Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 147 · Monday, October 19, 2026

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-10-19 (Mon)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-10-19 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 8 · COILING 12 (cohering 8 / diverging 1) · FRESH_BREAK 0

🌐 REGIME — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

beach-mode — most coils fail here; sit on hands or G/0R only today 44↑ / 26↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance -84 · T2108 39% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-10-16)

  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $CDW, $DFIN, $FTRE, $SHOP, $FDS, $MATX, $AAMI
  • 🆕 NEW setup: $MRNA
  • 🌀 new coil: $DBX, $QLYS, $CNC, $MTUS, $OSCR, $SIG
  • ➖ dropped out: $MORN, $LLY, $SBH, $RNG

🚦 Gate — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

Beach-mode — longs HEAVILY suppressed: only the most decisive G/0R survive, and even those swim against the tide. Most coils FAIL here. Learn/watch tape, not a buy tape. regime gate suppressed 4 cohering coil(s) that weren’t decisive enough for this tape.

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs (lead this regime)

  • $QLYS (-7.8% from high) — 3G/5R — supply leaving while 8% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⭐ Worth a real look (secondary — fakes lead this regime)

  • $MRNA (-6.4% from high, 8%/day, +280% 3mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 5G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high
  • $CHEF (-6.1% from high, 3%/day, +17% 3mo) — 5G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high
  • $GME (-6.6% from high, 4%/day, +21% 3mo) — 6G/4R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 7% off the high

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $FTRE -4.6% 4.8%/day 3mo +25% $ 30M 7G/6R accu COHERING
  • $MRNA -6.4% 7.8%/day 3mo+280% $ 3379M 5G/3R accu COHERING
  • $MATX -3.8% 3.2%/day 3mo +6% $ 61M 6G/4R neut MIXED
  • $CDW -5.2% 3.5%/day 3mo +18% $ 189M 3G/2R accu MIXED
  • $FDS -5.4% 3.8%/day 3mo +23% $ 175M 1G/0R accu MIXED
  • $AAMI -5.4% 3.1%/day 3mo +11% $ 35M 5G/4R neut MIXED
  • $SHOP -6.1% 3.6%/day 3mo +39% $ 1265M 3G/1R neut MIXED
  • $DFIN -7.1% 3.1%/day 3mo +6% $ 10M 8G/3R neut MIXED

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $QLYS -7.8% 4.4%/day 3mo +32% $ 120M 3G/5R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $TALO -3.6% 3.4%/day 3mo +22% $ 36M 6G/5R accu COHERING
  • $CNC -3.6% 3.1%/day 3mo +2% $ 260M 4G/0R accu COHERING
  • $SIG -4.8% 3.3%/day 3mo +29% $ 75M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $ECPG -5.1% 3.2%/day 3mo +13% $ 19M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CART -5.3% 3.1%/day 3mo +10% $ 153M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CHEF -6.1% 3.5%/day 3mo +17% $ 64M 5G/3R accu COHERING
  • $SM -6.4% 3.3%/day 3mo +21% $ 89M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $GME -6.6% 4.0%/day 3mo +21% $ 308M 6G/4R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $OSCR -7.1% 4.4%/day 3mo +6% $ 167M 4G/2R accu COHERING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $IREZ — 5/5 days
  • $BMBL — 5/5 days
  • $PMI — 5/5 days
  • $CBRZ — 5/5 days
  • $ASTN — 5/5 days
  • $SKDD — 5/5 days
  • $SNDQ — 5/5 days
  • $RGTZ — 5/5 days
  • $FIGS — 5/5 days
  • $JDZG — 5/5 days
  • $PCRX — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $KOD — 5/5 days
  • $VRA — 5/5 days
  • $BYRN — 5/5 days
  • $PICS — 5/5 days
  • $MRNX — 5/5 days
  • $RXO — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $PTC — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $XP — 5/5 days
  • $OPCH — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $RAMZ — 4/5 days
  • $RGC — 4/5 days
  • $SUJA — 4/5 days
  • $SJT — 4/5 days
  • $CANG — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $MRNA

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 5G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high

⚖️ Decisive vs Thin — why the count matters — $CNC

A lopsided tally (e.g. 7G/0R) is decisive commitment; a 2G/2R or 1G/1R is NO read — not enough committed flow to validate either way. Trust decisive, skip thin. This name: 4G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_1019 (10)

MRNA,CHEF,GME,FTRE,MATX,CDW,FDS,AAMI,SHOP,DFIN

KC_Coils_D_1019 (8)

TALO,CNC,SIG,ECPG,CART,CHEF,SM,GME

KC_Fakes_D_1019 (1)

QLYS

KC_OffIdx_D_1019 (1)

OSCR

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.