Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 81 · Friday, August 28, 2026

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-08-28 (Fri)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-08-28 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 7 · COILING 41 (cohering 25 / diverging 4) · FRESH_BREAK 0

🌐 REGIME — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

beach-mode — most coils fail here; sit on hands or G/0R only today 21↑ / 101↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance -67 · T2108 45% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-08-27)

  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $CRGY, $PRGS, $EXPE, $EPC, $NOV, $SABR
  • 🆕 NEW setup: $URBN
  • 🌀 new coil: $SBH, $PBF, $CXM, $ILMN, $VIR, $NSP, $PANW, $PJT
  • ↩️ flipped diverging→cohering: $NHC
  • ➖ dropped out: $PATH, $QLYS, $FCFS, $FLR, $TGTX, $LFST, $OKTA, $ACAD, $GH, $FIVE, $ANET, $PGEN, $ARWR, $CXW, $CRM, $SW, $DXPE, $KYMR, $TFX, $CRWD

🚦 Gate — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

Beach-mode — longs HEAVILY suppressed: only the most decisive G/0R survive, and even those swim against the tide. Most coils FAIL here. Learn/watch tape, not a buy tape. regime gate suppressed 12 cohering coil(s) that weren’t decisive enough for this tape.

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs (lead this regime)

  • $XYZ (-3.9% from high) — 2G/4R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $RELY (-2.2% from high) — 2G/5R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $HPQ (-5.2% from high) — 3G/3R — supply leaving while 5% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $TDW (-5.0% from high) — 2G/4R — supply leaving while 5% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⭐ Worth a real look (secondary — fakes lead this regime)

  • $SABR (-4.1% from high, 7%/day, +25% 3mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 4G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
  • $CART (-2.9% from high, 3%/day, +27% 3mo) — 4G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
  • $VIRT (-3.4% from high, 4%/day, +32% 3mo) — 4G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $EPC -3.0% 4.1%/day 3mo +66% $ 16M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $NOV -3.1% 3.0%/day 3mo +5% $ 62M 6G/1R accu COHERING
  • $EXPE -3.7% 3.5%/day 3mo +46% $ 449M 4G/3R accu COHERING
  • $SABR -4.1% 6.8%/day 3mo +25% $ 7M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $URBN -5.1% 3.4%/day 3mo +12% $ 75M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $CRGY -5.2% 3.3%/day 3mo +17% $ 66M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $PRGS -5.5% 3.0%/day 3mo +36% $ 16M 2G/1R accu MIXED

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $RELY -2.2% 4.2%/day 3mo +33% $ 77M 2G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $XYZ -3.9% 3.1%/day 3mo +10% $ 336M 2G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $TDW -5.0% 3.3%/day 3mo +26% $ 57M 2G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $HPQ -5.2% 3.8%/day 3mo +13% $ 365M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $GEN -0.9% 3.0%/day 3mo +20% $ 158M 6G/0R accu COHERING
  • $CART -2.9% 3.4%/day 3mo +27% $ 184M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $BOX -3.2% 3.3%/day 3mo +30% $ 79M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $VIRT -3.4% 4.2%/day 3mo +32% $ 74M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $INSW -3.5% 3.4%/day 3mo +28% $ 47M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $HCC -3.7% 3.7%/day 3mo +13% $ 59M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $SM -4.3% 3.6%/day 3mo +19% $ 125M 1G/1R accu COHERING
  • $LPG -4.5% 3.6%/day 3mo +24% $ 25M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CHRD -4.6% 3.2%/day 3mo +11% $ 96M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $FCX -4.7% 3.4%/day 3mo +16% $ 979M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $PTEN -5.0% 3.9%/day 3mo +11% $ 81M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $HP -5.4% 3.1%/day 3mo +12% $ 44M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $PBF -5.8% 5.2%/day 3mo +75% $ 189M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $FTI -5.8% 3.0%/day 3mo +11% $ 217M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $MLKN -6.4% 3.1%/day 3mo +43% $ 12M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $NSP -6.4% 4.5%/day 3mo +55% $ 18M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $RGEN -6.6% 3.6%/day 3mo +42% $ 152M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $APA -6.8% 3.2%/day 3mo +17% $ 217M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $PANW -6.8% 4.1%/day 3mo +32% $ 1915M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $NHC -6.9% 3.1%/day 3mo +21% $ 24M 1G/1R accu COHERING
  • $ILMN -7.0% 3.7%/day 3mo +32% $ 403M 4G/0R accu COHERING
  • $VIR -7.1% 5.3%/day 3mo +14% $ 14M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CNK -7.7% 3.1%/day 3mo +29% $ 75M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $RCUS -8.0% 4.0%/day 3mo +15% $ 29M 4G/3R accu COHERING
  • $TWLO -8.0% 4.4%/day 3mo +25% $ 516M 3G/3R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $FRO -2.4% 3.4%/day 3mo +27% $ 85M 6G/2R accu COHERING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $XHLD — 5/5 days
  • $OABI — 5/5 days
  • $RCEL — 5/5 days
  • $HTFL — 5/5 days
  • $AMLX — 5/5 days
  • $USDE — 4/5 days
  • $MRNA — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $ARCT — 4/5 days
  • $IPST — 4/5 days
  • $GDXU — 4/5 days
  • $CRCG — 4/5 days
  • $CRCA — 4/5 days
  • $PURR — 4/5 days
  • $TEMT — 4/5 days
  • $ABCL — 4/5 days
  • $NUGT — 4/5 days
  • $HHS — 4/5 days
  • $JNUG — 4/5 days
  • $BWET — 4/5 days
  • $SENS — 4/5 days
  • $SMJF — 4/5 days
  • $OMER — 4/5 days
  • $NIQ — 4/5 days
  • $WETO — 3/5 days
  • $BMNU — 3/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $SABR

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 4G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $XYZ

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 2G/4R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 Inside-Bar Setup — the cocked trigger — $NOV

An inside bar pressed to the box top = a defined buy-stop trigger with the stop right below. You’re early AND you have an exact level — the highest-value pre-obvious state. This name: inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 6G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_0828 (9)

SABR,CART,VIRT,EPC,NOV,EXPE,URBN,CRGY,PRGS

KC_Coils_D_0828 (25)

GEN,CART,BOX,VIRT,INSW,HCC,SM,LPG,CHRD,FCX,PTEN,HP,PBF,FTI,MLKN,NSP,RGEN,APA,PANW,NHC,ILMN,VIR,CNK,RCUS,TWLO

KC_Fakes_D_0828 (4)

RELY,XYZ,TDW,HPQ

KC_OffIdx_D_0828 (1)

FRO

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.