Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 122 · Wednesday, September 30, 2026

daily edition · the machine's output as it shipped, no calls edited, no numbers changed · notation: how we count · outcomes: counted →

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-09-30 (Wed)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-09-30 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 0 · COILING 32 (cohering 17 / diverging 3) · FRESH_BREAK 0

🌐 REGIME — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

capitulation — don’t chase weakness; watch the ⭐ coils for the turn today 18↑ / 34↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance -35 · T2108 18% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-09-29)

  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $GH
  • 🌀 new coil: $QLYS, $FORM, $VIR, $PARR, $CVI, $DDOG, $RGEN, $PBF
  • ➖ dropped out: $NEO, $GEO

🚦 Gate — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

Capitulation — these coils are TURN-WATCH, not chase-now. Size small, let the regime flip green before leaning in.

⭐ Worth a real look

  • $AMRX (-4.9% from high, 3%/day, +19% 3mo) — 4G/4R net accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
  • $SDGR (-4.3% from high, 6%/day, +89% 3mo) — 4G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
  • $INSW (-4.1% from high, 4%/day, +42% 3mo) — 10G/5R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $TGTX (-5.9% from high, 4%/day, +4% 3mo) — 6G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high
  • $AVT (-4.4% from high, 3%/day, +15% 3mo) — 8G/4R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $PBF (-6.8% from high, 5%/day, +60% 3mo) — 7G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 7% off the high

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs

  • $AAMI (-6.9% from high) — 3G/8R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $QLYS (-7.1% from high) — 2G/7R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $FFIV (-3.6% from high) — 3G/3R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • none

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $FFIV -3.6% 3.2%/day 3mo +5% $ 212M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $AAMI -6.9% 3.1%/day 3mo +27% $ 37M 3G/8R dist DIVERGING
  • $QLYS -7.1% 4.4%/day 3mo +31% $ 115M 2G/7R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $P -1.9% 4.6%/day 3mo +70% $ 345M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $BRKR -3.3% 4.6%/day 3mo +7% $ 140M 3G/3R accu COHERING
  • $RGEN -3.3% 3.8%/day 3mo +38% $ 169M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $TWLO -4.0% 4.4%/day 3mo +40% $ 541M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $INSW -4.1% 3.8%/day 3mo +42% $ 80M 10G/5R accu COHERING
  • $SDGR -4.3% 6.2%/day 3mo +89% $ 58M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $AVT -4.4% 3.4%/day 3mo +15% $ 123M 8G/4R accu COHERING
  • $HPE -4.8% 5.1%/day 3mo +45% $ 1456M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $AMRX -4.9% 3.5%/day 3mo +19% $ 49M 4G/4R accu COHERING
  • $TGTX -5.9% 3.6%/day 3mo +4% $ 86M 6G/3R accu COHERING
  • $DDOG -6.4% 4.3%/day 3mo +4% $ 781M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $SMTC -6.4% 5.9%/day 3mo +21% $ 482M 5G/4R accu COHERING
  • $FTRE -6.7% 4.7%/day 3mo +13% $ 24M 6G/1R accu COHERING
  • $FORM -6.8% 4.8%/day 3mo +1% $ 130M 4G/0R accu COHERING
  • $PBF -6.8% 5.3%/day 3mo +60% $ 230M 7G/3R accu COHERING
  • $META -7.0% 3.2%/day 3mo +18% $13881M 3G/3R accu COHERING
  • $VLO -7.5% 3.5%/day 3mo +44% $ 1367M 12G/5R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $GH -2.8% 4.4%/day 3mo +4% $ 284M 6G/3R accu COHERING
  • $PGEN -4.7% 4.4%/day 3mo +63% $ 26M 4G/2R accu COHERING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $GLND — 5/5 days
  • $SVRN — 5/5 days
  • $AVX — 5/5 days
  • $SUIL — 5/5 days
  • $USDE — 5/5 days
  • $GRML — 5/5 days
  • $DNA — 5/5 days
  • $APUS — 5/5 days
  • $CD — 5/5 days
  • $PSIG — 5/5 days
  • $SECZ — 5/5 days
  • $MRNX — 5/5 days
  • $MEDS — 5/5 days
  • $VICR — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $TEMT — 5/5 days
  • $AMDL — 5/5 days
  • $LABX — 5/5 days
  • $BNC — 5/5 days
  • $PRTH — 5/5 days
  • $YDES — 4/5 days
  • $BALY — 4/5 days
  • $SDGR — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $QMCO — 4/5 days
  • $CYPH — 4/5 days
  • $MXL — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $SDGR

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 4G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $FFIV

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 3G/3R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_0930 (6)

AMRX,SDGR,INSW,TGTX,AVT,PBF

KC_Coils_D_0930 (17)

P,BRKR,RGEN,TWLO,INSW,SDGR,AVT,HPE,AMRX,TGTX,DDOG,SMTC,FTRE,FORM,PBF,META,VLO

KC_Fakes_D_0930 (3)

FFIV,AAMI,QLYS

KC_OffIdx_D_0930 (2)

GH,PGEN

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.