Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 104 · Wednesday, September 16, 2026

daily edition · the machine's output as it shipped, no calls edited, no numbers changed · notation: how we count · outcomes: counted →

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-09-16 (Wed)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-09-16 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 4 · COILING 32 (cohering 19 / diverging 8) · FRESH_BREAK 1

🌐 REGIME — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

capitulation — don’t chase weakness; watch the ⭐ coils for the turn today 24↑ / 79↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance -146 · T2108 24% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-09-15)

  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $SWKS, $OKTA, $NPK, $DAR
  • 🌀 new coil: $EWTX, $BRKR, $APA, $SIG, $SABR, $CHEF, $AMN, $SMTC, $TGTX
  • ➖ dropped out: $MUR, $DT, $FLR, $HPQ, $SDGR, $PTEN, $RGEN

🚦 Gate — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

Capitulation — these coils are TURN-WATCH, not chase-now. Size small, let the regime flip green before leaning in.

⭐ Worth a real look

  • $OKTA (-2.0% from high, 5%/day, +62% 3mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 3G/2R net accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $CRWD (-1.6% from high, 5%/day, +42% 3mo) — 5G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting
  • $NEOG (-2.8% from high, 4%/day, +35% 3mo) — 6G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $SABR (-1.1% from high, 5%/day, +17% 3mo) — 5G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high
  • $ILMN (-3.0% from high, 4%/day, +39% 3mo) — 8G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $TGTX (-5.8% from high, 4%/day, +11% 3mo) — 5G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high; range contracting

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs

  • $CHEF (-6.8% from high) — 5G/5R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $BFH (-5.8% from high) — 3G/7R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $AMN (-6.2% from high) — 1G/4R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $THC (-6.1% from high) — 0G/3R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $OKTA -2.0% 5.0%/day 3mo +62% $ 602M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $SWKS -7.3% 4.5%/day 3mo +20% $ 372M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $DAR -6.3% 3.7%/day 3mo +19% $ 149M 5G/2R neut MIXED
  • $NPK -3.4% 3.3%/day 3mo +19% $ 14M 4G/6R dist DIVERGING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $NPK -3.4% 3.3%/day 3mo +19% $ 14M 4G/6R dist DIVERGING
  • $ADM -4.2% 3.0%/day 3mo +9% $ 297M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $BFH -5.8% 3.3%/day 3mo +6% $ 46M 3G/7R dist DIVERGING
  • $THC -6.1% 3.0%/day 3mo +45% $ 192M 0G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $AMN -6.2% 3.7%/day 3mo +10% $ 19M 1G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $CHEF -6.8% 3.4%/day 3mo +18% $ 69M 5G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $TWLO -7.5% 3.7%/day 3mo +24% $ 364M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $NSP -7.9% 4.3%/day 3mo +47% $ 16M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $SABR -1.1% 5.2%/day 3mo +17% $ 7M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $CRWD -1.6% 5.3%/day 3mo +42% $ 2344M 5G/3R accu COHERING
  • $FTNT -1.6% 3.8%/day 3mo +17% $ 603M 4G/4R accu COHERING
  • $PARR -2.4% 5.3%/day 3mo +62% $ 66M 7G/2R accu COHERING
  • $FFIV -2.7% 3.4%/day 3mo +9% $ 188M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $NEOG -2.8% 3.6%/day 3mo +35% $ 19M 6G/0R accu COHERING
  • $ILMN -3.0% 4.2%/day 3mo +39% $ 425M 8G/1R accu COHERING
  • $BBY -3.5% 3.4%/day 3mo +22% $ 350M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $NEO -4.1% 4.8%/day 3mo +81% $ 27M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $SMTC -5.5% 7.1%/day 3mo +4% $ 401M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $TGTX -5.8% 3.8%/day 3mo +11% $ 83M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $NOV -6.3% 3.2%/day 3mo +3% $ 62M 4G/3R accu COHERING
  • $CNH -6.5% 4.0%/day 3mo +29% $ 252M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $MANH -6.6% 3.3%/day 3mo +52% $ 133M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $ROIV -6.9% 3.1%/day 3mo +30% $ 237M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $TALO -7.0% 3.6%/day 3mo +26% $ 29M 4G/3R accu COHERING
  • $CF -7.0% 3.7%/day 3mo +25% $ 318M 8G/2R accu COHERING
  • $SAIC -7.0% 3.3%/day 3mo +22% $ 55M 5G/4R accu COHERING
  • $AVT -7.3% 3.1%/day 3mo +2% $ 100M 4G/1R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $GH -2.5% 4.9%/day 3mo +37% $ 295M 6G/3R accu COHERING
  • $OSCR -6.2% 5.6%/day 3mo +13% $ 152M 4G/3R accu COHERING
  • $EWTX -6.1% 4.3%/day 3mo +34% $ 46M 6G/1R neut MIXED

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $BWET — 5/5 days
  • $ZCSH — 5/5 days
  • $TJGC — 5/5 days
  • $BNC — 5/5 days
  • $CMRC — 5/5 days
  • $EDRY — 5/5 days
  • $KPLT — 5/5 days
  • $BEX — 5/5 days
  • $RBLU — 5/5 days
  • $CHPT — 5/5 days
  • $ASST — 5/5 days
  • $IRD — 5/5 days
  • $SWVL — 5/5 days
  • $BRR — 4/5 days
  • $ACVA — 4/5 days
  • $GMEU — 4/5 days
  • $BEG — 4/5 days
  • $CVI — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $FBL — 4/5 days
  • $METU — 4/5 days
  • $ODD — 4/5 days
  • $FEIM — 4/5 days
  • $SWKS — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $NAKA — 4/5 days
  • $SST — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $CRWD

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 5G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $BFH

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 3G/7R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⚖️ Decisive vs Thin — why the count matters — $ILMN

A lopsided tally (e.g. 7G/0R) is decisive commitment; a 2G/2R or 1G/1R is NO read — not enough committed flow to validate either way. Trust decisive, skip thin. This name: 8G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_0916 (9)

OKTA,CRWD,NEOG,SABR,ILMN,TGTX,SWKS,DAR,NPK

KC_Coils_D_0916 (19)

SABR,CRWD,FTNT,PARR,FFIV,NEOG,ILMN,BBY,NEO,SMTC,TGTX,NOV,CNH,MANH,ROIV,TALO,CF,SAIC,AVT

KC_Fakes_D_0916 (8)

NPK,ADM,BFH,THC,AMN,CHEF,TWLO,NSP

KC_OffIdx_D_0916 (3)

GH,OSCR,EWTX

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.