Keep Counting [Weekly] — 2026-09-19 (Sat)

universe 1590 · latest weekly bar 2026-09-14 (completed week) SETUP 11 · COILING 126 (cohering 84 / diverging 27) · FRESH_BREAK 1

🌐 REGIME — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

capitulation — don’t chase weakness; watch the ⭐ coils for the turn today 47↑ / 123↓ (7%+ wk-movers) · 5-bar balance -309 · T2108 0% above 40-wk MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-09-18)

⚠️ FLIPPED cohering→diverging (early distribution warning): $IFF (2G/2R), $NPK (2G/2R), $BIIB (2G/2R), $THC (1G/1R), $NHC (1G/2R), $MD (1G/3R), $UFCS (3G/5R), $PBF (3G/3R), $KNTK (2G/3R), $EOG (1G/2R)
⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $NTAP, $AVT, $IFF, $BFH, $ROIV, $ADM, $HPQ, $HPE, $SWKS
🆕 NEW setup: $LH
🌀 new coil: $TWST, $GNW, $RNG, $ILMN, $PAYC, $VOYA, $VTRS, $TGT, $INCY, $NEOG, $PGEN, $MRK, $GILD, $FTNT, $DXCM, $AMD, $XOM, $SAIC, $BRKR, $AMRX, $RGEN, $MSI, $GH, $FTRE, $TMO, $PRAA, $CRWD, $EBAY, $WST, $EIG, $AMN, $BLFS, $A, $NEO, $EWTX, $TWLO, $ADP, $MANH, $PRLB, $PLMR, $TGTX
↩️ flipped diverging→cohering: $HALO, $EQH, $UNM, $SOLV, $BGC, $INSW, $LPG
➖ dropped out: $GM, $CRM, $C, $CHRD, $VRSN, $SLB, $VRTX, $JCI, $IBKR, $FIVE, $FTI, $TALO, $IVZ, $CVX, $APH, $NUE, $CHE, $WCC, $PTEN, $CART, $CUBI, $PTGX, $TVTX, $NEM, $SABR, $GEN, $WELL, $KDP, $DVN, $BEN, $SM, $KMX, $HLX, $CF, $BMRN, $IQV, $MDLZ, $NSIT, $OII, $FCFS, $HUM, $JAZZ, $MBIN, $NX, $GPN, $CRGY, $NOV, $CTVA, $ANF, $FANG, $WHD, $WT

🚦 Gate — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

Capitulation — these coils are TURN-WATCH, not chase-now. Size small, let the regime flip green before leaning in.

⭐ Worth a real look

$HZO (-0.0% from high, 6%/wk, +113% 6mo) — 2G/1R net accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; very tight box; range contracting
$DV (-1.4% from high, 7%/wk, +34% 6mo) — 3G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting
$SWKS (-3.8% from high, 12%/wk, +63% 6mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 3G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
$CON (-3.4% from high, 6%/wk, +64% 6mo) — 4G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
$ILMN (-4.2% from high, 9%/wk, +93% 6mo) — 4G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
$LQDT (-2.7% from high, 7%/wk, +50% 6mo) — 5G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs

$PLUS (-7.2% from high) — 1G/4R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$KNTK (-6.0% from high) — 2G/3R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$ADM (-4.0% from high) — 1G/3R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$HPE (-5.4% from high) — 1G/2R — supply leaving while 5% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

$EXEL -2.3% 7.2%/wk 6mo +41% $ 647M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$SWKS -3.8% 12.0%/wk 6mo +63% $ 1676M 3G/0R accu COHERING
$BFH -5.2% 6.0%/wk 6mo +45% $ 281M 4G/1R accu COHERING
$LH -6.2% 6.4%/wk 6mo +22% $ 989M 4G/1R accu COHERING
$ROIV -6.4% 6.4%/wk 6mo +44% $ 1062M 4G/3R accu COHERING
$HPQ -5.1% 9.7%/wk 6mo +88% $ 2061M 2G/1R neut MIXED
$NTAP -5.4% 8.7%/wk 6mo +96% $ 2294M 3G/2R neut MIXED
$AVT -3.9% 8.1%/wk 6mo +64% $ 494M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
$ADM -4.0% 6.0%/wk 6mo +29% $ 1498M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
$HPE -5.4% 14.4%/wk 6mo+180% $ 4716M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
$IFF -7.1% 5.1%/wk 6mo +25% $ 665M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

