Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 97 · Thursday, September 10, 2026

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-09-10 (Thu)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-09-10 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 1 · COILING 21 (cohering 14 / diverging 4) · FRESH_BREAK 1

🌐 REGIME — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

capitulation — don’t chase weakness; watch the ⭐ coils for the turn today 16↑ / 75↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance -150 · T2108 27% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-09-09)

  • 🆕 NEW setup: $FCFS
  • 🌀 new coil: $HP, $OII
  • ➖ dropped out: $HCC, $FLR, $FIVE, $FCX, $SM, $NEOG, $PBF, $AMN, $GH

🚦 Gate — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

Capitulation — these coils are TURN-WATCH, not chase-now. Size small, let the regime flip green before leaning in.

⭐ Worth a real look

  • $OKTA (-4.6% from high, 5%/day, +49% 3mo) — 2G/2R net accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; very tight box; range contracting
  • $CF (-4.8% from high, 4%/day, +24% 3mo) — 6G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $FCFS (-4.8% from high, 3%/day, +7% 3mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 4G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $TGTX (-6.6% from high, 3%/day, +19% 3mo) — 4G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 7% off the high; range contracting
  • $HP (-7.5% from high, 3%/day, +13% 3mo) — 6G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 7% off the high
  • $PTEN (-3.7% from high, 4%/day, +7% 3mo) — 6G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs

  • $BBY (-3.5% from high) — 5G/5R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $BFH (-6.7% from high) — 1G/5R — supply leaving while 7% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $NPK (-6.4% from high) — 3G/4R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $FCFS -4.8% 3.2%/day 3mo +7% $ 86M 4G/2R accu COHERING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $HPQ -1.3% 4.5%/day 3mo +33% $ 452M 0G/1R dist DIVERGING
  • $BBY -3.5% 3.1%/day 3mo +16% $ 301M 5G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $NPK -6.4% 3.4%/day 3mo +15% $ 14M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $BFH -6.7% 3.0%/day 3mo +11% $ 43M 1G/5R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $CVI -3.3% 4.5%/day 3mo +56% $ 39M 6G/0R accu COHERING
  • $PTEN -3.7% 3.7%/day 3mo +7% $ 93M 6G/1R accu COHERING
  • $PARR -4.0% 5.1%/day 3mo +45% $ 66M 6G/1R accu COHERING
  • $OKTA -4.6% 5.2%/day 3mo +49% $ 440M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $CF -4.8% 3.6%/day 3mo +24% $ 302M 6G/1R accu COHERING
  • $TALO -4.9% 3.6%/day 3mo +14% $ 27M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $DT -6.2% 3.1%/day 3mo +27% $ 295M 5G/0R accu COHERING
  • $TGTX -6.6% 3.3%/day 3mo +19% $ 76M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CNH -6.6% 3.7%/day 3mo +33% $ 240M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $ECPG -6.7% 3.3%/day 3mo +22% $ 34M 6G/5R accu COHERING
  • $SABR -7.2% 5.8%/day 3mo +29% $ 7M 3G/3R accu COHERING
  • $SLB -7.4% 3.5%/day 3mo +1% $ 553M 4G/3R accu COHERING
  • $HP -7.5% 3.2%/day 3mo +13% $ 49M 6G/1R accu COHERING
  • $ANF -7.9% 4.4%/day 3mo +68% $ 221M 1G/1R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $OSCR -2.9% 5.6%/day 3mo +17% $ 152M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $SWVL — 5/5 days
  • $TJGC — 5/5 days
  • $SST — 5/5 days
  • $ZCSH — 5/5 days
  • $BWET — 5/5 days
  • $XHLD — 5/5 days
  • $ASST — 5/5 days
  • $CHPT — 5/5 days
  • $AEHL — 5/5 days
  • $USDE — 5/5 days
  • $DFDV — 5/5 days
  • $NAKA — 5/5 days
  • $EDRY — 4/5 days
  • $BEG — 4/5 days
  • $FWDI — 4/5 days
  • $MRNA — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $PUR — 4/5 days
  • $SOLT — 4/5 days
  • $PURR — 4/5 days
  • $ARCT — 4/5 days
  • $MSTX — 4/5 days
  • $MSTU — 4/5 days
  • $BNC — 3/5 days
  • $SKUU — 3/5 days
  • $SKHX — 3/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $CF

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 6G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $BBY

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 5G/5R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⚖️ Decisive vs Thin — why the count matters — $CVI

A lopsided tally (e.g. 7G/0R) is decisive commitment; a 2G/2R or 1G/1R is NO read — not enough committed flow to validate either way. Trust decisive, skip thin. This name: 6G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_0910 (6)

OKTA,CF,FCFS,TGTX,HP,PTEN

KC_Coils_D_0910 (14)

CVI,PTEN,PARR,OKTA,CF,TALO,DT,TGTX,CNH,ECPG,SABR,SLB,HP,ANF

KC_Fakes_D_0910 (4)

HPQ,BBY,NPK,BFH

KC_OffIdx_D_0910 (1)

OSCR

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.