Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 128 · Saturday, October 3, 2026

weekly edition · the machine's output as it shipped, no calls edited, no numbers changed · notation: how we count · outcomes: counted →

Keep Counting [Weekly] — 2026-10-03 (Sat)

universe 1590 · latest weekly bar 2026-09-28 (completed week) SETUP 12 · COILING 119 (cohering 78 / diverging 24) · FRESH_BREAK 0

🌐 REGIME — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

capitulation — don’t chase weakness; watch the ⭐ coils for the turn today 80↑ / 58↓ (7%+ wk-movers) · 5-bar balance -31 · T2108 0% above 40-wk MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-10-02)

  • ⚠️ FLIPPED cohering→diverging (early distribution warning): $BLFS (0G/2R)
  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $META, $ANET, $AMRX, $VLO, $FAST, $DGX
  • 🆕 NEW setup: $SNX, $LPG, $NPK, $DINO, $MPC, $XOM
  • 🌀 new coil: $CRSR, $LITE, $SHOO, $KNTK, $PARR, $SCSC, $MTRN, $ALRM, $BOX, $TER, $CBRL, $QLYS, $CNH, $DOCU, $COHU, $VIR, $AZTA, $NTNX, $KN, $PRSU, $PBF, $RS, $TWLO, $ASML, $FORM, $NEU, $URBN, $ADI, $FRO, $DDOG, $ROG, $CAKE, $SPNT, $SN, $APA, $OKTA, $EIG, $LAUR
  • ➖ dropped out: $EPC, $TGT, $HUM, $MSI, $SWKS, $SIG, $MRK, $NGVT, $ZD, $WST, $BDX, $BFLY, $BBY, $SBH, $ETN, $SAIC, $SHC, $NEOG, $EXPD, $DNOW, $RGEN, $VOYA, $AMGN, $KDP, $HRMY, $ECPG, $TGTX, $MRNA, $WOR, $GRMN, $INCY, $DHR, $VRTX, $UNM

🚦 Gate — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

Capitulation — these coils are TURN-WATCH, not chase-now. Size small, let the regime flip green before leaning in.

⭐ Worth a real look

  • $P (-0.5% from high, 14%/wk, +124% 6mo) — 3G/2R net accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high
  • $AMRX (-4.1% from high, 7%/wk, +63% 6mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 5G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $DT (-1.5% from high, 8%/wk, +57% 6mo) — 6G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting
  • $PRLB (-1.2% from high, 7%/wk, +70% 6mo) — 4G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting
  • $CON (-2.9% from high, 5%/wk, +71% 6mo) — 4G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
  • $CNXN (-1.6% from high, 6%/wk, +55% 6mo) — 6G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs

