Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 131 · Wednesday, October 7, 2026

daily edition · the machine's output as it shipped, no calls edited, no numbers changed · notation: how we count · outcomes: counted →

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-10-07 (Wed)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-10-07 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 2 · COILING 26 (cohering 13 / diverging 7) · FRESH_BREAK 0

🌐 REGIME — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

capitulation — don’t chase weakness; watch the ⭐ coils for the turn today 10↑ / 84↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance +114 · T2108 24% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-10-06)

  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $VIR, $KNTK
  • 🌀 new coil: $SNPS, $GEO, $CHEF, $COHU, $APA, $ARW, $WCC, $SBH, $MRNA, $PRLB, $DDOG
  • ➖ dropped out: $NPK, $META, $NVT, $WT, $UFCS, $ROG, $GME, $VCTR

🚦 Gate — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

Capitulation — these coils are TURN-WATCH, not chase-now. Size small, let the regime flip green before leaning in.

⭐ Worth a real look

  • $SIG (-6.2% from high, 3%/day, +24% 3mo) — 3G/2R net accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high; range contracting
  • $PBF (-2.4% from high, 6%/day, +57% 3mo) — 6G/4R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $SMTC (-4.1% from high, 5%/day, +41% 3mo) — 4G/3R net accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
  • $ECPG (-5.4% from high, 3%/day, +8% 3mo) — 5G/2R net accumulation under a flat tape; 5% off the high
  • $AVT (-5.6% from high, 4%/day, +19% 3mo) — 3G/3R net accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high
  • $PRLB (-6.7% from high, 3%/day, +24% 3mo) — 4G/4R net accumulation under a flat tape; 7% off the high

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs

  • $VIR (-3.5% from high) — 4G/7R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $KNTK (-5.6% from high) — 3G/8R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $APA (-7.7% from high) — 1G/4R — supply leaving while 8% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $SBH (-7.9% from high) — 5G/6R — supply leaving while 8% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $VIR -3.5% 5.0%/day 3mo +11% $ 22M 4G/7R dist DIVERGING
  • $KNTK -5.6% 3.1%/day 3mo +11% $ 70M 3G/8R dist DIVERGING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $VIR -3.5% 5.0%/day 3mo +11% $ 22M 4G/7R dist DIVERGING
  • $KNTK -5.6% 3.1%/day 3mo +11% $ 70M 3G/8R dist DIVERGING
  • $AAMI -6.1% 3.2%/day 3mo +15% $ 39M 5G/6R dist DIVERGING
  • $CHEF -6.3% 3.0%/day 3mo +14% $ 66M 4G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $HOG -6.6% 3.5%/day 3mo +8% $ 50M 5G/6R dist DIVERGING
  • $APA -7.7% 3.1%/day 3mo +32% $ 257M 1G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $SBH -7.9% 3.1%/day 3mo +12% $ 21M 5G/6R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $LITE -2.3% 5.7%/day 3mo +41% $ 4103M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $PBF -2.4% 6.2%/day 3mo +57% $ 282M 6G/4R accu COHERING
  • $INSW -2.5% 4.0%/day 3mo +41% $ 89M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $SMTC -4.1% 5.2%/day 3mo +41% $ 482M 4G/3R accu COHERING
  • $ECPG -5.4% 3.0%/day 3mo +8% $ 28M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $AVT -5.6% 3.6%/day 3mo +19% $ 133M 3G/3R accu COHERING
  • $SIG -6.2% 3.5%/day 3mo +24% $ 92M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $CBRL -6.4% 4.3%/day 3mo +14% $ 52M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $COHU -6.5% 4.6%/day 3mo +28% $ 70M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $PRLB -6.7% 3.3%/day 3mo +24% $ 24M 4G/4R accu COHERING
  • $DDOG -7.3% 3.8%/day 3mo +1% $ 706M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $MRNA -7.4% 7.0%/day 3mo+157% $ 2892M 4G/3R accu COHERING
  • $RVTY -7.6% 3.4%/day 3mo +36% $ 330M 2G/2R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $FRO -3.4% 3.2%/day 3mo +45% $ 202M 8G/5R accu COHERING
  • $OSCR -4.6% 5.0%/day 3mo +5% $ 167M 2G/4R dist DIVERGING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $CD — 5/5 days
  • $KOD — 5/5 days
  • $XRPN — 5/5 days
  • $SVRN — 5/5 days
  • $MSGY — 5/5 days
  • $P — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $LITX — 5/5 days
  • $NTWK — 5/5 days
  • $MXL — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $SUIL — 5/5 days
  • $FEAM — 5/5 days
  • $LFCR — 5/5 days
  • $PSIG — 5/5 days
  • $GRAL — 5/5 days
  • $DNA — 5/5 days
  • $VRA — 5/5 days
  • $USDE — 5/5 days
  • $APUS — 4/5 days
  • $HPEL — 4/5 days
  • $MVLL — 4/5 days
  • $AVX — 4/5 days
  • $MRNX — 4/5 days
  • $AMDL — 4/5 days
  • $SDEV — 4/5 days
  • $AXTL — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $PBF

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 6G/4R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $VIR

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 4G/7R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⚖️ Decisive vs Thin — why the count matters — $ECPG

A lopsided tally (e.g. 7G/0R) is decisive commitment; a 2G/2R or 1G/1R is NO read — not enough committed flow to validate either way. Trust decisive, skip thin. This name: 5G/2R net accumulation under a flat tape; 5% off the high

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_1007 (8)

SIG,PBF,SMTC,ECPG,AVT,PRLB,VIR,KNTK

KC_Coils_D_1007 (13)

LITE,PBF,INSW,SMTC,ECPG,AVT,SIG,CBRL,COHU,PRLB,DDOG,MRNA,RVTY

KC_Fakes_D_1007 (7)

VIR,KNTK,AAMI,CHEF,HOG,APA,SBH

KC_OffIdx_D_1007 (2)

FRO,OSCR

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.