Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 108 · Friday, September 18, 2026

daily edition · the machine's output as it shipped, no calls edited, no numbers changed · notation: how we count · outcomes: counted →

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-09-18 (Fri)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-09-18 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 7 · COILING 27 (cohering 10 / diverging 14) · FRESH_BREAK 0

🌐 REGIME — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

capitulation — don’t chase weakness; watch the ⭐ coils for the turn today 33↑ / 44↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance -123 · T2108 23% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-09-17)

  • ⚠️ FLIPPED cohering→diverging (early distribution warning): $BBY (1G/1R), $RGEN (2G/4R), $SAIC (1G/2R), $FFIV (3G/3R)
  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $ADM, $CRWD, $NTAP, $DAR, $HPE, $BBY, $TGTX
  • 🆕 NEW setup: $GH
  • 🌀 new coil: $PRAA, $DT, $AVT, $FTNT, $CNC, $DELL
  • ➖ dropped out: $PANW, $SIG, $BRKR, $CF, $SABR, $NOV

🚦 Gate — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

Capitulation — these coils are TURN-WATCH, not chase-now. Size small, let the regime flip green before leaning in.

⭐ Worth a real look

  • $TGTX (-4.1% from high, 3%/day, +7% 3mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 6G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
  • $NEOG (-0.5% from high, 3%/day, +40% 3mo) — 6G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high
  • $CRWD (-5.1% from high, 5%/day, +39% 3mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 6G/4R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 5% off the high
  • $SMTC (-0.2% from high, 7%/day, +17% 3mo) — 5G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high
  • $AVT (-3.9% from high, 3%/day, +5% 3mo) — 7G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $PRAA (-6.9% from high, 3%/day, +41% 3mo) — 6G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 7% off the high

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs

  • $CHEF (-5.8% from high) — 5G/5R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $CNC (-6.5% from high) — 4G/6R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $NPK (-6.1% from high) — 4G/7R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $ADM (-4.0% from high) — 3G/4R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $TGTX -4.1% 3.4%/day 3mo +7% $ 85M 6G/2R accu COHERING
  • $CRWD -5.1% 5.3%/day 3mo +39% $ 2586M 6G/4R accu COHERING
  • $NTAP -5.4% 3.6%/day 3mo +24% $ 413M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $HPE -5.4% 4.5%/day 3mo +28% $ 1455M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $DAR -6.6% 3.7%/day 3mo +22% $ 148M 5G/3R neut MIXED
  • $BBY -3.1% 3.5%/day 3mo +24% $ 359M 1G/1R dist DIVERGING
  • $ADM -4.0% 3.1%/day 3mo +13% $ 315M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $FFIV -1.8% 3.5%/day 3mo +12% $ 199M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $BBY -3.1% 3.5%/day 3mo +24% $ 359M 1G/1R dist DIVERGING
  • $FTNT -3.6% 3.9%/day 3mo +17% $ 646M 5G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $ADM -4.0% 3.1%/day 3mo +13% $ 315M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $HPQ -5.1% 4.6%/day 3mo +46% $ 485M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $ECPG -5.2% 3.4%/day 3mo +20% $ 36M 5G/7R dist DIVERGING
  • $APA -5.4% 3.3%/day 3mo +36% $ 210M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $TWLO -5.6% 3.7%/day 3mo +31% $ 386M 1G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $CHEF -5.8% 3.1%/day 3mo +16% $ 73M 5G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $NPK -6.1% 3.2%/day 3mo +13% $ 15M 4G/7R dist DIVERGING
  • $RGEN -6.3% 3.7%/day 3mo +34% $ 157M 2G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $CNC -6.5% 3.0%/day 3mo +7% $ 282M 4G/6R dist DIVERGING
  • $SAIC -6.6% 3.2%/day 3mo +30% $ 54M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $AMN -8.0% 3.5%/day 3mo +11% $ 19M 1G/5R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $SMTC -0.2% 6.8%/day 3mo +17% $ 427M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $NEOG -0.5% 3.1%/day 3mo +40% $ 21M 6G/0R accu COHERING
  • $QRVO -3.0% 3.3%/day 3mo +19% $ 118M 5G/4R accu COHERING
  • $AVT -3.9% 3.1%/day 3mo +5% $ 101M 7G/1R accu COHERING
  • $DELL -4.6% 4.8%/day 3mo +39% $ 4400M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $FLR -5.9% 3.1%/day 3mo +2% $ 116M 5G/3R accu COHERING
  • $PBF -6.6% 5.1%/day 3mo+107% $ 208M 7G/1R accu COHERING
  • $MANH -6.9% 3.0%/day 3mo +60% $ 133M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $PRAA -6.9% 3.3%/day 3mo +41% $ 7M 6G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CNH -7.0% 3.9%/day 3mo +29% $ 252M 2G/1R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $GH -2.3% 4.4%/day 3mo +36% $ 295M 7G/3R accu COHERING
  • $EWTX -6.6% 4.3%/day 3mo +23% $ 46M 7G/2R accu COHERING
  • $OSCR -6.8% 5.6%/day 3mo +13% $ 155M 4G/4R accu COHERING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $INDP — 5/5 days
  • $TJGC — 5/5 days
  • $FTFT — 5/5 days
  • $BWET — 5/5 days
  • $BNC — 5/5 days
  • $ZCSH — 5/5 days
  • $BRR — 5/5 days
  • $CHPT — 5/5 days
  • $GMEU — 5/5 days
  • $ASST — 5/5 days
  • $KPLT — 5/5 days
  • $ACVA — 5/5 days
  • $EDRY — 5/5 days
  • $PSIG — 4/5 days
  • $VNCE — 4/5 days
  • $SDGR — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $BLSM — 4/5 days
  • $DLLL — 4/5 days
  • $BEX — 4/5 days
  • $CMRC — 4/5 days
  • $ODD — 4/5 days
  • $FBL — 4/5 days
  • $METU — 4/5 days
  • $RBLU — 4/5 days
  • $USDE — 3/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $TGTX

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 6G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $CHEF

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 5G/5R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 Inside-Bar Setup — the cocked trigger — $CRWD

An inside bar pressed to the box top = a defined buy-stop trigger with the stop right below. You’re early AND you have an exact level — the highest-value pre-obvious state. This name: inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 6G/4R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 5% off the high

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_0918 (11)

TGTX,NEOG,CRWD,SMTC,AVT,PRAA,NTAP,HPE,DAR,BBY,ADM

KC_Coils_D_0918 (10)

SMTC,NEOG,QRVO,AVT,DELL,FLR,PBF,MANH,PRAA,CNH

KC_Fakes_D_0918 (14)

BBY,ADM,FFIV,FTNT,HPQ,ECPG,APA,TWLO,CHEF,NPK,RGEN,CNC,SAIC,AMN

KC_OffIdx_D_0918 (3)

GH,EWTX,OSCR

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.