  • $SNX (-6.8% from high) — 2G/3R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $PLUS (-4.8% from high) — 1G/4R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $HPE (-1.4% from high) — 2G/2R — supply leaving while glued to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $JXN (-6.7% from high) — 3G/3R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $MPC -2.0% 8.2%/wk 6mo +75% $ 4205M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $VLO -3.0% 7.6%/wk 6mo +66% $ 4747M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $ANET -3.5% 10.3%/wk 6mo +64% $ 6158M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $AMRX -4.1% 6.7%/wk 6mo +63% $ 173M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $LPG -4.6% 10.3%/wk 6mo +65% $ 150M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $DGX -6.2% 5.2%/wk 6mo +18% $ 1133M 5G/3R accu COHERING
  • $META -6.6% 9.3%/wk 6mo +27% $60440M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $FAST -4.1% 5.6%/wk 6mo +10% $ 1810M 4G/2R neut MIXED
  • $DINO -4.2% 9.6%/wk 6mo +87% $ 1270M 2G/1R neut MIXED
  • $XOM -7.0% 5.2%/wk 6mo +2% $10934M 2G/1R neut MIXED
  • $NPK -4.7% 6.6%/wk 6mo +6% $ 70M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $SNX -6.8% 7.2%/wk 6mo +49% $ 877M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $KEYS -0.8% 7.9%/wk 6mo +32% $ 2002M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $HPE -1.4% 14.3%/wk 6mo+182% $ 4872M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $ARW -2.1% 7.5%/wk 6mo +66% $ 626M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $PBF -3.1% 13.6%/wk 6mo +78% $ 1077M 4G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $UFCS -3.7% 6.1%/wk 6mo +45% $ 41M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $PK -4.1% 5.6%/wk 6mo +49% $ 278M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $PARR -4.2% 13.3%/wk 6mo +29% $ 383M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $AAMI -4.4% 7.2%/wk 6mo +70% $ 165M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $VTRS -4.5% 5.6%/wk 6mo +31% $ 766M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $NPK -4.7% 6.6%/wk 6mo +6% $ 70M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $PLUS -4.8% 6.6%/wk 6mo +21% $ 86M 1G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $NHC -4.9% 6.3%/wk 6mo +40% $ 121M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $AMG -5.5% 6.4%/wk 6mo +40% $ 482M 2G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $BRKR -5.6% 9.9%/wk 6mo +72% $ 553M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $ALRM -6.0% 5.7%/wk 6mo +25% $ 117M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $BLFS -6.2% 6.7%/wk 6mo +91% $ 153M 0G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $ADI -6.4% 6.4%/wk 6mo +31% $ 6815M 0G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $EIG -6.6% 5.1%/wk 6mo +17% $ 47M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $ASML -6.6% 7.4%/wk 6mo +42% $11327M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $JXN -6.7% 6.3%/wk 6mo +27% $ 409M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $SNX -6.8% 7.2%/wk 6mo +49% $ 877M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $MD -7.1% 5.6%/wk 6mo +23% $ 93M 1G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $KNTK -7.7% 5.3%/wk 6mo +13% $ 282M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $IFF -7.7% 5.1%/wk 6mo +14% $ 665M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $INSW -0.3% 8.2%/wk 6mo +54% $ 248M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $P -0.5% 14.5%/wk 6mo+124% $ 1325M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $LITE -0.6% 19.4%/wk 6mo +31% $18524M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $HSTM -0.9% 5.2%/wk 6mo +51% $ 26M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $WCC -0.9% 7.2%/wk 6mo +38% $ 880M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $FTNT -1.2% 8.7%/wk 6mo+119% $ 3631M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $PRLB -1.2% 6.9%/wk 6mo +70% $ 76M 4G/0R accu COHERING
  • $CRWD -1.3% 13.1%/wk 6mo+171% $ 8314M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $DT -1.5% 7.7%/wk 6mo +57% $ 1591M 6G/0R accu COHERING
  • $AVT -1.6% 8.1%/wk 6mo +73% $ 516M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $AMN -1.6% 7.9%/wk 6mo+101% $ 97M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $CNXN -1.6% 5.9%/wk 6mo +55% $ 56M 6G/0R accu COHERING
  • $NVDA -1.7% 7.6%/wk 6mo +32% $133666M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $FFIV -1.7% 6.9%/wk 6mo +50% $ 1046M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CHEF -1.8% 7.4%/wk 6mo+102% $ 365M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $AMD -1.8% 11.3%/wk 6mo+191% $68698M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $OKTA -2.4% 12.3%/wk 6mo+164% $ 2214M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $CVI -2.5% 11.7%/wk 6mo +73% $ 180M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $ILMN -2.5% 9.0%/wk 6mo+114% $ 2072M 1G/1R accu COHERING
  • $APH -2.6% 7.4%/wk 6mo +36% $ 4998M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $ZBRA -2.7% 6.6%/wk 6mo +85% $ 985M 1G/1R accu COHERING
  • $EMR -2.8% 5.5%/wk 6mo +23% $ 1758M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CON -2.9% 5.4%/wk 6mo +71% $ 140M 4G/0R accu COHERING
  • $EGBN -3.1% 5.4%/wk 6mo +11% $ 34M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $SMTC -3.5% 17.9%/wk 6mo+136% $ 1890M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $TMP -3.6% 5.1%/wk 6mo +23% $ 54M 5G/3R accu COHERING
  • $TWLO -3.7% 10.7%/wk 6mo+125% $ 1977M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $LQDT -3.9% 6.6%/wk 6mo +39% $ 42M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $MATX -4.1% 6.3%/wk 6mo +39% $ 324M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $TMO -4.2% 5.0%/wk 6mo +33% $ 5352M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $QLYS -4.2% 12.3%/wk 6mo+118% $ 559M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $RVTY -4.3% 6.7%/wk 6mo +70% $ 979M 4G/0R accu COHERING
  • $PEB -4.3% 5.8%/wk 6mo +49% $ 204M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $CRL -4.3% 6.9%/wk 6mo +67% $ 1180M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $EQH -4.4% 6.1%/wk 6mo +39% $ 698M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $MTD -4.4% 5.7%/wk 6mo +18% $ 1190M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $RNG -4.4% 11.0%/wk 6mo+107% $ 578M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $AVTR -4.4% 6.8%/wk 6mo +94% $ 600M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $EXEL -4.5% 7.2%/wk 6mo +33% $ 647M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CRBG -4.5% 5.5%/wk 6mo +42% $ 715M 5G/2R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $ASX -1.0% 11.2%/wk 6mo+113% $ 1410M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $TSM -1.3% 6.3%/wk 6mo +39% $24860M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $GH -3.1% 9.3%/wk 6mo +89% $ 1736M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $FRO -4.0% 8.3%/wk 6mo +44% $ 492M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $PGEN -4.9% 13.9%/wk 6mo+117% $ 168M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $TWST -5.8% 13.7%/wk 6mo+276% $ 877M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $TXG -1.7% 13.5%/wk 6mo+319% $ 858M 3G/0R accu MIXED

