Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 146 · Saturday, October 17, 2026

weekly edition · the machine's output as it shipped, no calls edited, no numbers changed · notation: how we count · outcomes: counted →

Keep Counting [Weekly] — 2026-10-17 (Sat)

universe 1590 · latest weekly bar 2026-10-12 (completed week) SETUP 6 · COILING 123 (cohering 66 / diverging 23) · FRESH_BREAK 0

🌐 REGIME — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

capitulation — don’t chase weakness; watch the ⭐ coils for the turn today 103↑ / 177↓ (7%+ wk-movers) · 5-bar balance -93 · T2108 0% above 40-wk MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-10-16)

  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $UNM, $WAT, $SAIC, $EMR
  • 🆕 NEW setup: $FTRE, $IQV
  • 🌀 new coil: $MDLZ, $DBX, $HAS, $OXY, $CAH, $LH, $CAKE, $BBY, $MUR, $ADUS, $ADM, $REGN, $CI, $ASO, $MANH, $OKE, $CART, $LLY, $KMI, $ETSY, $DRH, $CHRD, $FDS, $FANG, $SBH, $DXCM, $SM, $ANF, $TALO, $PLMR, $MORN, $DRI, $SJM, $CDW, $MTCH, $COKE, $DHR, $MTN, $ROST, $DVN
  • ↩️ flipped diverging→cohering: $KDP
  • ➖ dropped out: $PANW, $GEO, $KEYS, $OKTA, $AMRX, $PRLB, $RVTY, $HUM, $P, $FRO, $TT, $PLTR, $APH, $TMP, $JCI, $SNOW, $META, $DELL, $SNPS, $HRMY, $NSIT, $INSW, $NTAP, $EIG, $RAL, $NTNX, $WCC, $PBF, $FFIV, $CORT, $TSM, $PTC, $CRWD, $LGND, $LPG, $BIO, $LITE, $SMTC, $ANET, $HPE, $OSCR, $AMD, $PCRX, $MRNA, $SPNT, $NVDA, $TWLO, $ASX, $TGTX, $VIR, $DDOG, $QLYS, $FTNT

🚦 Gate — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

Capitulation — these coils are TURN-WATCH, not chase-now. Size small, let the regime flip green before leaning in.

⭐ Worth a real look

  • $CON (-2.7% from high, 6%/wk, +69% 6mo) — 4G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $WAT (-3.9% from high, 6%/wk, +33% 6mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 5G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $EGBN (-3.2% from high, 5%/wk, +1% 6mo) — 3G/2R net accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; very tight box; range contracting
  • $BJ (-2.9% from high, 6%/wk, +12% 6mo) — 5G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $PRSU (-2.7% from high, 6%/wk, +33% 6mo) — 4G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
  • $RXO (-4.3% from high, 11%/wk, +53% 6mo) — 4G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs

