Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 95 · Wednesday, September 9, 2026

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-09-09 (Wed)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-09-09 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 2 · COILING 25 (cohering 18 / diverging 7) · FRESH_BREAK 0

🌐 REGIME — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

capitulation — don’t chase weakness; watch the ⭐ coils for the turn today 19↑ / 86↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance -36 · T2108 30% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-09-08)

  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $FCX
  • 🌀 new coil: $GH, $SLB, $CNH, $BBY, $AMN, $WT, $DT
  • ➖ dropped out: $PJT, $WCC, $EPC, $CRM, $VIR, $ROIV, $FCFS, $OII, $URBN, $XYZ

🚦 Gate — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

Capitulation — these coils are TURN-WATCH, not chase-now. Size small, let the regime flip green before leaning in.

⭐ Worth a real look

  • $OKTA (-1.2% from high, 5%/day, +44% 3mo) — 2G/1R net accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; very tight box; range contracting
  • $CF (-2.7% from high, 4%/day, +27% 3mo) — 7G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $FCX (-5.0% from high, 4%/day, +19% 3mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 5G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $SLB (-5.6% from high, 3%/day, +2% 3mo) — 4G/3R net accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high; range contracting
  • $PTEN (-2.9% from high, 3%/day, +12% 3mo) — 4G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
  • $NEOG (-7.2% from high, 4%/day, +28% 3mo) — 4G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 7% off the high

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs

  • $DAR (-3.5% from high) — 4G/4R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $FIVE (-6.4% from high) — 6G/9R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $BBY (-3.5% from high) — 5G/5R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $BFH (-6.2% from high) — 1G/4R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $FCX -5.0% 3.6%/day 3mo +19% $ 995M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $FIVE -6.4% 3.4%/day 3mo +29% $ 266M 6G/9R dist DIVERGING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $HPQ -1.6% 4.5%/day 3mo +30% $ 437M 0G/1R dist DIVERGING
  • $DAR -3.5% 3.7%/day 3mo +16% $ 142M 4G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $BBY -3.5% 3.0%/day 3mo +17% $ 297M 5G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $NPK -6.2% 3.3%/day 3mo +13% $ 14M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $BFH -6.2% 3.2%/day 3mo +14% $ 42M 1G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $FIVE -6.4% 3.4%/day 3mo +29% $ 266M 6G/9R dist DIVERGING
  • $AMN -7.7% 3.7%/day 3mo +13% $ 17M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $CVI -0.3% 4.6%/day 3mo +52% $ 37M 7G/1R accu COHERING
  • $OKTA -1.2% 4.7%/day 3mo +44% $ 436M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $PBF -1.9% 4.6%/day 3mo +90% $ 160M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $ANF -2.0% 4.4%/day 3mo +82% $ 215M 1G/1R accu COHERING
  • $SM -2.5% 3.2%/day 3mo +22% $ 127M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $CF -2.7% 3.6%/day 3mo +27% $ 302M 7G/1R accu COHERING
  • $PTEN -2.9% 3.5%/day 3mo +12% $ 90M 4G/0R accu COHERING
  • $CNH -3.9% 3.6%/day 3mo +29% $ 217M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $PARR -4.5% 5.4%/day 3mo +52% $ 66M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $TALO -5.0% 3.6%/day 3mo +19% $ 26M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $SLB -5.6% 3.1%/day 3mo +2% $ 530M 4G/3R accu COHERING
  • $FLR -6.0% 3.4%/day 3mo +11% $ 118M 6G/3R accu COHERING
  • $HCC -6.3% 3.7%/day 3mo +10% $ 52M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $SABR -6.8% 6.6%/day 3mo +29% $ 7M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $NEOG -7.2% 3.6%/day 3mo +28% $ 17M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $ECPG -7.3% 3.4%/day 3mo +18% $ 36M 6G/5R accu COHERING
  • $DT -7.7% 3.2%/day 3mo +24% $ 295M 5G/0R accu COHERING
  • $TGTX -7.8% 3.3%/day 3mo +26% $ 83M 5G/2R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $GH -7.8% 4.3%/day 3mo +25% $ 327M 5G/3R accu COHERING
  • $OSCR -5.3% 5.6%/day 3mo +17% $ 152M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $SWVL — 5/5 days
  • $ZCSH — 5/5 days
  • $TJGC — 5/5 days
  • $XHLD — 5/5 days
  • $ASST — 5/5 days
  • $BWET — 5/5 days
  • $USDE — 5/5 days
  • $PUR — 5/5 days
  • $DFDV — 5/5 days
  • $SOLT — 5/5 days
  • $PURR — 5/5 days
  • $ARCT — 5/5 days
  • $NAKA — 5/5 days
  • $SST — 4/5 days
  • $CHPT — 4/5 days
  • $AEHL — 4/5 days
  • $MSTX — 4/5 days
  • $MSTU — 4/5 days
  • $FWDI — 4/5 days
  • $CRCA — 4/5 days
  • $CRCG — 4/5 days
  • $MRNA — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $CAPR — 4/5 days
  • $PTN — 4/5 days
  • $CRMG — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $CF

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 7G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $DAR

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 4G/4R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 Inside-Bar Setup — the cocked trigger — $FCX

An inside bar pressed to the box top = a defined buy-stop trigger with the stop right below. You’re early AND you have an exact level — the highest-value pre-obvious state. This name: inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 5G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_0909 (7)

OKTA,CF,FCX,SLB,PTEN,NEOG,FIVE

KC_Coils_D_0909 (18)

CVI,OKTA,PBF,ANF,SM,CF,PTEN,CNH,PARR,TALO,SLB,FLR,HCC,SABR,NEOG,ECPG,DT,TGTX

KC_Fakes_D_0909 (7)

FIVE,HPQ,DAR,BBY,NPK,BFH,AMN

KC_OffIdx_D_0909 (2)

GH,OSCR

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.