Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 119 · Saturday, September 26, 2026

Keep Counting [Weekly] — 2026-09-26 (Sat)

universe 1590 · latest weekly bar 2026-09-21 (completed week) SETUP 16 · COILING 105 (cohering 71 / diverging 18) · FRESH_BREAK 0

🌐 REGIME — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

capitulation — don’t chase weakness; watch the ⭐ coils for the turn today 94↑ / 70↓ (7%+ wk-movers) · 5-bar balance -164 · T2108 0% above 40-wk MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-09-25)

  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $TRST, $INCY, $HAE, $CHEF, $ZD, $SOLV, $DELL, $FTRE, $TGT, $TMP, $JXN, $GH, $MD
  • 🆕 NEW setup: $SIG, $DNOW, $NSIT
  • 🌀 new coil: $WT, $CRL, $CRVL, $JCI, $HUM, $VRTX, $KDP, $SBH, $PEB, $GRMN, $ASX, $BFLY, $NGVT, $RAL, $META, $P, $AMG, $PANW, $EMR, $APH, $CNK, $KEYS, $SCL, $MSFT, $WOR, $ZBRA, $EXPD, $TSM, $DXPE, $LGND, $MRNA, $DHR, $ETN, $AMGN, $MTD, $WCC, $EPC
  • ➖ dropped out: $LH, $CXW, $MPC, $GNW, $OVV, $APA, $PBF, $BOX, $ELV, $EOG, $ABBV, $WEX, $FRO, $TWLO, $PARR, $EWTX, $MANH, $PAYC, $BGC, $NPK, $ROIV, $EHC, $JNJ, $PLMR, $BFH, $SDGR, $ALRM, $PR, $COP, $DAR, $ADUS, $TRGP, $DINO, $CNH, $OKTA, $CNC, $FLR, $DV, $HZO, $AAPL, $ADM, $LPG, $THC, $PRAA, $HPQ, $OSCR, $KNTK, $EIG, $LFST, $NWSA, $ADP, $DBX, $MTCH, $XOM, $EBAY, $SBCF, $OKE

🚦 Gate — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

Capitulation — these coils are TURN-WATCH, not chase-now. Size small, let the regime flip green before leaning in.

⭐ Worth a real look

  • $BLFS (-1.0% from high, 7%/wk, +107% 6mo) — 2G/1R net accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting
  • $LQDT (-1.1% from high, 7%/wk, +48% 6mo) — 6G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting
  • $P (-4.1% from high, 15%/wk, +114% 6mo) — 3G/2R net accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $ILMN (-2.9% from high, 9%/wk, +129% 6mo) — 2G/1R net accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $DELL (-5.5% from high, 16%/wk, +228% 6mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 2G/1R net accumulation under a flat tape; 5% off the high; range contracting
  • $DT (-2.5% from high, 8%/wk, +61% 6mo) — 6G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs

