Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-09-21 (Mon)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-09-21 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 3 · COILING 23 (cohering 12 / diverging 9) · FRESH_BREAK 0

🌐 REGIME — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

capitulation — don’t chase weakness; watch the ⭐ coils for the turn today 72↑ / 23↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance -13 · T2108 22% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-09-18)

⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $SWKS, $QRVO
🆕 NEW setup: $PANW
🌀 new coil: $FTRE, $P, $SABR
➖ dropped out: $HPQ, $PRAA, $TWLO, $DAR, $ROIV, $OSCR, $FTNT, $NEOG, $DT, $AMN, $APA, $PBF, $MANH

🚦 Gate — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

Capitulation — these coils are TURN-WATCH, not chase-now. Size small, let the regime flip green before leaning in.

⭐ Worth a real look

$P (-4.6% from high, 5%/day, +48% 3mo) — 5G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
$TGTX (-3.6% from high, 3%/day, +5% 3mo) — 7G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
$CRWD (-0.4% from high, 5%/day, +48% 3mo) — 7G/4R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high
$QRVO (-2.9% from high, 3%/day, +15% 3mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 5G/4R net accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
$DELL (-3.4% from high, 5%/day, +37% 3mo) — 5G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
$AVT (-4.5% from high, 3%/day, +3% 3mo) — 7G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs

$CNC (-6.7% from high) — 4G/6R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$NPK (-4.3% from high) — 4G/7R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$ADM (-6.1% from high) — 3G/4R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$FFIV (-0.2% from high) — 2G/3R — supply leaving while glued to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

$QRVO -2.9% 3.3%/day 3mo +15% $ 123M 5G/4R accu COHERING
$SWKS -3.9% 4.9%/day 3mo +16% $ 452M 4G/3R neut MIXED
$PANW -6.8% 4.3%/day 3mo +30% $ 2117M 4G/4R dist DIVERGING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

$FFIV -0.2% 3.7%/day 3mo +15% $ 199M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
$BBY -2.7% 3.5%/day 3mo +23% $ 359M 1G/1R dist DIVERGING
$RGEN -4.2% 3.6%/day 3mo +43% $ 156M 2G/4R dist DIVERGING
$NPK -4.3% 3.3%/day 3mo +18% $ 15M 4G/7R dist DIVERGING
$ECPG -5.3% 3.4%/day 3mo +18% $ 36M 5G/7R dist DIVERGING
$ADM -6.1% 3.1%/day 3mo +9% $ 304M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING
$SAIC -6.5% 3.2%/day 3mo +33% $ 54M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
$CNC -6.7% 3.0%/day 3mo +2% $ 282M 4G/6R dist DIVERGING
$PANW -6.8% 4.3%/day 3mo +30% $ 2117M 4G/4R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

$CRWD -0.4% 5.3%/day 3mo +48% $ 2716M 7G/4R accu COHERING
$DELL -3.4% 4.8%/day 3mo +37% $ 4637M 5G/1R accu COHERING
$TGTX -3.6% 3.4%/day 3mo +5% $ 85M 7G/2R accu COHERING
$HPE -3.9% 5.1%/day 3mo +28% $ 1455M 3G/2R accu COHERING
$AVT -4.5% 3.2%/day 3mo +3% $ 103M 7G/1R accu COHERING
$P -4.6% 4.6%/day 3mo +48% $ 298M 5G/0R accu COHERING
$NTAP -5.2% 3.6%/day 3mo +25% $ 413M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$FLR -6.2% 3.3%/day 3mo +1% $ 112M 5G/3R accu COHERING
$FTRE -6.4% 4.3%/day 3mo +29% $ 21M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$CNH -6.8% 3.7%/day 3mo +30% $ 240M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$SABR -6.8% 5.3%/day 3mo +28% $ 9M 6G/3R accu COHERING
$SMTC -7.0% 6.8%/day 3mo +2% $ 453M 5G/2R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

$GH -5.3% 4.6%/day 3mo +35% $ 295M 7G/3R accu COHERING
$EWTX -8.0% 4.3%/day 3mo +22% $ 46M 7G/2R accu COHERING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

$TJGC — 5/5 days
$PSIG — 5/5 days
$BNC — 5/5 days
$INDP — 5/5 days
$BRR — 5/5 days
$ZCSH — 5/5 days
$BWET — 5/5 days
$SDGR — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
$FTFT — 5/5 days
$GMEU — 5/5 days
$BLSM — 5/5 days
$METU — 4/5 days
$FBL — 4/5 days
$RBLU — 4/5 days
$GLOO — 4/5 days
$VNCE — 4/5 days
$CHPT — 4/5 days
$ASST — 4/5 days
$KPLT — 4/5 days
$ACVA — 4/5 days
$EDRY — 4/5 days
$DLLL — 4/5 days
$USDE — 3/5 days
$SECZ — 3/5 days
$CYPH — 3/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $P

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 5G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $NPK

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 4G/7R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 Inside-Bar Setup — the cocked trigger — $QRVO

An inside bar pressed to the box top = a defined buy-stop trigger with the stop right below. You’re early AND you have an exact level — the highest-value pre-obvious state. This name: inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 5G/4R net accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_0921 (8)

P,TGTX,CRWD,QRVO,DELL,AVT,SWKS,PANW

KC_Coils_D_0921 (12)

CRWD,DELL,TGTX,HPE,AVT,P,NTAP,FLR,FTRE,CNH,SABR,SMTC

KC_Fakes_D_0921 (9)

PANW,FFIV,BBY,RGEN,NPK,ECPG,ADM,SAIC,CNC

KC_OffIdx_D_0921 (2)

GH,EWTX

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.

Read № 111 · Monday, September 21, 2026