Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 106 · Thursday, September 17, 2026

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-09-17 (Thu)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-09-17 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 3 · COILING 30 (cohering 20 / diverging 6) · FRESH_BREAK 1

🌐 REGIME — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

capitulation — don’t chase weakness; watch the ⭐ coils for the turn today 69↑ / 26↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance -47 · T2108 25% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-09-16)

  • 🚀 BROKE OUT (setup→fresh): $BRKR
  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $SIG, $APA, $AMN
  • 🌀 new coil: $HPQ, $RGEN, $FLR, $PBF, $HPE, $NTAP, $QRVO
  • ➖ dropped out: $OKTA, $TALO, $GH, $NEO, $CRM, $FTRE, $ILMN, $THC, $AVT, $NSP, $FTNT

🚦 Gate — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

Capitulation — these coils are TURN-WATCH, not chase-now. Size small, let the regime flip green before leaning in.

⭐ Worth a real look

  • $NEOG (-1.3% from high, 3%/day, +44% 3mo) — 7G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high
  • $CRWD (-1.8% from high, 5%/day, +44% 3mo) — 6G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting
  • $QRVO (-0.8% from high, 3%/day, +26% 3mo) — 5G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high
  • $TGTX (-4.8% from high, 4%/day, +10% 3mo) — 5G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
  • $CF (-5.7% from high, 4%/day, +26% 3mo) — 8G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high
  • $SWKS (-1.1% from high, 5%/day, +32% 3mo) — 4G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs

  • $CHEF (-6.4% from high) — 5G/5R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $BFH (-5.5% from high) — 3G/7R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $AMN (-7.2% from high) — 1G/4R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $NPK (-3.9% from high) — 4G/6R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $APA -4.2% 3.3%/day 3mo +34% $ 210M 3G/2R neut MIXED
  • $SIG -7.9% 3.2%/day 3mo +17% $ 72M 2G/1R accu MIXED
  • $AMN -7.2% 3.7%/day 3mo +7% $ 19M 1G/4R dist DIVERGING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $ADM -0.7% 3.1%/day 3mo +15% $ 300M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $NPK -3.9% 3.3%/day 3mo +17% $ 15M 4G/6R dist DIVERGING
  • $TWLO -4.7% 3.7%/day 3mo +31% $ 364M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $BFH -5.5% 3.2%/day 3mo +7% $ 46M 3G/7R dist DIVERGING
  • $CHEF -6.4% 3.2%/day 3mo +19% $ 69M 5G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $AMN -7.2% 3.7%/day 3mo +7% $ 19M 1G/4R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $PARR -0.6% 5.3%/day 3mo +70% $ 66M 7G/2R accu COHERING
  • $QRVO -0.8% 3.1%/day 3mo +26% $ 106M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $SWKS -1.1% 4.8%/day 3mo +32% $ 415M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $FFIV -1.1% 3.4%/day 3mo +13% $ 192M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $NEOG -1.3% 3.3%/day 3mo +44% $ 19M 7G/0R accu COHERING
  • $BBY -1.3% 3.4%/day 3mo +29% $ 353M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $CRWD -1.8% 5.3%/day 3mo +44% $ 2548M 6G/3R accu COHERING
  • $SMTC -2.2% 6.8%/day 3mo +19% $ 408M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $TGTX -4.8% 3.8%/day 3mo +10% $ 85M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $RGEN -5.6% 3.7%/day 3mo +33% $ 157M 4G/3R accu COHERING
  • $CF -5.7% 3.7%/day 3mo +26% $ 318M 8G/2R accu COHERING
  • $NTAP -5.8% 3.6%/day 3mo +27% $ 413M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $FLR -5.8% 3.6%/day 3mo +6% $ 116M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $ROIV -5.9% 3.1%/day 3mo +28% $ 241M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $CNH -6.3% 4.0%/day 3mo +32% $ 252M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $SAIC -6.3% 3.2%/day 3mo +25% $ 54M 1G/1R accu COHERING
  • $NOV -6.4% 3.1%/day 3mo +6% $ 62M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $PBF -6.6% 5.4%/day 3mo+104% $ 204M 6G/1R accu COHERING
  • $MANH -7.1% 3.1%/day 3mo +60% $ 133M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $SABR -7.2% 5.2%/day 3mo +25% $ 7M 6G/2R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $EWTX -3.2% 4.3%/day 3mo +35% $ 46M 7G/1R accu COHERING
  • $OSCR -7.3% 5.6%/day 3mo +13% $ 155M 3G/4R neut MIXED

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $ZCSH — 5/5 days
  • $BWET — 5/5 days
  • $BNC — 5/5 days
  • $BRR — 5/5 days
  • $CHPT — 5/5 days
  • $BEX — 5/5 days
  • $GMEU — 5/5 days
  • $EDRY — 5/5 days
  • $TJGC — 5/5 days
  • $ACVA — 5/5 days
  • $CMRC — 5/5 days
  • $ODD — 5/5 days
  • $KPLT — 5/5 days
  • $ASST — 5/5 days
  • $RBLU — 5/5 days
  • $INDP — 4/5 days
  • $FTFT — 4/5 days
  • $DLLL — 4/5 days
  • $BEG — 4/5 days
  • $FBL — 4/5 days
  • $METU — 4/5 days
  • $CVI — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $SWKS — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $FEIM — 4/5 days
  • $IRD — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $NEOG

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 7G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $BFH

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 3G/7R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🚫 Extended — what we do NOT chase — $HZO

Already ran far from the 40-MA (high ATR-extension): the obvious move everyone sees, edge gone, prone to the pullback. We surface the pre-obvious coil, not this. This name: +145.2 ATR above the 200d — -0.3% off high but already extended

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_0917 (9)

NEOG,CRWD,QRVO,TGTX,CF,SWKS,APA,SIG,AMN

KC_Coils_D_0917 (20)

PARR,QRVO,SWKS,FFIV,NEOG,BBY,CRWD,SMTC,TGTX,RGEN,CF,NTAP,FLR,ROIV,CNH,SAIC,NOV,PBF,MANH,SABR

KC_Fakes_D_0917 (6)

AMN,ADM,NPK,TWLO,BFH,CHEF

KC_OffIdx_D_0917 (2)

EWTX,OSCR

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.