Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 137 · Saturday, October 10, 2026

weekly edition · the machine's output as it shipped, no calls edited, no numbers changed · notation: how we count · outcomes: counted →

Keep Counting [Weekly] — 2026-10-10 (Sat)

universe 1590 · latest weekly bar 2026-10-05 (completed week) SETUP 12 · COILING 121 (cohering 77 / diverging 24) · FRESH_BREAK 2

🌐 REGIME — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

capitulation — don’t chase weakness; watch the ⭐ coils for the turn today 90↑ / 77↓ (7%+ wk-movers) · 5-bar balance -17 · T2108 0% above 40-wk MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-10-09)

  • ⚠️ FLIPPED cohering→diverging (early distribution warning): $GEO (4G/4R), $WCC (1G/1R)
  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $ASX, $SXT, $NSIT, $CHEF, $MATX, $SPNT, $EGBN, $PLUS, $SMTC, $PEB, $HALO, $CNXN
  • 🆕 NEW setup: $ZD
  • 🌀 new coil: $ELV, $OSCR, $TRGP, $PAYC, $OVV, $SHOP, $COP, $EBAY, $PM, $SAIC, $BJ, $MCK, $TT, $ECPG, $KDP, $HRMY, $CORT, $PLTR, $WST, $WOR, $PR, $SIG, $MRNA, $SNPS, $SNOW, $HUM, $PCTY, $EOG, $THC, $AMGN, $TGTX, $EPC, $VEEV, $MRK, $GHC, $CNC, $WSM, $HOG, $UNM, $RXO, $GME
  • ➖ dropped out: $TWST, $SCL, $BRKR, $ARW, $DE, $MTRN, $ADI, $CNH, $FAST, $FTRE, $IFF, $TXG, $NEO, $SNX, $DXPE, $WT, $DGX, $KN, $ILMN, $GH, $PGEN, $CRSR, $COHU, $CPAY, $TER, $AVT, $CRL, $ASML, $SHOO, $SOLV, $AZTA, $CAKE, $PARR, $ROG, $SCSC, $NEU, $DXCM, $FORM, $TRST, $MSFT

🚦 Gate — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

Capitulation — these coils are TURN-WATCH, not chase-now. Size small, let the regime flip green before leaning in.

⭐ Worth a real look

  • $RXO (-2.7% from high, 11%/wk, +81% 6mo) — 4G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
  • $CON (-0.3% from high, 5%/wk, +70% 6mo) — 4G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting
  • $CNXN (-1.2% from high, 6%/wk, +49% 6mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 6G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high
  • $SPNT (-5.8% from high, 5%/wk, +9% 6mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 3G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high; range contracting
  • $ZD (-6.5% from high, 5%/wk, +29% 6mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 3G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 7% off the high; range contracting
  • $DT (-0.4% from high, 8%/wk, +96% 6mo) — 6G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs

  • $KEYS (-1.8% from high) — 0G/3R — supply leaving while glued to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $HPE (-0.1% from high) — 1G/2R — supply leaving while glued to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $JXN (-7.9% from high) — 2G/2R — supply leaving while 8% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $PLUS (-4.9% from high) — 1G/4R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $CNXN -1.2% 5.8%/wk 6mo +49% $ 60M 6G/0R accu COHERING
  • $CHEF -3.5% 6.9%/wk 6mo +77% $ 371M 4G/3R accu COHERING
  • $EGBN -3.7% 5.3%/wk 6mo +6% $ 39M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $PEB -4.1% 5.8%/wk 6mo +40% $ 207M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $HALO -5.5% 6.7%/wk 6mo +63% $ 1019M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $SPNT -5.8% 5.1%/wk 6mo +9% $ 80M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $SXT -6.1% 5.1%/wk 6mo +40% $ 223M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $MATX -6.3% 6.3%/wk 6mo +32% $ 321M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $ZD -6.5% 5.4%/wk 6mo +29% $ 151M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $SMTC -7.3% 17.9%/wk 6mo+120% $ 1890M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $NSIT -2.9% 7.2%/wk 6mo+138% $ 230M 2G/1R neut MIXED
  • $PLUS -4.9% 5.4%/wk 6mo +15% $ 92M 1G/4R dist DIVERGING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $HPE -0.1% 13.9%/wk 6mo+195% $ 5105M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $KEYS -1.8% 7.9%/wk 6mo +18% $ 2002M 0G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $EOG -3.9% 6.6%/wk 6mo +9% $ 2053M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $NPK -4.2% 6.6%/wk 6mo +8% $ 76M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $XOM -4.2% 5.2%/wk 6mo +11% $10807M 1G/1R dist DIVERGING
  • $ALRM -4.3% 5.7%/wk 6mo +30% $ 117M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $MD -4.7% 5.5%/wk 6mo +24% $ 93M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $AAMI -4.9% 7.1%/wk 6mo +51% $ 165M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $PLUS -4.9% 5.4%/wk 6mo +15% $ 92M 1G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $ECPG -5.0% 7.3%/wk 6mo +32% $ 163M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $NHC -5.1% 6.1%/wk 6mo +33% $ 116M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $WSM -5.1% 6.1%/wk 6mo +28% $ 1198M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $COP -5.3% 5.9%/wk 6mo +9% $ 4007M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $TT -5.7% 5.1%/wk 6mo +2% $ 2562M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $PBF -5.8% 13.4%/wk 6mo+107% $ 1152M 2G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $WCC -5.9% 7.2%/wk 6mo +20% $ 880M 1G/1R dist DIVERGING
  • $EIG -6.1% 5.1%/wk 6mo +18% $ 44M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $KDP -6.1% 5.3%/wk 6mo +20% $ 1834M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $GEO -6.2% 7.9%/wk 6mo +78% $ 322M 4G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $PK -6.4% 5.5%/wk 6mo +35% $ 278M 1G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $PR -6.6% 6.2%/wk 6mo +11% $ 984M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $HOG -6.8% 7.8%/wk 6mo +18% $ 260M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $THC -6.8% 6.3%/wk 6mo +35% $ 1057M 1G/1R dist DIVERGING
  • $JXN -7.9% 5.9%/wk 6mo +28% $ 409M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $MRNA -0.0% 14.9%/wk 6mo+342% $10415M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $NTNX -0.0% 5.8%/wk 6mo+117% $ 776M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $FTNT -0.1% 8.7%/wk 6mo+154% $ 3631M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $HSTM -0.2% 5.2%/wk 6mo +67% $ 27M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $PLTR -0.3% 10.5%/wk 6mo +63% $25660M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $CON -0.3% 5.4%/wk 6mo +70% $ 142M 4G/0R accu COHERING
  • $ANET -0.3% 9.4%/wk 6mo +47% $ 6158M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $OKTA -0.4% 12.3%/wk 6mo+269% $ 2288M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $NTAP -0.4% 8.3%/wk 6mo+147% $ 2377M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $DT -0.4% 7.7%/wk 6mo +96% $ 1591M 6G/0R accu COHERING
  • $FFIV -0.5% 6.9%/wk 6mo +66% $ 1137M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $ZBRA -0.9% 6.3%/wk 6mo +74% $ 982M 1G/1R accu COHERING
  • $QLYS -1.0% 12.3%/wk 6mo+166% $ 559M 4G/0R accu COHERING
  • $BOX -1.3% 6.5%/wk 6mo +70% $ 418M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $DELL -1.6% 15.7%/wk 6mo+230% $15279M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $VEEV -2.0% 7.9%/wk 6mo +96% $ 2122M 1G/1R accu COHERING
  • $HAE -2.1% 6.9%/wk 6mo+107% $ 316M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $EXEL -2.1% 7.2%/wk 6mo +35% $ 622M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $MTD -2.3% 6.0%/wk 6mo +17% $ 1190M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $DINO -2.4% 9.8%/wk 6mo+111% $ 1270M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $INSW -2.4% 8.2%/wk 6mo +62% $ 293M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $VIR -2.5% 10.9%/wk 6mo +23% $ 80M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $EMR -2.7% 5.6%/wk 6mo +13% $ 1893M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $RXO -2.7% 11.0%/wk 6mo +81% $ 186M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CRVL -2.9% 5.9%/wk 6mo +46% $ 62M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $PSX -2.9% 6.9%/wk 6mo +75% $ 3181M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $RAL -2.9% 7.4%/wk 6mo +61% $ 483M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $APH -3.0% 7.3%/wk 6mo +24% $ 5024M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $PM -3.2% 5.3%/wk 6mo +25% $ 4507M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $MPC -3.2% 8.2%/wk 6mo+104% $ 4434M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $RNG -3.2% 10.7%/wk 6mo+137% $ 578M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $APA -3.3% 7.3%/wk 6mo +19% $ 1139M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $LITE -3.5% 19.4%/wk 6mo +23% $18686M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $LAUR -3.6% 6.1%/wk 6mo +20% $ 189M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $VLO -3.6% 7.6%/wk 6mo +82% $ 4900M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $A -3.7% 6.5%/wk 6mo +48% $ 1801M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $LPG -3.9% 9.9%/wk 6mo +67% $ 151M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $GILD -3.9% 6.1%/wk 6mo +9% $ 4087M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $LQDT -4.2% 6.6%/wk 6mo +33% $ 52M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $CRWD -4.2% 13.1%/wk 6mo+190% $ 9696M 2G/1R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $FRO -1.3% 9.3%/wk 6mo +63% $ 564M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $ASX -3.1% 10.2%/wk 6mo +87% $ 1410M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $SNOW -4.1% 8.2%/wk 6mo+205% $ 6217M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $TSM -7.0% 6.3%/wk 6mo +22% $21504M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $OSCR -3.2% 11.6%/wk 6mo+131% $ 747M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $KOD — 5/5 days
  • $CD — 5/5 days
  • $XP — 5/5 days
  • $FEAM — 5/5 days
  • $APUS — 5/5 days
  • $DNA — 5/5 days
  • $HPEL — 5/5 days
  • $SOTK — 5/5 days
  • $RXO — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $PTC — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $PSIG — 5/5 days
  • $P — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $GRAL — 5/5 days
  • $LFCR — 5/5 days
  • $VRA — 5/5 days
  • $VEEA — 4/5 days
  • $ZSQR — 4/5 days
  • $MRNX — 4/5 days
  • $CANG — 4/5 days
  • $CIEG — 4/5 days
  • $CRDU — 4/5 days
  • $OPCH — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $LITX — 4/5 days
  • $XRPN — 4/5 days
  • $MSGY — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $RXO

