Keep Counting [Weekly] — 2026-10-01 (Thu)

universe 1590 · latest weekly bar 2026-09-21 (completed week) SETUP 16 · COILING 105 (cohering 72 / diverging 20) · FRESH_BREAK 0

🌐 REGIME — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

capitulation — don’t chase weakness; watch the ⭐ coils for the turn today 94↑ / 70↓ (7%+ wk-movers) · 5-bar balance -158 · T2108 0% above 40-wk MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-09-30)

🌀 new coil: $CRVL

🚦 Gate — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

Capitulation — these coils are TURN-WATCH, not chase-now. Size small, let the regime flip green before leaning in.

⭐ Worth a real look

$LQDT (-1.1% from high, 7%/wk, +48% 6mo) — 5G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting
$P (-4.1% from high, 15%/wk, +114% 6mo) — 3G/2R net accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
$ZD (-6.6% from high, 6%/wk, +36% 6mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 3G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 7% off the high; range contracting
$DT (-2.5% from high, 8%/wk, +61% 6mo) — 6G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
$TMP (-2.9% from high, 5%/wk, +30% 6mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 5G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; very tight box; range contracting
$RVTY (-0.8% from high, 7%/wk, +80% 6mo) — 4G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs

$HPE (-4.1% from high) — 1G/2R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$PLUS (-7.8% from high) — 1G/4R — supply leaving while 8% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$AAMI (-4.7% from high) — 1G/2R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$UFCS (-6.0% from high) — 3G/5R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

$EXEL -2.6% 7.2%/wk 6mo +40% $ 622M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$TMP -2.9% 5.1%/wk 6mo +30% $ 51M 5G/3R accu COHERING
$HAE -4.7% 6.9%/wk 6mo +95% $ 302M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$SOLV -4.9% 5.7%/wk 6mo +43% $ 417M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$DELL -5.5% 15.7%/wk 6mo+228% $13935M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$CHEF -6.3% 6.9%/wk 6mo +85% $ 348M 4G/2R accu COHERING
$ZD -6.6% 5.7%/wk 6mo +36% $ 151M 3G/0R accu COHERING
$INCY -6.6% 6.2%/wk 6mo +37% $ 901M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$SIG -7.2% 7.5%/wk 6mo +22% $ 310M 4G/1R accu COHERING
$TGT -7.8% 6.5%/wk 6mo +31% $ 2637M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$TRST -5.2% 5.4%/wk 6mo +31% $ 36M 4G/2R neut MIXED
$JXN -5.5% 5.9%/wk 6mo +31% $ 402M 4G/2R neut MIXED
$NSIT -5.6% 8.9%/wk 6mo+142% $ 200M 3G/1R neut MIXED
$MD -5.8% 7.2%/wk 6mo +28% $ 91M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
$FTRE -7.0% 8.9%/wk 6mo+119% $ 97M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
$DNOW -7.7% 6.2%/wk 6mo +30% $ 148M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

$MRNA -1.9% 15.5%/wk 6mo+301% $ 3449M 1G/1R dist DIVERGING
$ARW -1.9% 7.5%/wk 6mo +67% $ 607M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
$TGTX -3.2% 10.5%/wk 6mo +81% $ 540M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
$KEYS -3.4% 7.9%/wk 6mo +30% $ 2002M 0G/2R dist DIVERGING
$IFF -4.1% 5.1%/wk 6mo +21% $ 665M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
$HPE -4.1% 14.3%/wk 6mo+163% $ 4716M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
$JCI -4.4% 5.4%/wk 6mo +14% $ 2372M 1G/1R dist DIVERGING
$FAST -4.7% 5.6%/wk 6mo +12% $ 1700M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
$AAMI -4.7% 7.1%/wk 6mo +80% $ 164M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
$PK -4.8% 5.8%/wk 6mo +48% $ 278M 0G/3R dist DIVERGING
$AMG -4.9% 6.4%/wk 6mo +39% $ 482M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
$NHC -5.0% 6.7%/wk 6mo +41% $ 120M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
$KDP -5.5% 5.5%/wk 6mo +22% $ 1933M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
$MD -5.8% 7.2%/wk 6mo +28% $ 91M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
$UFCS -6.0% 6.1%/wk 6mo +46% $ 41M 3G/5R dist DIVERGING
$VRTX -6.1% 5.5%/wk 6mo +22% $ 3098M 0G/2R dist DIVERGING
$FTRE -7.0% 8.9%/wk 6mo+119% $ 97M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
$DNOW -7.7% 6.2%/wk 6mo +30% $ 148M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
$PLUS -7.8% 6.6%/wk 6mo +21% $ 84M 1G/4R dist DIVERGING
$NGVT -7.9% 6.1%/wk 6mo +3% $ 80M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

