Kept & Counted

The raw record, kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 76 · Tuesday, August 25, 2026

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-08-25 (Tue)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-08-25 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 6 · COILING 32 (cohering 23 / diverging 4) · FRESH_BREAK 0

🌐 REGIME — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

beach-mode — most coils fail here; sit on hands or G/0R only today 39↑ / 16↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance +13 · T2108 49% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-08-24)

  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $IQV, $LQDT, $FIVE, $CNC, $EXPE
  • 🆕 NEW setup: $CNK
  • 🌀 new coil: $EAT, $ARWR, $NEM, $PCRX, $TGTX
  • ➖ dropped out: $GEO, $BIO, $FCFS, $NSIT, $APA, $KTB, $XYZ, $EZPW, $MANH, $BGC, $CHRD, $SBH, $EWTX, $INCY, $AMN, $OII, $MLKN

🚦 Gate — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

Beach-mode — longs HEAVILY suppressed: only the most decisive G/0R survive, and even those swim against the tide. Most coils FAIL here. Learn/watch tape, not a buy tape. regime gate suppressed 12 cohering coil(s) that weren’t decisive enough for this tape.

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs (lead this regime)

  • $ETSY (-4.0% from high) — 4G/4R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $CNC (-6.3% from high) — 3G/3R — supply leaving while 6% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $PCRX (-7.7% from high) — 1G/3R — supply leaving while 8% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $TDW (-5.3% from high) — 2G/3R — supply leaving while 5% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⭐ Worth a real look (secondary — fakes lead this regime)

  • $TFX (-3.3% from high, 3%/day, +6% 3mo) — 9G/5R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
  • $SABR (-1.5% from high, 7%/day, +40% 3mo) — 4G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting
  • $VIRT (-5.1% from high, 4%/day, +26% 3mo) — 4G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 5% off the high

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $EXPE -0.9% 3.5%/day 3mo +52% $ 479M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $IQV -0.9% 3.0%/day 3mo +60% $ 298M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $FIVE -1.7% 3.4%/day 3mo +17% $ 214M 4G/4R accu COHERING
  • $LQDT -2.2% 3.2%/day 3mo +21% $ 8M 3G/3R accu COHERING
  • $CNK -4.1% 3.1%/day 3mo +37% $ 82M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $CNC -6.3% 3.3%/day 3mo +14% $ 233M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $ETSY -4.0% 3.5%/day 3mo +31% $ 223M 4G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $TDW -5.3% 3.3%/day 3mo +17% $ 52M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $CNC -6.3% 3.3%/day 3mo +14% $ 233M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $PCRX -7.7% 3.5%/day 3mo +5% $ 15M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $NEM -0.1% 3.1%/day 3mo +21% $ 829M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $RCUS -0.5% 4.0%/day 3mo +31% $ 29M 4G/3R accu COHERING
  • $CART -1.0% 3.4%/day 3mo +27% $ 184M 4G/3R accu COHERING
  • $SABR -1.5% 6.8%/day 3mo +40% $ 7M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $GPN -2.1% 3.0%/day 3mo +28% $ 260M 6G/3R accu COHERING
  • $EAT -2.5% 3.8%/day 3mo +78% $ 202M 3G/3R accu COHERING
  • $TFX -3.3% 3.1%/day 3mo +6% $ 83M 9G/5R accu COHERING
  • $EPC -3.3% 4.0%/day 3mo +65% $ 15M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $RGEN -3.7% 3.8%/day 3mo +58% $ 159M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $ROIV -4.0% 3.2%/day 3mo +23% $ 203M 4G/3R accu COHERING
  • $DBX -4.2% 3.0%/day 3mo +31% $ 134M 4G/3R accu COHERING
  • $ZD -4.6% 3.0%/day 3mo +24% $ 30M 5G/3R accu COHERING
  • $CXW -4.9% 3.7%/day 3mo +56% $ 50M 9G/3R accu COHERING
  • $VIRT -5.1% 4.2%/day 3mo +26% $ 76M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $LFST -5.3% 3.7%/day 3mo +62% $ 42M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $HCC -5.3% 3.6%/day 3mo +13% $ 59M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CRGY -5.9% 3.4%/day 3mo +8% $ 69M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $NHC -6.1% 3.2%/day 3mo +18% $ 24M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $HP -6.5% 3.1%/day 3mo +5% $ 42M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $TGTX -6.5% 3.5%/day 3mo +39% $ 117M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $GFF -6.6% 3.1%/day 3mo +17% $ 34M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $FTI -6.6% 3.2%/day 3mo +5% $ 230M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $SM -6.7% 3.5%/day 3mo +12% $ 113M 2G/0R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $KYMR -2.6% 3.9%/day 3mo +57% $ 61M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $PGEN -3.6% 5.7%/day 3mo +72% $ 39M 8G/2R accu COHERING
  • $FRO -3.8% 3.2%/day 3mo +19% $ 83M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $GH -6.6% 4.0%/day 3mo +38% $ 365M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $OSCR -7.8% 5.2%/day 3mo +41% $ 169M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $XHLD — 5/5 days
  • $OABI — 5/5 days
  • $HTFL — 5/5 days
  • $RCEL — 5/5 days
  • $SMJF — 5/5 days
  • $OMER — 5/5 days
  • $USDE — 4/5 days
  • $GDXU — 4/5 days
  • $AMLX — 4/5 days
  • $BWET — 4/5 days
  • $SENS — 4/5 days
  • $NIQ — 4/5 days
  • $FGI — 4/5 days
  • $ABCL — 4/5 days
  • $STKH — 4/5 days
  • $TEAM — 4/5 days
  • $QMCO — 4/5 days
  • $ARX — 4/5 days
  • $VREX — 4/5 days
  • $IPST — 3/5 days
  • $MRNA — 3/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $ARCT — 3/5 days
  • $TEMT — 3/5 days
  • $CRCA — 3/5 days
  • $CRCG — 3/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $TFX

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 9G/5R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $ETSY

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 4G/4R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 Inside-Bar Setup — the cocked trigger — $LQDT

An inside bar pressed to the box top = a defined buy-stop trigger with the stop right below. You’re early AND you have an exact level — the highest-value pre-obvious state. This name: inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 3G/3R net accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_0825 (9)

TFX,SABR,VIRT,EXPE,IQV,FIVE,LQDT,CNK,CNC

KC_Coils_D_0825 (23)

NEM,RCUS,CART,SABR,GPN,EAT,TFX,EPC,RGEN,ROIV,DBX,ZD,CXW,VIRT,LFST,HCC,CRGY,NHC,HP,TGTX,GFF,FTI,SM

KC_Fakes_D_0825 (4)

CNC,ETSY,TDW,PCRX

KC_OffIdx_D_0825 (5)

KYMR,PGEN,FRO,GH,OSCR

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.