Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 99 · Friday, September 11, 2026

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-09-11 (Fri)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-09-11 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 3 · COILING 29 (cohering 17 / diverging 5) · FRESH_BREAK 1

🌐 REGIME — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

beach-mode — most coils fail here; sit on hands or G/0R only today 76↑ / 11↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance -117 · T2108 30% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-09-10)

  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $PTEN, $TALO, $ANF
  • 🌀 new coil: $CART, $NX, $FLR, $CRM, $NTAP, $ANET, $WCC, $HPE, $NHC, $SMTC, $FFIV, $PTGX, $FIVE
  • ↩️ flipped diverging→cohering: $HPQ, $OSCR
  • ➖ dropped out: $TGTX, $CVI, $HP

🚦 Gate — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

Beach-mode — longs HEAVILY suppressed: only the most decisive G/0R survive, and even those swim against the tide. Most coils FAIL here. Learn/watch tape, not a buy tape. regime gate suppressed 7 cohering coil(s) that weren’t decisive enough for this tape.

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs (lead this regime)

  • $FIVE (-7.3% from high) — 6G/9R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $BFH (-7.1% from high) — 1G/6R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $PTGX (-7.9% from high) — 3G/5R — supply leaving while 8% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $NPK (-2.5% from high) — 3G/4R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⭐ Worth a real look (secondary — fakes lead this regime)

  • $PTEN (-4.0% from high, 4%/day, +12% 3mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 4G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
  • $CF (-6.3% from high, 4%/day, +25% 3mo) — 6G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high
  • $TALO (-4.1% from high, 4%/day, +19% 3mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 3G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $PTEN -4.0% 3.7%/day 3mo +12% $ 99M 4G/0R accu COHERING
  • $TALO -4.1% 3.6%/day 3mo +19% $ 27M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $ANF -6.4% 4.0%/day 3mo +60% $ 221M 1G/1R accu COHERING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $NPK -2.5% 3.4%/day 3mo +19% $ 14M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $BFH -7.1% 3.2%/day 3mo +5% $ 43M 1G/6R dist DIVERGING
  • $FIVE -7.3% 3.4%/day 3mo +21% $ 267M 6G/9R dist DIVERGING
  • $CART -7.5% 3.3%/day 3mo +16% $ 148M 0G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $PTGX -7.9% 3.7%/day 3mo +35% $ 76M 3G/5R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $HPQ -2.1% 4.5%/day 3mo +44% $ 453M 1G/1R accu COHERING
  • $PARR -2.7% 4.8%/day 3mo +53% $ 63M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $HPE -3.4% 4.5%/day 3mo +33% $ 966M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $FCFS -4.4% 3.2%/day 3mo +5% $ 87M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $NTAP -4.7% 3.6%/day 3mo +24% $ 428M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $FFIV -5.4% 3.2%/day 3mo +5% $ 178M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $SABR -5.4% 5.1%/day 3mo +29% $ 7M 3G/3R accu COHERING
  • $SMTC -5.7% 7.1%/day 3mo +2% $ 401M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $CNH -6.1% 3.6%/day 3mo +31% $ 240M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $NHC -6.2% 3.0%/day 3mo +15% $ 21M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $CF -6.3% 3.6%/day 3mo +25% $ 309M 6G/1R accu COHERING
  • $DT -6.9% 3.0%/day 3mo +27% $ 290M 5G/0R accu COHERING
  • $FLR -7.1% 3.1%/day 3mo +8% $ 116M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $ANET -7.1% 3.2%/day 3mo +28% $ 925M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $OKTA -7.2% 5.2%/day 3mo +42% $ 453M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $SLB -7.3% 3.5%/day 3mo +0% $ 553M 5G/5R accu COHERING
  • $WCC -7.5% 3.0%/day 3mo +4% $ 166M 3G/3R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $OSCR -4.3% 5.6%/day 3mo +13% $ 152M 3G/2R accu COHERING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $SWVL — 5/5 days
  • $BWET — 5/5 days
  • $XHLD — 5/5 days
  • $TJGC — 5/5 days
  • $ZCSH — 5/5 days
  • $BEG — 5/5 days
  • $ASST — 5/5 days
  • $EDRY — 5/5 days
  • $SST — 5/5 days
  • $CHPT — 5/5 days
  • $USDE — 5/5 days
  • $NAKA — 5/5 days
  • $BNC — 4/5 days
  • $BEX — 4/5 days
  • $SKUU — 4/5 days
  • $SKHL — 4/5 days
  • $HYNX — 4/5 days
  • $SKHU — 4/5 days
  • $SKHX — 4/5 days
  • $SK — 4/5 days
  • $RBLU — 4/5 days
  • $SLE — 4/5 days
  • $MRNA — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $PUR — 4/5 days
  • $AEHL — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $PTEN

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 4G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $NPK

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 3G/4R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🚫 Extended — what we do NOT chase — $HZO

Already ran far from the 40-MA (high ATR-extension): the obvious move everyone sees, edge gone, prone to the pullback. We surface the pre-obvious coil, not this. This name: +178.0 ATR above the 200d — -0.5% off high but already extended

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_0911 (4)

PTEN,CF,TALO,ANF

KC_Coils_D_0911 (17)

HPQ,PARR,HPE,FCFS,NTAP,FFIV,SABR,SMTC,CNH,NHC,CF,DT,FLR,ANET,OKTA,SLB,WCC

KC_Fakes_D_0911 (5)

NPK,BFH,FIVE,CART,PTGX

KC_OffIdx_D_0911 (1)

OSCR

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.