Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-09-15 (Tue)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-09-15 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 3 · COILING 31 (cohering 20 / diverging 5) · FRESH_BREAK 2

🌐 REGIME — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

capitulation — don’t chase weakness; watch the ⭐ coils for the turn today 32↑ / 72↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance -161 · T2108 27% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-09-14)

⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $ADM, $PARR, $PTEN
🌀 new coil: $TWLO, $ILMN, $RGEN, $FFIV, $FLR, $MUR, $NSP, $THC, $SWKS, $NOV
↩️ flipped diverging→cohering: $SAIC
➖ dropped out: $FIVE, $SABR, $APA, $CART, $CVI, $DELL, $EWTX

🚦 Gate — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

Capitulation — these coils are TURN-WATCH, not chase-now. Size small, let the regime flip green before leaning in.

⭐ Worth a real look

$CRWD (-0.6% from high, 5%/day, +40% 3mo) — 5G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting
$OKTA (-0.8% from high, 5%/day, +61% 3mo) — 3G/2R net accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high
$NEOG (-4.7% from high, 4%/day, +32% 3mo) — 5G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
$CF (-4.5% from high, 4%/day, +27% 3mo) — 7G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
$PTEN (-5.1% from high, 3%/day, +19% 3mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 6G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 5% off the high
$SWKS (-2.5% from high, 4%/day, +18% 3mo) — 4G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs

$BFH (-6.0% from high) — 2G/7R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$THC (-7.8% from high) — 0G/3R — supply leaving while 8% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$NPK (-1.6% from high) — 4G/5R — supply leaving while glued to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$RGEN (-7.4% from high) — 1G/3R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

$PARR -3.9% 5.0%/day 3mo +56% $ 66M 6G/2R accu COHERING
$PTEN -5.1% 3.5%/day 3mo +19% $ 99M 6G/2R accu COHERING
$ADM -2.4% 3.0%/day 3mo +9% $ 295M 3G/2R neut MIXED

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

$NPK -1.6% 3.4%/day 3mo +22% $ 14M 4G/5R dist DIVERGING
$ECPG -5.9% 3.4%/day 3mo +20% $ 33M 5G/6R dist DIVERGING
$BFH -6.0% 3.2%/day 3mo +5% $ 46M 2G/7R dist DIVERGING
$RGEN -7.4% 3.7%/day 3mo +34% $ 157M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
$THC -7.8% 3.0%/day 3mo +46% $ 192M 0G/3R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

$DT -0.5% 3.0%/day 3mo +34% $ 289M 6G/0R accu COHERING
$CRWD -0.6% 5.3%/day 3mo +40% $ 1981M 5G/3R accu COHERING
$OKTA -0.8% 5.0%/day 3mo +61% $ 578M 3G/2R accu COHERING
$FFIV -0.9% 3.2%/day 3mo +9% $ 185M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$FTNT -1.0% 3.8%/day 3mo +15% $ 603M 4G/4R accu COHERING
$TALO -2.1% 3.6%/day 3mo +32% $ 28M 4G/2R accu COHERING
$SWKS -2.5% 4.5%/day 3mo +18% $ 372M 4G/1R accu COHERING
$BBY -2.6% 3.4%/day 3mo +20% $ 350M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$CNH -3.2% 3.9%/day 3mo +31% $ 252M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$ILMN -4.1% 4.1%/day 3mo +33% $ 403M 7G/1R accu COHERING
$NOV -4.4% 3.2%/day 3mo +2% $ 62M 5G/3R accu COHERING
$NEO -4.4% 4.8%/day 3mo +70% $ 27M 3G/0R accu COHERING
$CF -4.5% 3.7%/day 3mo +27% $ 318M 7G/2R accu COHERING
$NEOG -4.7% 3.5%/day 3mo +32% $ 18M 5G/0R accu COHERING
$SAIC -6.3% 3.3%/day 3mo +22% $ 55M 5G/4R accu COHERING
$MUR -6.8% 3.3%/day 3mo +11% $ 54M 4G/1R accu COHERING
$ROIV -7.1% 3.1%/day 3mo +32% $ 237M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$AVT -7.4% 3.1%/day 3mo +1% $ 100M 4G/1R accu COHERING
$FLR -7.4% 3.1%/day 3mo +7% $ 112M 5G/2R accu COHERING
$MANH -7.7% 3.1%/day 3mo +46% $ 132M 3G/1R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

$GH -2.0% 4.9%/day 3mo +35% $ 295M 6G/3R accu COHERING
$OSCR -5.9% 5.2%/day 3mo +11% $ 149M 4G/2R accu COHERING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

$BWET — 5/5 days
$SWVL — 5/5 days
$RBLU — 5/5 days
$BNC — 5/5 days
$TJGC — 5/5 days
$ZCSH — 5/5 days
$IRD — 5/5 days
$EDRY — 5/5 days
$ASST — 5/5 days
$KPLT — 5/5 days
$CHPT — 5/5 days
$SST — 5/5 days
$SUNE — 5/5 days
$BEX — 5/5 days
$CMRC — 4/5 days
$CVI — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling
$METU — 4/5 days
$FBL — 4/5 days
$PRTS — 4/5 days
$BAFN — 4/5 days
$BEG — 4/5 days
$USDE — 4/5 days
$AOUT — 4/5 days
$NAKA — 4/5 days
$ACVA — 3/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $CRWD

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 5G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $NPK

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 4G/5R — supply leaving while glued to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 Inside-Bar Setup — the cocked trigger — $PTEN

An inside bar pressed to the box top = a defined buy-stop trigger with the stop right below. You’re early AND you have an exact level — the highest-value pre-obvious state. This name: inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 6G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 5% off the high

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_0915 (8)

CRWD,OKTA,NEOG,CF,PTEN,SWKS,PARR,ADM

KC_Coils_D_0915 (20)

DT,CRWD,OKTA,FFIV,FTNT,TALO,SWKS,BBY,CNH,ILMN,NOV,NEO,CF,NEOG,SAIC,MUR,ROIV,AVT,FLR,MANH

KC_Fakes_D_0915 (5)

NPK,ECPG,BFH,RGEN,THC

KC_OffIdx_D_0915 (2)

GH,OSCR

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.

Read № 103 · Tuesday, September 15, 2026