  • $CORD — 5/5 days
  • $SKDD — 5/5 days
  • $NBIZ — 5/5 days
  • $AAOZ — 5/5 days
  • $MRNX — 5/5 days
  • $RGTZ — 5/5 days
  • $RAMZ — 5/5 days
  • $PMI — 5/5 days
  • $FIGS — 5/5 days
  • $SNDQ — 5/5 days
  • $PICS — 5/5 days
  • $KOD — 5/5 days
  • $PCRX — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $JDZG — 5/5 days
  • $XP — 5/5 days
  • $BYRN — 5/5 days
  • $VRA — 5/5 days
  • $SKHZ — 5/5 days
  • $CBRL — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $TREX

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 5G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $CRL

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 2G/3R — supply leaving while 5% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🚫 Extended — what we do NOT chase — $ITGR

Already ran far from the 40-MA (high ATR-extension): the obvious move everyone sees, edge gone, prone to the pullback. We surface the pre-obvious coil, not this. This name: +188.4 ATR above the 200d — -0.1% off high but already extended

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_1020 (4)

TREX,CHEF,GME,DXC

KC_Coils_D_1020 (11)

CNK,ETSY,FTRE,TALO,ASO,SIG,TREX,RVTY,CHEF,GME,SM

KC_Fakes_D_1020 (3)

CRL,PARR,QLYS

KC_OffIdx_D_1020 (1)

OSCR

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.