Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 94 · Tuesday, September 8, 2026

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-09-08 (Tue)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-09-08 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 2 · COILING 28 (cohering 20 / diverging 6) · FRESH_BREAK 1

🌐 REGIME — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

beach-mode — most coils fail here; sit on hands or G/0R only today 44↑ / 129↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance -61 · T2108 35% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-09-07)

  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $FLR
  • 🌀 new coil: $TALO, $WCC, $FCX
  • ➖ dropped out: $TDW, $FRO, $SLB, $MLKN, $MANH, $PRGS, $CART, $BOX, $DT, $AVT, $NX, $VIRT, $LQDT, $ILMN, $RELY, $RCUS, $HP

🚦 Gate — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

Beach-mode — longs HEAVILY suppressed: only the most decisive G/0R survive, and even those swim against the tide. Most coils FAIL here. Learn/watch tape, not a buy tape. regime gate suppressed 8 cohering coil(s) that weren’t decisive enough for this tape.

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs (lead this regime)

  • $XYZ (-7.8% from high) — 3G/5R — supply leaving while 8% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $DAR (-4.1% from high) — 4G/4R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $FIVE (-3.7% from high) — 6G/9R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $BFH (-5.5% from high) — 1G/4R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⭐ Worth a real look (secondary — fakes lead this regime)

  • $SABR (-1.5% from high, 7%/day, +37% 3mo) — 5G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting
  • $FLR (-3.0% from high, 3%/day, +14% 3mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 6G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
  • $CF (-5.4% from high, 4%/day, +23% 3mo) — 6G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 5% off the high

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $FLR -3.0% 3.1%/day 3mo +14% $ 119M 6G/3R accu COHERING
  • $FIVE -3.7% 3.4%/day 3mo +36% $ 266M 6G/9R dist DIVERGING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $FIVE -3.7% 3.4%/day 3mo +36% $ 266M 6G/9R dist DIVERGING
  • $DAR -4.1% 3.7%/day 3mo +15% $ 142M 4G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $HPQ -4.9% 4.0%/day 3mo +23% $ 417M 0G/1R dist DIVERGING
  • $BFH -5.5% 3.0%/day 3mo +18% $ 43M 1G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $NPK -7.4% 3.2%/day 3mo +13% $ 14M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $XYZ -7.8% 3.1%/day 3mo +15% $ 284M 3G/5R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $CVI -0.3% 4.6%/day 3mo +38% $ 37M 6G/1R accu COHERING
  • $PBF -1.5% 4.7%/day 3mo +81% $ 170M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $SABR -1.5% 6.6%/day 3mo +37% $ 7M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $ANF -2.0% 4.4%/day 3mo +90% $ 178M 1G/1R accu COHERING
  • $SM -3.0% 3.3%/day 3mo +17% $ 126M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $OKTA -4.1% 4.7%/day 3mo +43% $ 418M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $FCX -4.5% 3.7%/day 3mo +20% $ 995M 6G/2R accu COHERING
  • $PTEN -4.9% 3.5%/day 3mo +6% $ 81M 4G/0R accu COHERING
  • $HCC -5.2% 3.7%/day 3mo +7% $ 53M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CF -5.4% 3.6%/day 3mo +23% $ 302M 6G/1R accu COHERING
  • $FCFS -5.7% 3.0%/day 3mo +1% $ 81M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $PARR -5.7% 5.6%/day 3mo +44% $ 66M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $ECPG -5.8% 3.4%/day 3mo +23% $ 36M 6G/5R accu COHERING
  • $TGTX -6.0% 3.3%/day 3mo +36% $ 81M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $VIR -6.4% 5.1%/day 3mo +32% $ 18M 7G/3R accu COHERING
  • $WCC -6.5% 3.0%/day 3mo +2% $ 166M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $TALO -6.9% 3.5%/day 3mo +15% $ 26M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $URBN -7.0% 3.6%/day 3mo +11% $ 80M 3G/3R accu COHERING
  • $EPC -7.5% 3.5%/day 3mo +37% $ 14M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $NEOG -7.5% 3.6%/day 3mo +31% $ 17M 3G/2R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $OSCR -1.6% 5.1%/day 3mo +21% $ 155M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $SWVL — 5/5 days
  • $ZCSH — 5/5 days
  • $TJGC — 5/5 days
  • $USDE — 5/5 days
  • $ASST — 5/5 days
  • $DFDV — 5/5 days
  • $XHLD — 5/5 days
  • $PUR — 5/5 days
  • $BWET — 5/5 days
  • $ARCT — 5/5 days
  • $SOLT — 5/5 days
  • $CRCA — 5/5 days
  • $CRCG — 5/5 days
  • $MRNA — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $CAPR — 5/5 days
  • $PURR — 5/5 days
  • $CRMG — 5/5 days
  • $MSTX — 4/5 days
  • $MSTU — 4/5 days
  • $FWDI — 4/5 days
  • $PTN — 4/5 days
  • $NAKA — 4/5 days
  • $FCUV — 4/5 days
  • $DAIC — 4/5 days
  • $MRNX — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $SABR

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 5G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $DAR

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 4G/4R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🚫 Extended — what we do NOT chase — $HZO

Already ran far from the 40-MA (high ATR-extension): the obvious move everyone sees, edge gone, prone to the pullback. We surface the pre-obvious coil, not this. This name: +158.1 ATR above the 200d — -0.6% off high but already extended

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_0908 (4)

SABR,FLR,CF,FIVE

KC_Coils_D_0908 (20)

CVI,PBF,SABR,ANF,SM,OKTA,FCX,PTEN,HCC,CF,FCFS,PARR,ECPG,TGTX,VIR,WCC,TALO,URBN,EPC,NEOG

KC_Fakes_D_0908 (6)

FIVE,DAR,HPQ,BFH,NPK,XYZ

KC_OffIdx_D_0908 (1)

OSCR

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.