$AVT -3.9% 8.1%/wk 6mo +64% $ 494M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
$ADM -4.0% 6.0%/wk 6mo +29% $ 1498M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
$UFCS -4.1% 6.1%/wk 6mo +49% $ 44M 3G/5R dist DIVERGING
$BIIB -4.6% 6.1%/wk 6mo +19% $ 988M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
$HPE -5.4% 14.4%/wk 6mo+180% $ 4716M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
$ELV -5.8% 5.7%/wk 6mo +41% $ 2364M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
$GNW -6.0% 5.7%/wk 6mo +26% $ 138M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
$KNTK -6.0% 5.3%/wk 6mo +17% $ 262M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
$NPK -6.1% 6.3%/wk 6mo +15% $ 58M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
$OKE -6.4% 5.3%/wk 6mo +5% $ 1701M 1G/4R dist DIVERGING
$EOG -6.4% 6.6%/wk 6mo +4% $ 1964M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
$CNC -6.5% 7.5%/wk 6mo +89% $ 1367M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
$PBF -6.6% 13.4%/wk 6mo +57% $ 925M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
$DAR -6.6% 7.3%/wk 6mo +19% $ 710M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING
$EIG -6.9% 5.1%/wk 6mo +25% $ 47M 0G/1R dist DIVERGING
$COP -6.9% 5.9%/wk 6mo +4% $ 4007M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
$IFF -7.1% 5.1%/wk 6mo +25% $ 665M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
$PLUS -7.2% 7.2%/wk 6mo +22% $ 86M 1G/4R dist DIVERGING
$NHC -7.2% 6.7%/wk 6mo +40% $ 121M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
$MD -7.2% 7.2%/wk 6mo +32% $ 93M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
$ALRM -7.2% 6.6%/wk 6mo +22% $ 105M 0G/1R dist DIVERGING
$FAST -7.4% 5.1%/wk 6mo +12% $ 1810M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
$THC -7.4% 7.6%/wk 6mo +31% $ 1092M 1G/1R dist DIVERGING
$PK -7.5% 5.8%/wk 6mo +46% $ 278M 0G/3R dist DIVERGING
$ARW -7.6% 7.8%/wk 6mo +61% $ 626M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
$PR -7.6% 5.7%/wk 6mo +13% $ 915M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
$AAMI -7.9% 7.1%/wk 6mo +79% $ 165M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

$HZO -0.0% 5.6%/wk 6mo+113% $ 73M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$HALO -0.2% 7.0%/wk 6mo +77% $ 775M 1G/1R accu COHERING
$SMTC -0.2% 20.4%/wk 6mo+151% $ 1890M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$NEOG -0.5% 8.9%/wk 6mo +56% $ 98M 2G/2R accu COHERING
$NEO -0.6% 8.5%/wk 6mo+150% $ 173M 3G/0R accu COHERING
$MPC -0.7% 6.6%/wk 6mo +83% $ 3479M 3G/0R accu COHERING
$VLO -0.8% 6.6%/wk 6mo +72% $ 4273M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$DGX -0.9% 5.2%/wk 6mo +26% $ 964M 5G/1R accu COHERING
$ABBV -1.3% 5.4%/wk 6mo +29% $ 7420M 1G/0R accu COHERING
$DV -1.4% 7.2%/wk 6mo +34% $ 149M 3G/0R accu COHERING
$PSX -1.4% 5.9%/wk 6mo +56% $ 2773M 3G/0R accu COHERING
$DINO -1.5% 8.8%/wk 6mo +92% $ 1230M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$UNM -1.6% 5.7%/wk 6mo +31% $ 595M 2G/2R accu COHERING
$INSW -1.8% 8.5%/wk 6mo +64% $ 237M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$FFIV -1.8% 7.2%/wk 6mo +52% $ 1046M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$TMO -1.8% 5.3%/wk 6mo +37% $ 4873M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$HAE -1.9% 7.0%/wk 6mo +85% $ 316M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$CNXN -1.9% 5.9%/wk 6mo +54% $ 54M 5G/0R accu COHERING
$EQH -2.2% 5.4%/wk 6mo +44% $ 640M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$CRBG -2.3% 5.5%/wk 6mo +50% $ 555M 4G/1R accu COHERING
$WAT -2.4% 5.9%/wk 6mo +41% $ 1488M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$LQDT -2.7% 6.6%/wk 6mo +50% $ 41M 5G/1R accu COHERING
$AMRX -2.9% 6.6%/wk 6mo +58% $ 163M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$QRVO -3.0% 7.6%/wk 6mo +50% $ 479M 4G/0R accu COHERING
$LPG -3.0% 10.3%/wk 6mo +77% $ 144M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$DE -3.1% 6.9%/wk 6mo +22% $ 3582M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$TMP -3.2% 5.1%/wk 6mo +34% $ 54M 5G/3R accu COHERING
$MATX -3.3% 5.5%/wk 6mo +50% $ 324M 6G/1R accu COHERING
$AVTR -3.3% 8.0%/wk 6mo+107% $ 505M 1G/0R accu COHERING
$EGBN -3.3% 5.7%/wk 6mo +18% $ 34M 3G/0R accu COHERING
$CON -3.4% 6.0%/wk 6mo +64% $ 142M 4G/0R accu COHERING
$HRMY -3.4% 7.4%/wk 6mo +52% $ 152M 4G/2R accu COHERING
$DXCM -3.5% 6.8%/wk 6mo +33% $ 1796M 4G/0R accu COHERING
$FTNT -3.6% 8.7%/wk 6mo+109% $ 3664M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$CXW -3.6% 7.6%/wk 6mo +81% $ 267M 7G/1R accu COHERING
$DT -3.7% 8.1%/wk 6mo +45% $ 1396M 5G/0R accu COHERING
$BLFS -3.7% 8.9%/wk 6mo +95% $ 153M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$MTCH -3.9% 7.1%/wk 6mo +39% $ 606M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$RVTY -4.1% 6.7%/wk 6mo +67% $ 928M 3G/0R accu COHERING
$TGTX -4.1% 10.5%/wk 6mo +89% $ 546M 2G/2R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