  • $HPE (-4.1% from high) — 1G/2R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $PLUS (-7.8% from high) — 1G/4R — supply leaving while 8% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $KEYS (-3.4% from high) — 1G/2R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $AAMI (-4.7% from high) — 1G/2R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $EXEL -2.6% 7.2%/wk 6mo +40% $ 647M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $TMP -2.9% 5.1%/wk 6mo +30% $ 54M 6G/3R accu COHERING
  • $HAE -4.7% 6.9%/wk 6mo +95% $ 303M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $SOLV -4.9% 5.7%/wk 6mo +43% $ 417M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $DELL -5.5% 15.7%/wk 6mo+228% $13935M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $NSIT -5.6% 8.9%/wk 6mo+142% $ 200M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CHEF -6.3% 6.9%/wk 6mo +85% $ 348M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $ZD -6.6% 5.7%/wk 6mo +36% $ 154M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $INCY -6.6% 6.2%/wk 6mo +37% $ 913M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $SIG -7.2% 7.5%/wk 6mo +22% $ 310M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $TGT -7.8% 6.5%/wk 6mo +31% $ 2637M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $TRST -5.2% 5.4%/wk 6mo +31% $ 36M 4G/2R neut MIXED
  • $JXN -5.5% 5.9%/wk 6mo +31% $ 402M 5G/2R neut MIXED
  • $MD -5.8% 7.2%/wk 6mo +28% $ 91M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $FTRE -7.0% 8.9%/wk 6mo+119% $ 97M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $DNOW -7.7% 6.2%/wk 6mo +30% $ 153M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $MRNA -1.9% 15.5%/wk 6mo+301% $ 3449M 1G/1R dist DIVERGING
  • $ARW -1.9% 7.5%/wk 6mo +67% $ 607M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $KEYS -3.4% 7.9%/wk 6mo +30% $ 2046M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $HPE -4.1% 14.3%/wk 6mo+163% $ 4716M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $JCI -4.4% 5.4%/wk 6mo +14% $ 2394M 1G/1R dist DIVERGING
  • $FAST -4.7% 5.6%/wk 6mo +12% $ 1700M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $AAMI -4.7% 7.1%/wk 6mo +80% $ 165M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $PK -4.8% 5.8%/wk 6mo +48% $ 278M 0G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $AMG -4.9% 6.4%/wk 6mo +39% $ 482M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $NHC -5.0% 6.7%/wk 6mo +41% $ 121M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $KDP -5.5% 5.5%/wk 6mo +22% $ 1933M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $MD -5.8% 7.2%/wk 6mo +28% $ 91M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $UFCS -6.0% 6.1%/wk 6mo +46% $ 41M 3G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $VRTX -6.1% 5.5%/wk 6mo +22% $ 3132M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $FTRE -7.0% 8.9%/wk 6mo+119% $ 97M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $DNOW -7.7% 6.2%/wk 6mo +30% $ 153M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $PLUS -7.8% 6.6%/wk 6mo +21% $ 86M 1G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $VOYA -7.9% 5.2%/wk 6mo +47% $ 454M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $WAT -0.6% 5.3%/wk 6mo +50% $ 1488M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $PRLB -0.7% 8.3%/wk 6mo +72% $ 75M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $BIIB -0.7% 6.1%/wk 6mo +24% $ 988M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $RVTY -0.8% 6.7%/wk 6mo +80% $ 928M 4G/0R accu COHERING
  • $BLFS -1.0% 6.7%/wk 6mo+107% $ 153M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $LQDT -1.1% 6.6%/wk 6mo +48% $ 41M 6G/0R accu COHERING
  • $A -1.1% 6.5%/wk 6mo +57% $ 1506M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $TMO -1.2% 5.0%/wk 6mo +43% $ 4873M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $AMD -1.3% 12.1%/wk 6mo+212% $65041M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CNXN -1.3% 5.9%/wk 6mo +56% $ 54M 5G/0R accu COHERING
  • $AVT -1.4% 8.1%/wk 6mo +73% $ 494M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $CRBG -2.2% 5.5%/wk 6mo +56% $ 555M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $EQH -2.2% 5.9%/wk 6mo +52% $ 640M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $DT -2.5% 7.7%/wk 6mo +61% $ 1396M 6G/0R accu COHERING
  • $HALO -2.5% 6.7%/wk 6mo +85% $ 784M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $EGBN -2.6% 5.4%/wk 6mo +16% $ 34M 4G/0R accu COHERING
  • $QRVO -2.6% 7.5%/wk 6mo +53% $ 479M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $ILMN -2.9% 9.0%/wk 6mo+129% $ 1928M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CNK -3.1% 6.6%/wk 6mo +35% $ 390M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CRL -3.5% 7.7%/wk 6mo +84% $ 1092M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $NEOG -3.5% 8.9%/wk 6mo +58% $ 98M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $NEO -3.6% 8.5%/wk 6mo+169% $ 173M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $META -3.6% 9.6%/wk 6mo +43% $58503M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $EXPD -3.7% 5.0%/wk 6mo +33% $ 873M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $SWKS -3.7% 11.8%/wk 6mo +67% $ 1676M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $BIO -3.8% 5.9%/wk 6mo +44% $ 493M 4G/0R accu COHERING
  • $ANET -3.9% 10.3%/wk 6mo +71% $ 6158M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $WST -4.0% 5.1%/wk 6mo +52% $ 1098M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $GILD -4.0% 6.1%/wk 6mo +12% $ 4087M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $FFIV -4.1% 7.2%/wk 6mo +57% $ 1046M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $P -4.1% 15.4%/wk 6mo+114% $ 1101M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $SBH -4.1% 7.0%/wk 6mo +29% $ 97M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $ZBRA -4.2% 7.5%/wk 6mo +83% $ 982M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $DE -4.3% 6.4%/wk 6mo +22% $ 3582M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $FTNT -4.4% 8.7%/wk 6mo+122% $ 3631M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $SMTC -4.4% 20.4%/wk 6mo+153% $ 1890M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $CRWD -4.4% 13.1%/wk 6mo+173% $ 8314M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CON -4.6% 5.4%/wk 6mo +66% $ 142M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $WCC -4.7% 7.2%/wk 6mo +40% $ 880M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $BDX -4.8% 5.3%/wk 6mo +19% $ 1467M 2G/0R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $TXG -0.5% 13.5%/wk 6mo+340% $ 803M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $TWST -1.8% 13.7%/wk 6mo+311% $ 872M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $ASX -2.7% 11.9%/wk 6mo+106% $ 1410M 1G/1R accu COHERING
  • $GH -3.4% 9.8%/wk 6mo+109% $ 1736M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $TSM -5.9% 6.3%/wk 6mo +38% $24860M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $PGEN -6.3% 13.9%/wk 6mo+111% $ 138M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $BFLY -6.6% 19.1%/wk 6mo+140% $ 261M 2G/1R accu COHERING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $GRML — 5/5 days
  • $USDE — 5/5 days
  • $SECZ — 5/5 days
  • $CYPH — 5/5 days
  • $INDP — 5/5 days
  • $PSIG — 5/5 days
  • $MRNX — 5/5 days
  • $MEDS — 5/5 days
  • $EAF — 5/5 days
  • $AMDL — 5/5 days
  • $INTW — 5/5 days
  • $BNC — 5/5 days
  • $ZCSH — 5/5 days
  • $FBL — 5/5 days
  • $METU — 5/5 days
  • $ARMG — 5/5 days
  • $PRTH — 5/5 days
  • $GLOO — 5/5 days
  • $AEMD — 4/5 days
  • $CD — 4/5 days
  • $VNCE — 4/5 days
  • $LABX — 4/5 days
  • $VICR — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $HSCS — 4/5 days
  • $GMEU — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $LQDT

