Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 88 · Thursday, September 3, 2026

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-09-03 (Thu)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-09-03 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 7 · COILING 36 (cohering 21 / diverging 10) · FRESH_BREAK 0

🌐 REGIME — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

beach-mode — most coils fail here; sit on hands or G/0R only today 53↑ / 21↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance -99 · T2108 43% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-09-02)

  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $TFX, $CRGY, $CF
  • 🆕 NEW setup: $PRGS, $SM, $VIRT, $HPQ
  • 🌀 new coil: $ILMN, $PTGX, $WEX, $IBKR, $ANF, $NHC, $OSCR, $PGEN, $TWLO, $ECPG, $FCFS
  • ➖ dropped out: $BBY, $FIVE, $INVX, $GH, $HCC, $FCX, $APA, $CNH, $SLB

🚦 Gate — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

Beach-mode — longs HEAVILY suppressed: only the most decisive G/0R survive, and even those swim against the tide. Most coils FAIL here. Learn/watch tape, not a buy tape. regime gate suppressed 7 cohering coil(s) that weren’t decisive enough for this tape.

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs (lead this regime)

  • $DAR (-6.0% from high) — 4G/5R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $XYZ (-4.1% from high) — 3G/5R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $BFH (-5.0% from high) — 0G/4R — supply leaving while 5% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $PRGS (-5.8% from high) — 3G/3R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⭐ Worth a real look (secondary — fakes lead this regime)

  • $TFX (-3.5% from high, 3%/day, +6% 3mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 9G/7R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
  • $CF (-2.9% from high, 4%/day, +17% 3mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 5G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $VIRT (-6.6% from high, 4%/day, +25% 3mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 5G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 7% off the high; range contracting

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $CF -2.9% 3.7%/day 3mo +17% $ 286M 5G/0R accu COHERING
  • $SM -3.4% 3.4%/day 3mo +11% $ 126M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $TFX -3.5% 3.0%/day 3mo +6% $ 81M 9G/7R accu COHERING
  • $CRGY -4.0% 3.0%/day 3mo +14% $ 69M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $VIRT -6.6% 3.9%/day 3mo +25% $ 71M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $HPQ -1.9% 4.0%/day 3mo +21% $ 397M 0G/1R dist DIVERGING
  • $PRGS -5.8% 3.3%/day 3mo +41% $ 16M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $HPQ -1.9% 4.0%/day 3mo +21% $ 397M 0G/1R dist DIVERGING
  • $NEM -3.6% 3.0%/day 3mo +20% $ 974M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $XYZ -4.1% 3.1%/day 3mo +18% $ 332M 3G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $WEX -4.4% 3.0%/day 3mo +33% $ 90M 0G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $BFH -5.0% 3.0%/day 3mo +19% $ 42M 0G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $PRGS -5.8% 3.3%/day 3mo +41% $ 16M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $DAR -6.0% 3.8%/day 3mo +8% $ 142M 4G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $ETSY -6.8% 3.6%/day 3mo +22% $ 218M 4G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $TWLO -6.9% 4.4%/day 3mo +2% $ 468M 0G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $PTGX -7.5% 3.5%/day 3mo +45% $ 73M 2G/4R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $GEN -1.0% 3.0%/day 3mo +18% $ 166M 6G/1R accu COHERING
  • $BOX -1.0% 3.3%/day 3mo +34% $ 87M 6G/3R accu COHERING
  • $FLR -1.5% 3.4%/day 3mo +14% $ 132M 6G/3R accu COHERING
  • $CVI -1.7% 4.6%/day 3mo +29% $ 35M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CART -1.8% 3.3%/day 3mo +25% $ 161M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $OKTA -2.5% 4.7%/day 3mo +38% $ 407M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $PBF -3.3% 5.1%/day 3mo +76% $ 178M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $DT -3.8% 3.3%/day 3mo +22% $ 294M 5G/0R accu COHERING
  • $VIR -4.1% 5.1%/day 3mo +25% $ 17M 6G/3R accu COHERING
  • $TGTX -4.4% 3.2%/day 3mo +40% $ 89M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $ILMN -4.4% 3.6%/day 3mo +32% $ 378M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $EPC -4.8% 3.6%/day 3mo +44% $ 14M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $RCUS -5.1% 3.8%/day 3mo +22% $ 31M 6G/3R accu COHERING
  • $PTEN -5.7% 3.9%/day 3mo +2% $ 77M 6G/1R accu COHERING
  • $PARR -5.8% 5.9%/day 3mo +48% $ 68M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $IBKR -5.9% 3.0%/day 3mo +7% $ 369M 7G/6R accu COHERING
  • $TALO -6.2% 3.7%/day 3mo +13% $ 27M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $FCFS -6.3% 3.0%/day 3mo +1% $ 75M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $HP -6.5% 3.2%/day 3mo +14% $ 50M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $ANF -7.1% 4.4%/day 3mo +85% $ 137M 1G/1R accu COHERING
  • $NHC -7.4% 3.1%/day 3mo +18% $ 24M 2G/2R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $FRO -1.2% 3.3%/day 3mo +33% $ 95M 6G/3R accu COHERING
  • $PGEN -7.5% 5.0%/day 3mo +85% $ 33M 4G/0R accu COHERING
  • $OSCR -3.9% 5.9%/day 3mo +37% $ 155M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $USDE — 5/5 days
  • $DAIC — 5/5 days
  • $TJGC — 5/5 days
  • $DFDV — 5/5 days
  • $ASST — 5/5 days
  • $CRCG — 5/5 days
  • $CRCA — 5/5 days
  • $XHLD — 5/5 days
  • $MRNX — 5/5 days
  • $MRNA — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $ARCT — 5/5 days
  • $SOLT — 5/5 days
  • $PURR — 5/5 days
  • $MRNY — 5/5 days
  • $GORO — 5/5 days
  • $ETHU — 5/5 days
  • $ZCSH — 4/5 days
  • $MSTX — 4/5 days
  • $MSTU — 4/5 days
  • $BMNU — 4/5 days
  • $CRMG — 4/5 days
  • $BMNG — 4/5 days
  • $XRPT — 4/5 days
  • $XXRP — 4/5 days
  • $CAPR — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $TFX

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 9G/7R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $XYZ

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 3G/5R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 Inside-Bar Setup — the cocked trigger — $CF

An inside bar pressed to the box top = a defined buy-stop trigger with the stop right below. You’re early AND you have an exact level — the highest-value pre-obvious state. This name: inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 5G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_0903 (7)

TFX,CF,VIRT,SM,CRGY,HPQ,PRGS

KC_Coils_D_0903 (21)

GEN,BOX,FLR,CVI,CART,OKTA,PBF,DT,VIR,TGTX,ILMN,EPC,RCUS,PTEN,PARR,IBKR,TALO,FCFS,HP,ANF,NHC

KC_Fakes_D_0903 (10)

HPQ,PRGS,NEM,XYZ,WEX,BFH,DAR,ETSY,TWLO,PTGX

KC_OffIdx_D_0903 (3)

FRO,PGEN,OSCR

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.