Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 120 · Monday, September 28, 2026

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-09-28 (Mon)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-09-28 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 1 · COILING 25 (cohering 13 / diverging 5) · FRESH_BREAK 0

🌐 REGIME — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

capitulation — don’t chase weakness; watch the ⭐ coils for the turn today 15↑ / 47↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance -66 · T2108 21% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-09-25)

  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $NEOG
  • 🌀 new coil: $CTKB, $TWLO, $AMPH, $SN, $SDGR, $NPK
  • ➖ dropped out: $ARW, $SAIC, $BFLY, $CHEF, $GEO, $CVI, $SMTC, $ECPG, $WOR, $META

🚦 Gate — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

Capitulation — these coils are TURN-WATCH, not chase-now. Size small, let the regime flip green before leaning in.

⭐ Worth a real look

  • $NEOG (-3.8% from high, 4%/day, +51% 3mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 7G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $AMRX (-3.2% from high, 3%/day, +19% 3mo) — 4G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
  • $TGTX (-5.2% from high, 4%/day, +1% 3mo) — 7G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 5% off the high
  • $INSW (-4.3% from high, 4%/day, +39% 3mo) — 10G/4R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $AVT (-3.0% from high, 3%/day, +16% 3mo) — 7G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $SDGR (-6.6% from high, 6%/day, +70% 3mo) — 3G/2R net accumulation under a flat tape; 7% off the high; range contracting

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs

  • $NPK (-7.5% from high) — 2G/7R — supply leaving while 8% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $SN (-6.5% from high) — 6G/6R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $SBH (-5.6% from high) — 3G/5R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $FFIV (-5.7% from high) — 2G/3R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $NEOG -3.8% 3.6%/day 3mo +51% $ 38M 7G/2R accu COHERING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $SBH -5.6% 3.2%/day 3mo +19% $ 19M 3G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $FFIV -5.7% 3.4%/day 3mo +6% $ 212M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $SN -6.5% 3.8%/day 3mo +24% $ 331M 6G/6R dist DIVERGING
  • $BBY -6.9% 3.2%/day 3mo +16% $ 325M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $NPK -7.5% 3.1%/day 3mo +18% $ 15M 2G/7R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $P -1.5% 4.6%/day 3mo +79% $ 303M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $RGEN -2.4% 3.9%/day 3mo +42% $ 169M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $AVT -3.0% 3.3%/day 3mo +16% $ 121M 7G/3R accu COHERING
  • $BRKR -3.1% 4.3%/day 3mo +6% $ 133M 4G/3R accu COHERING
  • $AMRX -3.2% 3.4%/day 3mo +19% $ 41M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $QRVO -4.0% 3.3%/day 3mo +24% $ 148M 5G/4R accu COHERING
  • $INSW -4.3% 3.7%/day 3mo +39% $ 80M 10G/4R accu COHERING
  • $HPE -4.6% 5.1%/day 3mo +41% $ 1456M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $TGTX -5.2% 3.6%/day 3mo +1% $ 85M 7G/2R accu COHERING
  • $TWLO -5.8% 4.5%/day 3mo +44% $ 435M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $FTRE -6.2% 4.7%/day 3mo +14% $ 25M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $SDGR -6.6% 6.2%/day 3mo +70% $ 40M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $VLO -7.0% 3.5%/day 3mo +46% $ 1367M 12G/5R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $GH -3.4% 4.6%/day 3mo +15% $ 291M 6G/3R accu COHERING
  • $ASX -3.8% 3.2%/day 3mo +4% $ 237M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $PGEN -5.6% 4.4%/day 3mo +32% $ 23M 4G/2R accu COHERING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $AEMD — 5/5 days
  • $GRML — 5/5 days
  • $CD — 5/5 days
  • $SECZ — 5/5 days
  • $MEDS — 5/5 days
  • $USDE — 5/5 days
  • $PSIG — 5/5 days
  • $MRNX — 5/5 days
  • $INDP — 5/5 days
  • $VNCE — 5/5 days
  • $VICR — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $AMDL — 5/5 days
  • $CYPH — 5/5 days
  • $LABX — 5/5 days
  • $EAF — 5/5 days
  • $PRTH — 5/5 days
  • $ZCSH — 5/5 days
  • $BNC — 5/5 days
  • $GLOO — 5/5 days
  • $SVRN — 4/5 days
  • $NTRB — 4/5 days
  • $GMEU — 4/5 days
  • $SVIA — 4/5 days
  • $SDGR — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $INTW — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $NEOG

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 7G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $SBH

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 3G/5R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⚖️ Decisive vs Thin — why the count matters — $VLO

A lopsided tally (e.g. 7G/0R) is decisive commitment; a 2G/2R or 1G/1R is NO read — not enough committed flow to validate either way. Trust decisive, skip thin. This name: 12G/5R net accumulation under a flat tape; 7% off the high

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_0928 (6)

NEOG,AMRX,TGTX,INSW,AVT,SDGR

KC_Coils_D_0928 (13)

P,RGEN,AVT,BRKR,AMRX,QRVO,INSW,HPE,TGTX,TWLO,FTRE,SDGR,VLO

KC_Fakes_D_0928 (5)

SBH,FFIV,SN,BBY,NPK

KC_OffIdx_D_0928 (3)

GH,ASX,PGEN

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.