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 6G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $HPE

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 1G/2R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🚫 Extended — what we do NOT chase — $OGN

Already ran far from the 40-MA (high ATR-extension): the obvious move everyone sees, edge gone, prone to the pullback. We surface the pre-obvious coil, not this. This name: +29.1 ATR above the 40wk — -0.4% off high but already extended

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_W_0926 (21)

BLFS,LQDT,P,ILMN,DELL,DT,EXEL,TMP,HAE,SOLV,NSIT,CHEF,ZD,INCY,SIG,TGT,TRST,JXN,MD,FTRE,DNOW

KC_Coils_W_0926 (50)

WAT,PRLB,BIIB,RVTY,BLFS,LQDT,A,TMO,AMD,CNXN,AVT,CRBG,EQH,DT,HALO,EGBN,QRVO,ILMN,CNK,CRL,NEOG,NEO,META,EXPD,SWKS,BIO,ANET,WST,GILD,FFIV,P,SBH,ZBRA,DE,FTNT,SMTC,CRWD,CON,WCC,BDX,NVDA,EMR,AVTR,DGX,SCL,HRMY,MRK,APH,CRVL,DXCM

KC_Fakes_W_0926 (18)

MD,FTRE,DNOW,MRNA,ARW,KEYS,HPE,JCI,FAST,AAMI,PK,AMG,NHC,KDP,UFCS,VRTX,PLUS,VOYA

KC_OffIdx_W_0926 (7)

TXG,TWST,ASX,GH,TSM,PGEN,BFLY

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.