$WAT -0.6% 5.3%/wk 6mo +50% $ 1488M 4G/1R accu COHERING
$PRLB -0.7% 8.3%/wk 6mo +72% $ 75M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$BIIB -0.7% 6.1%/wk 6mo +24% $ 988M 3G/2R accu COHERING
$RVTY -0.8% 6.7%/wk 6mo +80% $ 928M 4G/0R accu COHERING
$BLFS -1.0% 6.7%/wk 6mo+107% $ 153M 1G/1R accu COHERING
$LQDT -1.1% 6.6%/wk 6mo +48% $ 41M 5G/0R accu COHERING
$A -1.1% 6.5%/wk 6mo +57% $ 1506M 3G/2R accu COHERING
$TMO -1.2% 5.0%/wk 6mo +43% $ 4873M 3G/0R accu COHERING
$AMD -1.3% 12.1%/wk 6mo+212% $65041M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$CNXN -1.3% 5.9%/wk 6mo +56% $ 54M 5G/0R accu COHERING
$AVT -1.4% 8.1%/wk 6mo +73% $ 494M 2G/2R accu COHERING
$CRBG -2.2% 5.5%/wk 6mo +56% $ 555M 5G/1R accu COHERING
$EQH -2.2% 5.9%/wk 6mo +52% $ 640M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$DT -2.5% 7.7%/wk 6mo +61% $ 1396M 6G/0R accu COHERING
$HALO -2.5% 6.7%/wk 6mo +85% $ 784M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$EGBN -2.6% 5.4%/wk 6mo +16% $ 34M 4G/0R accu COHERING
$QRVO -2.6% 7.5%/wk 6mo +53% $ 479M 3G/0R accu COHERING
$ILMN -2.9% 9.0%/wk 6mo+129% $ 1928M 1G/1R accu COHERING
$CNK -3.1% 6.6%/wk 6mo +35% $ 390M 4G/1R accu COHERING
$CRL -3.5% 7.7%/wk 6mo +84% $ 1092M 4G/1R accu COHERING
$NEOG -3.5% 8.9%/wk 6mo +58% $ 98M 2G/2R accu COHERING
$NEO -3.6% 8.5%/wk 6mo+169% $ 173M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$META -3.6% 9.6%/wk 6mo +43% $58503M 4G/1R accu COHERING
$EXPD -3.7% 5.0%/wk 6mo +33% $ 873M 2G/2R accu COHERING
$SWKS -3.7% 11.8%/wk 6mo +67% $ 1676M 3G/0R accu COHERING
$BIO -3.8% 5.9%/wk 6mo +44% $ 493M 4G/0R accu COHERING
$ANET -3.9% 10.3%/wk 6mo +71% $ 6158M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$WST -4.0% 5.1%/wk 6mo +52% $ 1098M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$GILD -4.0% 6.1%/wk 6mo +12% $ 4087M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$FFIV -4.1% 7.2%/wk 6mo +57% $ 1046M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$P -4.1% 15.4%/wk 6mo+114% $ 1101M 3G/2R accu COHERING
$SBH -4.1% 7.0%/wk 6mo +29% $ 97M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$ZBRA -4.2% 7.5%/wk 6mo +83% $ 982M 1G/1R accu COHERING
$DE -4.3% 6.4%/wk 6mo +22% $ 3582M 4G/1R accu COHERING
$FTNT -4.4% 8.7%/wk 6mo+122% $ 3631M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$SMTC -4.4% 20.4%/wk 6mo+153% $ 1890M 2G/2R accu COHERING
$CRWD -4.4% 13.1%/wk 6mo+173% $ 8314M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$CON -4.6% 5.4%/wk 6mo +66% $ 140M 3G/0R accu COHERING
$WCC -4.7% 7.2%/wk 6mo +40% $ 880M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$BDX -4.8% 5.3%/wk 6mo +19% $ 1439M 2G/0R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

