Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 135 · Friday, October 9, 2026

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-10-09 (Fri)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-10-09 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 1 · COILING 25 (cohering 12 / diverging 5) · FRESH_BREAK 0

🌐 REGIME — NEUTRAL / CHOP

mixed — selective; demand decisive (lopsided) caps, skip the thin today 52↑ / 38↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance +27 · T2108 32% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-10-08)

  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $HOG
  • 🌀 new coil: $TGTX, $TWLO, $PBF, $CBRL, $HRMY, $MD, $SHOP, $RXO, $WCC, $RVTY
  • ↩️ flipped diverging→cohering: $OSCR
  • ➖ dropped out: $UFCS, $QLYS, $NPK, $ECPG, $CTVA, $MRNA, $DDOG, $AMN, $PARR, $CHEF, $PCRX

🚦 Gate — NEUTRAL / CHOP

Chop — gate tightened: only DECISIVE (lopsided) coils survive; thin/even cut. Read the fakes with equal weight. regime gate suppressed 6 cohering coil(s) that weren’t decisive enough for this tape.

⭐ Worth a real look

  • $TWLO (-6.1% from high, 5%/day, +33% 3mo) — 7G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high
  • $GME (-1.2% from high, 3%/day, +21% 3mo) — 9G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high
  • $MD (-4.7% from high, 3%/day, +2% 3mo) — 6G/4R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
  • $LITE (-3.5% from high, 6%/day, +44% 3mo) — 3G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs

  • $VIR (-2.2% from high) — 4G/6R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $KNTK (-6.1% from high) — 2G/7R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $DOCU (-5.2% from high) — 1G/3R — supply leaving while 5% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $HOG (-6.8% from high) — 5G/7R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $HOG -6.8% 3.7%/day 3mo +6% $ 52M 5G/7R dist DIVERGING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $VIR -2.2% 5.4%/day 3mo +20% $ 22M 4G/6R dist DIVERGING
  • $AAMI -4.9% 3.1%/day 3mo +19% $ 41M 5G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $DOCU -5.2% 3.1%/day 3mo +43% $ 194M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $KNTK -6.1% 3.0%/day 3mo +6% $ 69M 2G/7R dist DIVERGING
  • $HOG -6.8% 3.7%/day 3mo +6% $ 52M 5G/7R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $GME -1.2% 3.4%/day 3mo +21% $ 243M 9G/3R accu COHERING
  • $RXO -2.7% 4.6%/day 3mo +7% $ 39M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $LITE -3.5% 5.7%/day 3mo +44% $ 4246M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $SIG -4.5% 3.5%/day 3mo +24% $ 86M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $CBRL -4.6% 4.3%/day 3mo +10% $ 56M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $MD -4.7% 3.1%/day 3mo +2% $ 18M 6G/4R accu COHERING
  • $PBF -5.8% 6.1%/day 3mo +47% $ 281M 1G/1R accu COHERING
  • $PRLB -6.1% 3.3%/day 3mo +26% $ 24M 4G/4R accu COHERING
  • $TWLO -6.1% 5.1%/day 3mo +33% $ 879M 7G/2R accu COHERING
  • $CNK -6.8% 3.3%/day 3mo +25% $ 70M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $RVTY -7.3% 3.5%/day 3mo +39% $ 331M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $SMTC -7.3% 5.7%/day 3mo +42% $ 490M 4G/4R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $OSCR -3.2% 4.8%/day 3mo +6% $ 167M 2G/0R accu COHERING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $KOD — 5/5 days
  • $CD — 5/5 days
  • $XP — 5/5 days
  • $FEAM — 5/5 days
  • $APUS — 5/5 days
  • $DNA — 5/5 days
  • $HPEL — 5/5 days
  • $SOTK — 5/5 days
  • $RXO — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $PTC — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $PSIG — 5/5 days
  • $P — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $GRAL — 5/5 days
  • $LFCR — 5/5 days
  • $VRA — 5/5 days
  • $VEEA — 4/5 days
  • $ZSQR — 4/5 days
  • $MRNX — 4/5 days
  • $CANG — 4/5 days
  • $CIEG — 4/5 days
  • $CRDU — 4/5 days
  • $OPCH — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $LITX — 4/5 days
  • $XRPN — 4/5 days
  • $MSGY — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $TWLO

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 7G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $VIR

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 4G/6R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 Inside-Bar Setup — the cocked trigger — $HOG

An inside bar pressed to the box top = a defined buy-stop trigger with the stop right below. You’re early AND you have an exact level — the highest-value pre-obvious state. This name: inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 5G/7R net accumulation under a flat tape; 7% off the high

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_1009 (5)

TWLO,GME,MD,LITE,HOG

KC_Coils_D_1009 (12)

GME,RXO,LITE,SIG,CBRL,MD,PBF,PRLB,TWLO,CNK,RVTY,SMTC

KC_Fakes_D_1009 (5)

HOG,VIR,AAMI,DOCU,KNTK

KC_OffIdx_D_1009 (1)

OSCR

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.