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $KOD — 5/5 days
  • $YDES — 5/5 days
  • $CD — 5/5 days
  • $GLND — 5/5 days
  • $SVRN — 5/5 days
  • $SUIL — 5/5 days
  • $DNA — 5/5 days
  • $MEDS — 5/5 days
  • $MXL — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $PSIG — 5/5 days
  • $AVX — 5/5 days
  • $VICR — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $USDE — 5/5 days
  • $QMCO — 5/5 days
  • $AMDL — 5/5 days
  • $P — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $SRZN — 5/5 days
  • $MRNX — 5/5 days
  • $FEAM — 4/5 days
  • $GRAL — 4/5 days
  • $AXTL — 4/5 days
  • $AXTX — 4/5 days
  • $IOVA — 4/5 days
  • $GRML — 4/5 days
  • $SECZ — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $AMRX

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 5G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $PLUS

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 1G/4R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 Inside-Bar Setup — the cocked trigger — $MPC

An inside bar pressed to the box top = a defined buy-stop trigger with the stop right below. You’re early AND you have an exact level — the highest-value pre-obvious state. This name: inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 3G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_W_1003 (17)

P,AMRX,DT,PRLB,CON,CNXN,MPC,VLO,ANET,LPG,DGX,META,FAST,DINO,XOM,NPK,SNX

KC_Coils_W_1003 (50)

INSW,P,LITE,HSTM,WCC,FTNT,PRLB,CRWD,DT,AVT,AMN,CNXN,NVDA,FFIV,CHEF,AMD,OKTA,CVI,ILMN,APH,ZBRA,EMR,CON,EGBN,SMTC,TMP,TWLO,LQDT,MATX,TMO,QLYS,RVTY,PEB,CRL,EQH,MTD,RNG,AVTR,EXEL,CRBG,PSX,BIIB,DE,CRVL,BOX,WAT,HAE,ROG,GEO,DELL

KC_Fakes_W_1003 (24)

NPK,SNX,KEYS,HPE,ARW,PBF,UFCS,PK,PARR,AAMI,VTRS,PLUS,NHC,AMG,BRKR,ALRM,BLFS,ADI,EIG,ASML,JXN,MD,KNTK,IFF

KC_OffIdx_W_1003 (7)

ASX,TSM,GH,FRO,PGEN,TWST,TXG

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.