Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 142 · Thursday, October 15, 2026

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-10-15 (Thu)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-10-15 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 0 · COILING 21 (cohering 14 / diverging 3) · FRESH_BREAK 0

🌐 REGIME — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

beach-mode — most coils fail here; sit on hands or G/0R only today 215↑ / 40↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance -17 · T2108 41% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-10-14)

  • 🌀 new coil: $KNTK, $TGTX, $FDS, $PBF, $OSCR, $QLYS, $FTRE, $RVTY, $MORN, $CHEF, $MATX, $RGEN, $LLY
  • ↩️ flipped diverging→cohering: $HOG
  • ➖ dropped out: $GEO, $INSW, $CNC, $ECPG, $LPG, $ASX, $RXO

🚦 Gate — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

Beach-mode — longs HEAVILY suppressed: only the most decisive G/0R survive, and even those swim against the tide. Most coils FAIL here. Learn/watch tape, not a buy tape. regime gate suppressed 8 cohering coil(s) that weren’t decisive enough for this tape.

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs (lead this regime)

  • $RGEN (-7.4% from high) — 2G/3R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $PARR (-7.7% from high) — 6G/6R — supply leaving while 8% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $QLYS (-6.6% from high) — 2G/2R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⭐ Worth a real look (secondary — fakes lead this regime)

  • $GME (-1.0% from high, 4%/day, +28% 3mo) — 6G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high
  • $LLY (-3.2% from high, 3%/day, +6% 3mo) — 6G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $HOG (-4.4% from high, 4%/day, +4% 3mo) — 4G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • none

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $QLYS -6.6% 4.4%/day 3mo +21% $ 120M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $RGEN -7.4% 4.5%/day 3mo +25% $ 227M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $PARR -7.7% 5.2%/day 3mo +10% $ 76M 6G/6R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $GME -1.0% 3.7%/day 3mo +28% $ 304M 6G/3R accu COHERING
  • $CNK -1.5% 3.4%/day 3mo +27% $ 68M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $SIG -1.5% 3.3%/day 3mo +29% $ 78M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $MATX -1.7% 3.2%/day 3mo +7% $ 63M 7G/4R accu COHERING
  • $LLY -3.2% 3.1%/day 3mo +6% $ 2489M 6G/2R accu COHERING
  • $FTRE -3.3% 4.7%/day 3mo +28% $ 30M 7G/5R accu COHERING
  • $CHEF -3.6% 3.4%/day 3mo +18% $ 66M 5G/3R accu COHERING
  • $HOG -4.4% 3.6%/day 3mo +4% $ 50M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $HUM -5.3% 3.1%/day 3mo +8% $ 597M 1G/1R accu COHERING
  • $META -5.5% 3.3%/day 3mo +14% $15652M 4G/3R accu COHERING
  • $TGTX -5.6% 3.6%/day 3mo +2% $ 90M 5G/5R accu COHERING
  • $PBF -5.9% 5.8%/day 3mo +39% $ 270M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $KNTK -6.1% 3.0%/day 3mo +6% $ 66M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $RVTY -6.9% 3.4%/day 3mo +40% $ 302M 3G/3R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $OSCR -4.4% 4.4%/day 3mo +15% $ 167M 4G/1R accu COHERING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $IREZ — 5/5 days
  • $MRNX — 5/5 days
  • $CBRZ — 5/5 days
  • $CANG — 5/5 days
  • $ASTN — 5/5 days
  • $PMI — 5/5 days
  • $KOD — 5/5 days
  • $PCRX — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $VRA — 5/5 days
  • $GMEU — 5/5 days
  • $PICS — 5/5 days
  • $XP — 5/5 days
  • $RXO — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $BYRN — 5/5 days
  • $PTC — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $IOVA — 5/5 days
  • $OPCH — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $VEEA — 5/5 days
  • $BMBL — 4/5 days
  • $SKDD — 4/5 days
  • $FIGS — 4/5 days
  • $SNDQ — 4/5 days
  • $JDZG — 4/5 days
  • $RGTZ — 4/5 days
  • $MRNA — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $GME

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 6G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_1015 (3)

GME,LLY,HOG

KC_Coils_D_1015 (14)

GME,CNK,SIG,MATX,LLY,FTRE,CHEF,HOG,HUM,META,TGTX,PBF,KNTK,RVTY

KC_Fakes_D_1015 (3)

QLYS,RGEN,PARR

KC_OffIdx_D_1015 (1)

OSCR

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.