$TWST -0.0% 13.7%/wk 6mo+297% $ 872M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$GH -2.3% 9.8%/wk 6mo+111% $ 1736M 4G/0R accu COHERING
$PGEN -3.2% 14.9%/wk 6mo+137% $ 138M 4G/1R accu COHERING
$TXG -4.2% 15.0%/wk 6mo+317% $ 803M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$FRO -6.4% 7.9%/wk 6mo +60% $ 444M 4G/0R accu COHERING
$EWTX -6.6% 9.4%/wk 6mo +56% $ 212M 3G/0R accu COHERING
$OSCR -6.8% 11.6%/wk 6mo+154% $ 747M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

$INDP — 5/5 days
$TJGC — 5/5 days
$FTFT — 5/5 days
$BWET — 5/5 days
$BNC — 5/5 days
$ZCSH — 5/5 days
$BRR — 5/5 days
$CHPT — 5/5 days
$GMEU — 5/5 days
$ASST — 5/5 days
$KPLT — 5/5 days
$ACVA — 5/5 days
$EDRY — 5/5 days
$PSIG — 4/5 days
$VNCE — 4/5 days
$SDGR — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling
$BLSM — 4/5 days
$DLLL — 4/5 days
$BEX — 4/5 days
$CMRC — 4/5 days
$ODD — 4/5 days
$FBL — 4/5 days
$METU — 4/5 days
$RBLU — 4/5 days
$USDE — 3/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $DV

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 3G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $ADM

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 1G/3R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⚖️ Decisive vs Thin — why the count matters — $CXW

A lopsided tally (e.g. 7G/0R) is decisive commitment; a 2G/2R or 1G/1R is NO read — not enough committed flow to validate either way. Trust decisive, skip thin. This name: 7G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_W_0919 (16)

HZO,DV,SWKS,CON,ILMN,LQDT,EXEL,BFH,LH,ROIV,HPQ,NTAP,AVT,ADM,HPE,IFF

KC_Coils_W_0919 (50)

HZO,HALO,SMTC,NEOG,NEO,MPC,VLO,DGX,ABBV,DV,PSX,DINO,UNM,INSW,FFIV,TMO,HAE,CNXN,EQH,CRBG,WAT,LQDT,AMRX,QRVO,LPG,DE,TMP,MATX,AVTR,EGBN,CON,HRMY,DXCM,FTNT,CXW,DT,BLFS,MTCH,RVTY,TGTX,ILMN,GEO,AMD,DBX,A,GILD,DELL,EHC,ZD,BIO

KC_Fakes_W_0919 (27)

AVT,ADM,HPE,IFF,UFCS,BIIB,ELV,GNW,KNTK,NPK,OKE,EOG,CNC,PBF,DAR,EIG,COP,PLUS,NHC,MD,ALRM,FAST,THC,PK,ARW,PR,AAMI

KC_OffIdx_W_0919 (7)

TWST,GH,PGEN,TXG,FRO,EWTX,OSCR

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.

Read № 110 · Saturday, September 19, 2026