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 4G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $KEYS

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 0G/3R — supply leaving while glued to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⚖️ Decisive vs Thin — why the count matters — $DT

A lopsided tally (e.g. 7G/0R) is decisive commitment; a 2G/2R or 1G/1R is NO read — not enough committed flow to validate either way. Trust decisive, skip thin. This name: 6G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_W_1010 (15)

RXO,CON,CNXN,SPNT,ZD,DT,CHEF,EGBN,PEB,HALO,SXT,MATX,SMTC,NSIT,PLUS

KC_Coils_W_1010 (50)

MRNA,NTNX,FTNT,HSTM,PLTR,CON,ANET,OKTA,NTAP,DT,FFIV,ZBRA,QLYS,BOX,DELL,VEEV,HAE,EXEL,MTD,DINO,INSW,VIR,EMR,RXO,CRVL,PSX,RAL,APH,PM,MPC,RNG,APA,LITE,LAUR,VLO,A,LPG,GILD,LQDT,CRWD,EQH,AVTR,CRBG,SIG,WAT,CBRL,AMN,CVI,WST,PAYC

KC_Fakes_W_1010 (24)

PLUS,HPE,KEYS,EOG,NPK,XOM,ALRM,MD,AAMI,ECPG,NHC,WSM,COP,TT,PBF,WCC,EIG,KDP,GEO,PK,PR,HOG,THC,JXN

KC_OffIdx_W_1010 (5)

FRO,ASX,SNOW,TSM,OSCR

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.