Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 102 · Monday, September 14, 2026

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-09-14 (Mon)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-09-14 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 3 · COILING 27 (cohering 17 / diverging 5) · FRESH_BREAK 0

🌐 REGIME — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

capitulation — don’t chase weakness; watch the ⭐ coils for the turn today 90↑ / 150↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance -206 · T2108 29% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-09-11)

  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $HPQ, $BFH
  • 🆕 NEW setup: $DELL
  • 🌀 new coil: $SAIC, $AVT, $MANH, $ROIV, $FTNT, $GH, $PANW, $CRWD, $CVI, $NEOG, $ADM, $NEO, $EWTX, $APA
  • ➖ dropped out: $SMTC, $FFIV, $ANF, $NX, $NTAP, $WT, $SLB, $FLR, $FCFS, $SWKS, $OII, $NHC, $HPE, $PTGX, $ANET, $WCC

🚦 Gate — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

Capitulation — these coils are TURN-WATCH, not chase-now. Size small, let the regime flip green before leaning in.

⭐ Worth a real look

  • $DELL (-5.9% from high, 5%/day, +35% 3mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 4G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high; range contracting
  • $OKTA (-1.7% from high, 5%/day, +60% 3mo) — 3G/2R net accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting
  • $CRWD (-1.7% from high, 5%/day, +38% 3mo) — 6G/6R net accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high
  • $DT (-2.7% from high, 3%/day, +31% 3mo) — 6G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $NEOG (-7.0% from high, 4%/day, +31% 3mo) — 4G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 7% off the high
  • $CF (-7.6% from high, 4%/day, +20% 3mo) — 6G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 8% off the high

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs

  • $FIVE (-5.4% from high) — 5G/9R — supply leaving while 5% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $BFH (-4.6% from high) — 2G/6R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $NPK (-3.1% from high) — 3G/5R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $DELL -5.9% 4.8%/day 3mo +35% $ 3050M 4G/0R accu COHERING
  • $HPQ -6.1% 4.5%/day 3mo +35% $ 465M 1G/2R neut MIXED
  • $BFH -4.6% 3.2%/day 3mo +7% $ 45M 2G/6R dist DIVERGING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $NPK -3.1% 3.5%/day 3mo +18% $ 14M 3G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $BFH -4.6% 3.2%/day 3mo +7% $ 45M 2G/6R dist DIVERGING
  • $FIVE -5.4% 3.4%/day 3mo +26% $ 267M 5G/9R dist DIVERGING
  • $CART -6.1% 3.3%/day 3mo +20% $ 148M 0G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $SAIC -7.5% 3.2%/day 3mo +16% $ 52M 0G/1R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $BBY -0.1% 3.4%/day 3mo +21% $ 332M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $CRWD -1.7% 5.3%/day 3mo +38% $ 1745M 6G/6R accu COHERING
  • $OKTA -1.7% 5.2%/day 3mo +60% $ 511M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $DT -2.7% 3.0%/day 3mo +31% $ 289M 6G/0R accu COHERING
  • $APA -3.3% 3.1%/day 3mo +22% $ 206M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $ROIV -3.5% 3.1%/day 3mo +37% $ 237M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $TALO -4.2% 3.6%/day 3mo +18% $ 28M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $CNH -4.9% 3.7%/day 3mo +30% $ 240M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $SABR -5.2% 4.9%/day 3mo +28% $ 7M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $PARR -6.1% 5.1%/day 3mo +46% $ 66M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $MANH -6.8% 3.1%/day 3mo +48% $ 133M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $NEO -6.8% 4.8%/day 3mo +65% $ 25M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $NEOG -7.0% 3.5%/day 3mo +31% $ 18M 4G/0R accu COHERING
  • $CVI -7.2% 4.9%/day 3mo +59% $ 44M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $PTEN -7.2% 3.8%/day 3mo +8% $ 100M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CF -7.6% 3.7%/day 3mo +20% $ 309M 6G/1R accu COHERING
  • $AVT -7.7% 3.1%/day 3mo +2% $ 100M 3G/1R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $OSCR -1.9% 5.2%/day 3mo +20% $ 152M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $GH -4.9% 4.9%/day 3mo +28% $ 295M 5G/3R accu COHERING
  • $EWTX -7.8% 4.2%/day 3mo +28% $ 44M 5G/0R accu COHERING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $SWVL — 5/5 days
  • $BWET — 5/5 days
  • $BNC — 5/5 days
  • $TJGC — 5/5 days
  • $RBLU — 5/5 days
  • $ZCSH — 5/5 days
  • $ASST — 5/5 days
  • $EDRY — 5/5 days
  • $CHPT — 5/5 days
  • $USDE — 5/5 days
  • $SST — 5/5 days
  • $BEX — 5/5 days
  • $NAKA — 5/5 days
  • $IRD — 4/5 days
  • $KPLT — 4/5 days
  • $SUNE — 4/5 days
  • $AOUT — 4/5 days
  • $FWDI — 4/5 days
  • $PUR — 4/5 days
  • $XHLD — 4/5 days
  • $BEG — 4/5 days
  • $SKUU — 4/5 days
  • $SKHL — 4/5 days
  • $HYNX — 4/5 days
  • $SKHU — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $DELL

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 4G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high; range contracting

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $FIVE

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 5G/9R — supply leaving while 5% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🚫 Extended — what we do NOT chase — $HZO

Already ran far from the 40-MA (high ATR-extension): the obvious move everyone sees, edge gone, prone to the pullback. We surface the pre-obvious coil, not this. This name: +195.0 ATR above the 200d — -0.5% off high but already extended

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_0914 (8)

DELL,OKTA,CRWD,DT,NEOG,CF,HPQ,BFH

KC_Coils_D_0914 (17)

BBY,CRWD,OKTA,DT,APA,ROIV,TALO,CNH,SABR,PARR,MANH,NEO,NEOG,CVI,PTEN,CF,AVT

KC_Fakes_D_0914 (5)

BFH,NPK,FIVE,CART,SAIC

KC_OffIdx_D_0914 (3)

OSCR,GH,EWTX

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.