$TXG -0.5% 13.5%/wk 6mo+340% $ 803M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$TWST -1.8% 13.7%/wk 6mo+311% $ 872M 3G/0R accu COHERING
$ASX -2.7% 11.9%/wk 6mo+106% $ 1410M 1G/1R accu COHERING
$GH -3.4% 9.8%/wk 6mo+109% $ 1736M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$PGEN -6.3% 13.9%/wk 6mo+111% $ 138M 4G/2R accu COHERING
$BFLY -6.6% 19.1%/wk 6mo+140% $ 261M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$TSM -5.9% 6.3%/wk 6mo +38% $24860M 2G/1R neut MIXED

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

$GLND — 5/5 days
$YDES — 5/5 days
$SUIL — 5/5 days
$SVRN — 5/5 days
$CD — 5/5 days
$MEDS — 5/5 days
$AVX — 5/5 days
$USDE — 5/5 days
$DNA — 5/5 days
$PSIG — 5/5 days
$VICR — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
$GRML — 5/5 days
$SECZ — 5/5 days
$MRNX — 5/5 days
$APUS — 5/5 days
$BALY — 5/5 days
$AMDL — 5/5 days
$LABX — 5/5 days
$MXL — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
$QMCO — 5/5 days
$KOD — 4/5 days
$AXTL — 4/5 days
$AXTX — 4/5 days
$SRZN — 4/5 days
$P — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $LQDT

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 5G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $HPE

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 1G/2R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⚖️ Decisive vs Thin — why the count matters — $DT

A lopsided tally (e.g. 7G/0R) is decisive commitment; a 2G/2R or 1G/1R is NO read — not enough committed flow to validate either way. Trust decisive, skip thin. This name: 6G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_W_1001 (20)

LQDT,P,ZD,DT,TMP,RVTY,EXEL,HAE,SOLV,DELL,CHEF,INCY,SIG,TGT,TRST,JXN,NSIT,MD,FTRE,DNOW

KC_Coils_W_1001 (50)

WAT,PRLB,BIIB,RVTY,BLFS,LQDT,A,TMO,AMD,CNXN,AVT,CRBG,EQH,DT,HALO,EGBN,QRVO,ILMN,CNK,CRL,NEOG,NEO,META,EXPD,SWKS,BIO,ANET,WST,GILD,FFIV,P,SBH,ZBRA,DE,FTNT,SMTC,CRWD,CON,WCC,BDX,UNM,NVDA,EMR,AVTR,DGX,SCL,HRMY,MRK,APH,GEO

KC_Fakes_W_1001 (20)

MD,FTRE,DNOW,MRNA,ARW,TGTX,KEYS,IFF,HPE,JCI,FAST,AAMI,PK,AMG,NHC,KDP,UFCS,VRTX,PLUS,NGVT

KC_OffIdx_W_1001 (7)

TXG,TWST,ASX,GH,PGEN,BFLY,TSM

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.

Read № 125 · Thursday, October 1, 2026