Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 113 · Wednesday, September 23, 2026

daily edition · the machine's output as it shipped, no calls edited, no numbers changed · notation: how we count · outcomes: counted →

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-09-23 (Wed)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-09-23 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 1 · COILING 19 (cohering 10 / diverging 5) · FRESH_BREAK 0

🌐 REGIME — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

capitulation — don’t chase weakness; watch the ⭐ coils for the turn today 0↑ / 12↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance +67 · T2108 2% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-09-22)

  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $GH
  • 🌀 new coil: $SAIC, $ARW, $PGEN, $PLTR, $GEO, $RAL
  • ➖ dropped out: $BRKR, $NOV, $EPC, $FCX, $KYMR, $BFLY, $ECPG, $FTRE, $AAMI, $CHEF, $AMN, $SBH, $DELL, $FLR

🚦 Gate — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

Capitulation — these coils are TURN-WATCH, not chase-now. Size small, let the regime flip green before leaning in.

⭐ Worth a real look

  • $P (-7.9% from high, 5%/day, +52% 3mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 5G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 8% off the high
  • $TGTX (-5.6% from high, 3%/day, +4% 3mo) — 7G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high; range contracting
  • $AVT (-1.5% from high, 3%/day, +13% 3mo) — 7G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high
  • $QRVO (-1.2% from high, 3%/day, +20% 3mo) — 5G/4R net accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high
  • $RAL (-7.2% from high, 3%/day, +1% 3mo) — 5G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 7% off the high; range contracting
  • $CNH (-4.9% from high, 4%/day, +38% 3mo) — 2G/1R net accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs

  • $NPK (-7.6% from high) — 3G/7R — supply leaving while 8% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $PANW (-1.4% from high) — 4G/4R — supply leaving while glued to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $SAIC (-6.8% from high) — 1G/2R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $BBY (-5.9% from high) — 1G/2R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $P -7.9% 4.6%/day 3mo +52% $ 298M 5G/0R accu COHERING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $PANW -1.4% 4.4%/day 3mo +35% $ 2231M 4G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $RGEN -2.3% 3.6%/day 3mo +46% $ 156M 1G/1R dist DIVERGING
  • $BBY -5.9% 3.6%/day 3mo +21% $ 366M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $SAIC -6.8% 3.2%/day 3mo +26% $ 56M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $NPK -7.6% 3.3%/day 3mo +15% $ 15M 3G/7R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $QRVO -1.2% 3.3%/day 3mo +20% $ 131M 5G/4R accu COHERING
  • $AVT -1.5% 3.4%/day 3mo +13% $ 104M 7G/2R accu COHERING
  • $HPE -3.0% 4.6%/day 3mo +28% $ 1455M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $META -3.4% 3.2%/day 3mo +33% $11827M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $ARW -4.4% 3.1%/day 3mo +1% $ 99M 3G/3R accu COHERING
  • $CNH -4.9% 3.7%/day 3mo +38% $ 236M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $TGTX -5.6% 3.4%/day 3mo +4% $ 85M 7G/3R accu COHERING
  • $NTAP -6.1% 3.5%/day 3mo +24% $ 394M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $RAL -7.2% 3.3%/day 3mo +1% $ 85M 5G/3R accu COHERING
  • $PLTR -7.6% 3.5%/day 3mo +69% $ 4752M 2G/1R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $PGEN -7.5% 4.2%/day 3mo +39% $ 20M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $GH -3.9% 4.6%/day 3mo +35% $ 290M 6G/3R neut MIXED

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $INDP — 5/5 days
  • $SECZ — 5/5 days
  • $USDE — 5/5 days
  • $PSIG — 5/5 days
  • $CYPH — 5/5 days
  • $BNC — 5/5 days
  • $ZCSH — 5/5 days
  • $GMEU — 5/5 days
  • $GLOO — 5/5 days
  • $SDGR — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $MEDS — 4/5 days
  • $VNCE — 4/5 days
  • $INTW — 4/5 days
  • $AMDL — 4/5 days
  • $MRNX — 4/5 days
  • $FBL — 4/5 days
  • $METU — 4/5 days
  • $MSTU — 4/5 days
  • $MSTX — 4/5 days
  • $FTFT — 4/5 days
  • $BWET — 4/5 days
  • $PUR — 4/5 days
  • $FWDI — 4/5 days
  • $TJGC — 4/5 days
  • $BRR — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $P

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 5G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 8% off the high

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $PANW

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 4G/4R — supply leaving while glued to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🚫 Extended — what we do NOT chase — $HZO

Already ran far from the 40-MA (high ATR-extension): the obvious move everyone sees, edge gone, prone to the pullback. We surface the pre-obvious coil, not this. This name: +127.5 ATR above the 200d — -0.3% off high but already extended

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_0923 (6)

P,TGTX,AVT,QRVO,RAL,CNH

KC_Coils_D_0923 (10)

QRVO,AVT,HPE,META,ARW,CNH,TGTX,NTAP,RAL,PLTR

KC_Fakes_D_0923 (5)

PANW,RGEN,BBY,SAIC,NPK

KC_OffIdx_D_0923 (2)

PGEN,GH

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.