Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 133 · Thursday, October 8, 2026

daily edition · the machine's output as it shipped, no calls edited, no numbers changed · notation: how we count · outcomes: counted →

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-10-08 (Thu)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-10-08 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 1 · COILING 25 (cohering 10 / diverging 6) · FRESH_BREAK 1

🌐 REGIME — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

capitulation — don’t chase weakness; watch the ⭐ coils for the turn today 51↑ / 47↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance +64 · T2108 28% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-10-07)

  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $PARR, $OSCR
  • 🌀 new coil: $DOCU, $AMN, $QLYS, $UFCS, $NPK, $CNK, $GME, $CTVA
  • ➖ dropped out: $RVTY, $COHU, $INSW, $PBF, $AVT, $FRO, $ARW, $CBRL, $APA, $WCC, $SBH

🚦 Gate — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

Capitulation — these coils are TURN-WATCH, not chase-now. Size small, let the regime flip green before leaning in.

⭐ Worth a real look

  • $CTVA (-6.0% from high, 3%/day, +7% 3mo) — 2G/1R net accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high; range contracting
  • $SIG (-3.9% from high, 3%/day, +26% 3mo) — 3G/2R net accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
  • $GME (-6.0% from high, 3%/day, +17% 3mo) — 9G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high; range contracting
  • $MRNA (-7.2% from high, 7%/day, +189% 3mo) — 5G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 7% off the high
  • $SMTC (-7.2% from high, 6%/day, +38% 3mo) — 4G/4R net accumulation under a flat tape; 7% off the high
  • $LITE (-7.8% from high, 6%/day, +31% 3mo) — 2G/1R net accumulation under a flat tape; 8% off the high; range contracting

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs

  • $VIR (-6.9% from high) — 4G/7R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $KNTK (-4.4% from high) — 1G/6R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $DOCU (-4.8% from high) — 1G/3R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $HOG (-7.3% from high) — 5G/7R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $PARR -2.0% 5.2%/day 3mo +33% $ 78M 7G/4R neut MIXED

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $KNTK -4.4% 3.0%/day 3mo +13% $ 69M 1G/6R dist DIVERGING
  • $DOCU -4.8% 3.1%/day 3mo +45% $ 194M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $QLYS -5.2% 4.4%/day 3mo +27% $ 131M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $AAMI -5.3% 3.2%/day 3mo +14% $ 40M 5G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $VIR -6.9% 5.3%/day 3mo +12% $ 22M 4G/7R dist DIVERGING
  • $HOG -7.3% 3.6%/day 3mo +6% $ 52M 5G/7R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $SIG -3.9% 3.5%/day 3mo +26% $ 89M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $ECPG -4.7% 3.0%/day 3mo +8% $ 25M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $CNK -5.9% 3.3%/day 3mo +27% $ 70M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CTVA -6.0% 3.2%/day 3mo +7% $ 426M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $GME -6.0% 3.3%/day 3mo +17% $ 226M 9G/3R accu COHERING
  • $DDOG -6.5% 3.8%/day 3mo +6% $ 714M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $MRNA -7.2% 7.0%/day 3mo+189% $ 2974M 5G/3R accu COHERING
  • $SMTC -7.2% 5.7%/day 3mo +38% $ 490M 4G/4R accu COHERING
  • $PRLB -7.8% 3.3%/day 3mo +24% $ 24M 4G/4R accu COHERING
  • $LITE -7.8% 5.7%/day 3mo +31% $ 4109M 2G/1R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $OSCR -4.0% 4.8%/day 3mo +8% $ 167M 2G/4R dist DIVERGING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $CD — 5/5 days
  • $KOD — 5/5 days
  • $XRPN — 5/5 days
  • $MSGY — 5/5 days
  • $FEAM — 5/5 days
  • $P — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $HPEL — 5/5 days
  • $PSIG — 5/5 days
  • $LFCR — 5/5 days
  • $GRAL — 5/5 days
  • $VRA — 5/5 days
  • $DNA — 5/5 days
  • $APUS — 4/5 days
  • $XP — 4/5 days
  • $RXO — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $PTC — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $SOTK — 4/5 days
  • $MRNX — 4/5 days
  • $CRDU — 4/5 days
  • $VNCE — 4/5 days
  • $MVLL — 4/5 days
  • $SVRN — 4/5 days
  • $LITX — 4/5 days
  • $NTWK — 4/5 days
  • $MXL — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $GME

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 9G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high; range contracting

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $KNTK

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 1G/6R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🚫 Extended — what we do NOT chase — $ITGR

Already ran far from the 40-MA (high ATR-extension): the obvious move everyone sees, edge gone, prone to the pullback. We surface the pre-obvious coil, not this. This name: +182.1 ATR above the 200d — -0.1% off high but already extended

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_1008 (7)

CTVA,SIG,GME,MRNA,SMTC,LITE,PARR

KC_Coils_D_1008 (10)

SIG,ECPG,CNK,CTVA,GME,DDOG,MRNA,SMTC,PRLB,LITE

KC_Fakes_D_1008 (6)

KNTK,DOCU,QLYS,AAMI,VIR,HOG

KC_OffIdx_D_1008 (1)

OSCR

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.