  • $FANG (-6.0% from high) — 2G/2R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $ADM (-6.9% from high) — 1G/3R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $AAMI (-6.5% from high) — 2G/2R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $SM (-5.0% from high) — 1G/2R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $EMR -2.9% 5.5%/wk 6mo +10% $ 2009M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $IQV -3.8% 5.9%/wk 6mo +51% $ 1798M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $WAT -3.9% 6.0%/wk 6mo +33% $ 1677M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $FTRE -4.3% 11.6%/wk 6mo+117% $ 130M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $UNM -4.7% 5.8%/wk 6mo +16% $ 631M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $SAIC -6.7% 5.8%/wk 6mo +40% $ 271M 3G/2R accu COHERING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $PR -0.2% 6.2%/wk 6mo +27% $ 984M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $EOG -0.2% 6.6%/wk 6mo +23% $ 1967M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $UFCS -0.9% 5.9%/wk 6mo +40% $ 36M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $CHRD -1.6% 7.0%/wk 6mo +25% $ 477M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $CAH -1.6% 5.6%/wk 6mo +19% $ 2083M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $NHC -2.0% 6.1%/wk 6mo +45% $ 116M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $WSM -2.0% 6.1%/wk 6mo +26% $ 1198M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $MD -2.3% 5.5%/wk 6mo +19% $ 93M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $AMG -2.8% 6.4%/wk 6mo +30% $ 545M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $PK -2.9% 5.5%/wk 6mo +39% $ 278M 2G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $DVN -3.8% 6.1%/wk 6mo +15% $ 2376M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $PLUS -4.2% 5.4%/wk 6mo +10% $ 88M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $SM -5.0% 8.8%/wk 6mo +52% $ 618M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $RS -5.0% 5.7%/wk 6mo +26% $ 572M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $NPK -5.8% 6.6%/wk 6mo +4% $ 76M 2G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $FANG -6.0% 6.8%/wk 6mo +13% $ 1897M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $ASO -6.1% 7.4%/wk 6mo +0% $ 337M 4G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $AAMI -6.5% 7.1%/wk 6mo +38% $ 184M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $OKE -6.5% 5.3%/wk 6mo +12% $ 1651M 1G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $CDW -6.6% 8.0%/wk 6mo +12% $ 1134M 1G/1R dist DIVERGING
  • $ADM -6.9% 5.9%/wk 6mo +23% $ 1498M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $OXY -7.5% 5.9%/wk 6mo +16% $ 2340M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $ROST -7.8% 5.0%/wk 6mo +4% $ 2606M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $OVV -0.1% 6.6%/wk 6mo +31% $ 954M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $AVTR -0.2% 6.7%/wk 6mo +93% $ 620M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $APA -0.2% 7.3%/wk 6mo +38% $ 1139M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $KDP -0.3% 5.3%/wk 6mo +30% $ 1614M 3G/3R accu COHERING
  • $HALO -0.5% 6.7%/wk 6mo +76% $ 1120M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $WST -0.6% 5.5%/wk 6mo +40% $ 922M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $MCK -1.0% 5.6%/wk 6mo +16% $ 3802M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $BOX -1.3% 6.5%/wk 6mo +67% $ 418M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $PSX -1.4% 6.3%/wk 6mo +87% $ 3181M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $MPC -1.5% 8.2%/wk 6mo+124% $ 4547M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $PCTY -1.6% 7.4%/wk 6mo +65% $ 480M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $KMI -1.8% 5.4%/wk 6mo +7% $ 1734M 3G/3R accu COHERING
  • $ELV -1.8% 5.7%/wk 6mo +33% $ 2237M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $EXEL -1.8% 7.2%/wk 6mo +39% $ 647M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $PAYC -1.9% 7.5%/wk 6mo +98% $ 710M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $TMO -2.0% 5.4%/wk 6mo +31% $ 6628M 5G/0R accu COHERING
  • $ANF -2.2% 8.4%/wk 6mo +62% $ 775M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $MTD -2.3% 6.3%/wk 6mo +21% $ 1331M 4G/0R accu COHERING
  • $PEB -2.4% 5.8%/wk 6mo +39% $ 207M 6G/2R accu COHERING
  • $MATX -2.4% 5.8%/wk 6mo +33% $ 305M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $AMN -2.5% 7.9%/wk 6mo+101% $ 97M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $PM -2.5% 5.3%/wk 6mo +30% $ 4477M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $LQDT -2.5% 6.0%/wk 6mo +29% $ 52M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $A -2.5% 6.5%/wk 6mo +42% $ 1801M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $PRSU -2.7% 6.0%/wk 6mo +33% $ 52M 4G/0R accu COHERING
  • $CON -2.7% 6.0%/wk 6mo +69% $ 143M 4G/0R accu COHERING
  • $DRH -2.7% 5.2%/wk 6mo +27% $ 173M 6G/3R accu COHERING
  • $GILD -2.7% 6.1%/wk 6mo +13% $ 4087M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $LLY -2.8% 6.4%/wk 6mo +36% $13754M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $BJ -2.9% 6.1%/wk 6mo +12% $ 735M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $VEEV -3.0% 8.5%/wk 6mo +85% $ 2122M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CAKE -3.1% 8.7%/wk 6mo +83% $ 779M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $EGBN -3.2% 5.3%/wk 6mo +1% $ 39M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $AMGN -3.3% 6.1%/wk 6mo +22% $ 5731M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $CVI -3.3% 11.7%/wk 6mo+109% $ 247M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CNK -3.3% 6.3%/wk 6mo +28% $ 413M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $SIG -3.4% 7.4%/wk 6mo +25% $ 338M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $CRBG -3.4% 5.5%/wk 6mo +29% $ 715M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $EBAY -3.5% 7.4%/wk 6mo +15% $ 2148M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $BIIB -3.5% 5.5%/wk 6mo +31% $ 988M 4G/2R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • none coiling

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $IREZ — 5/5 days
  • $BMBL — 5/5 days
  • $PMI — 5/5 days
  • $CBRZ — 5/5 days
  • $ASTN — 5/5 days
  • $SKDD — 5/5 days
  • $SNDQ — 5/5 days
  • $RGTZ — 5/5 days
  • $FIGS — 5/5 days
  • $JDZG — 5/5 days
  • $PCRX — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $KOD — 5/5 days
  • $VRA — 5/5 days
  • $BYRN — 5/5 days
  • $PICS — 5/5 days
  • $MRNX — 5/5 days
  • $RXO — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $PTC — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $XP — 5/5 days
  • $OPCH — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $RAMZ — 4/5 days
  • $RGC — 4/5 days
  • $SUJA — 4/5 days
  • $SJT — 4/5 days
  • $CANG — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $CON

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 4G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $FANG

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 2G/2R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🚫 Extended — what we do NOT chase — $OGN

Already ran far from the 40-MA (high ATR-extension): the obvious move everyone sees, edge gone, prone to the pullback. We surface the pre-obvious coil, not this. This name: +27.2 ATR above the 40wk — -0.5% off high but already extended

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_W_1017 (11)

CON,WAT,EGBN,BJ,PRSU,RXO,EMR,IQV,FTRE,UNM,SAIC

KC_Coils_W_1017 (50)

OVV,AVTR,APA,KDP,HALO,WST,MCK,BOX,PSX,MPC,PCTY,KMI,ELV,EXEL,PAYC,TMO,ANF,MTD,PEB,MATX,AMN,PM,LQDT,A,PRSU,CON,DRH,GILD,LLY,BJ,VEEV,CAKE,EGBN,AMGN,CVI,CNK,SIG,CRBG,EBAY,BIIB,VLO,EQH,SXT,HSTM,MANH,TRGP,RXO,CRVL,HAE,URBN

KC_Fakes_W_1017 (23)

PR,EOG,UFCS,CHRD,CAH,NHC,WSM,MD,AMG,PK,DVN,PLUS,SM,RS,NPK,FANG,ASO,AAMI,OKE,CDW,ADM,OXY,ROST

KC_OffIdx_W_1017 (0)

(none)

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.