Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 117 · Friday, September 25, 2026

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-09-25 (Fri)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-09-25 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 4 · COILING 25 (cohering 14 / diverging 4) · FRESH_BREAK 0

🌐 REGIME — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

capitulation — don’t chase weakness; watch the ⭐ coils for the turn today 40↑ / 17↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance +15 · T2108 23% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-09-24)

  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $FTRE, $GH, $RGEN
  • 🆕 NEW setup: $P, $META
  • 🌀 new coil: $PANW, $WCC, $SMTC, $SIG, $WOR, $SBH, $PGEN, $VLO, $CHEF, $ASX
  • ➖ dropped out: $NTAP, $AMN, $CXW, $PLTR, $SDGR

🚦 Gate — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

Capitulation — these coils are TURN-WATCH, not chase-now. Size small, let the regime flip green before leaning in.

⭐ Worth a real look

  • $TGTX (-3.2% from high, 4%/day, +3% 3mo) — 8G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
  • $NEOG (-3.5% from high, 4%/day, +44% 3mo) — 7G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $META (-3.6% from high, 3%/day, +37% 3mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 3G/2R net accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
  • $AMRX (-6.6% from high, 3%/day, +15% 3mo) — 3G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 7% off the high; range contracting
  • $AVT (-1.4% from high, 3%/day, +19% 3mo) — 7G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high
  • $SMTC (-4.4% from high, 6%/day, +22% 3mo) — 5G/4R net accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs

  • $SBH (-4.1% from high) — 3G/5R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $FFIV (-4.1% from high) — 2G/3R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $SAIC (-7.0% from high) — 1G/3R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $BBY (-6.2% from high) — 1G/2R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $META -3.6% 3.1%/day 3mo +37% $12460M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $P -4.1% 4.6%/day 3mo +82% $ 301M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $FTRE -7.0% 4.5%/day 3mo +13% $ 23M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $RGEN -1.5% 3.9%/day 3mo +29% $ 162M 3G/2R neut MIXED

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $FFIV -4.1% 3.5%/day 3mo +12% $ 208M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $SBH -4.1% 3.0%/day 3mo +19% $ 18M 3G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $BBY -6.2% 3.2%/day 3mo +16% $ 350M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $SAIC -7.0% 3.2%/day 3mo +20% $ 56M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $AVT -1.4% 3.4%/day 3mo +19% $ 118M 7G/3R accu COHERING
  • $BRKR -1.7% 4.3%/day 3mo +5% $ 117M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $ARW -1.9% 3.1%/day 3mo +8% $ 99M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $QRVO -2.6% 3.2%/day 3mo +26% $ 133M 5G/3R accu COHERING
  • $TGTX -3.2% 3.6%/day 3mo +3% $ 85M 8G/2R accu COHERING
  • $NEOG -3.5% 3.6%/day 3mo +44% $ 35M 7G/1R accu COHERING
  • $HPE -4.1% 5.1%/day 3mo +44% $ 1456M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $SMTC -4.4% 6.5%/day 3mo +22% $ 453M 5G/4R accu COHERING
  • $WCC -4.7% 3.1%/day 3mo +6% $ 171M 7G/3R accu COHERING
  • $ECPG -6.3% 3.4%/day 3mo +9% $ 36M 5G/5R accu COHERING
  • $INSW -6.6% 3.7%/day 3mo +33% $ 80M 10G/4R accu COHERING
  • $AMRX -6.6% 3.4%/day 3mo +15% $ 34M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $VLO -7.6% 3.5%/day 3mo +49% $ 1308M 12G/5R accu COHERING
  • $WOR -7.8% 3.4%/day 3mo +10% $ 27M 5G/1R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $ASX -2.7% 3.2%/day 3mo +10% $ 237M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $GH -3.4% 4.8%/day 3mo +19% $ 295M 6G/3R accu COHERING
  • $PGEN -6.2% 4.2%/day 3mo +32% $ 20M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $BFLY -6.6% 6.0%/day 3mo +6% $ 36M 1G/2R neut MIXED

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $GRML — 5/5 days
  • $USDE — 5/5 days
  • $SECZ — 5/5 days
  • $CYPH — 5/5 days
  • $INDP — 5/5 days
  • $PSIG — 5/5 days
  • $MRNX — 5/5 days
  • $MEDS — 5/5 days
  • $EAF — 5/5 days
  • $AMDL — 5/5 days
  • $INTW — 5/5 days
  • $BNC — 5/5 days
  • $ZCSH — 5/5 days
  • $FBL — 5/5 days
  • $METU — 5/5 days
  • $ARMG — 5/5 days
  • $PRTH — 5/5 days
  • $GLOO — 5/5 days
  • $AEMD — 4/5 days
  • $CD — 4/5 days
  • $VNCE — 4/5 days
  • $LABX — 4/5 days
  • $VICR — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $HSCS — 4/5 days
  • $GMEU — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $TGTX

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 8G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $SBH

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 3G/5R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⚖️ Decisive vs Thin — why the count matters — $VLO

A lopsided tally (e.g. 7G/0R) is decisive commitment; a 2G/2R or 1G/1R is NO read — not enough committed flow to validate either way. Trust decisive, skip thin. This name: 12G/5R net accumulation under a flat tape; 8% off the high

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_0925 (9)

TGTX,NEOG,META,AMRX,AVT,SMTC,P,FTRE,RGEN

KC_Coils_D_0925 (14)

AVT,BRKR,ARW,QRVO,TGTX,NEOG,HPE,SMTC,WCC,ECPG,INSW,AMRX,VLO,WOR

KC_Fakes_D_0925 (4)

FFIV,SBH,BBY,SAIC

KC_OffIdx_D_0925 (4)

ASX,GH,PGEN,BFLY

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.