Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-08-20 (Thu)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-08-20 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 3 · COILING 48 (cohering 31 / diverging 7) · FRESH_BREAK 1

🌐 REGIME — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

beach-mode — most coils fail here; sit on hands or G/0R only today 23↑ / 75↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance -143 · T2108 37% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-08-19)

⚠️ FLIPPED cohering→diverging (early distribution warning): $OSCR (2G/2R)
⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $BOX, $HP, $SAIC
🌀 new coil: $ZBRA, $CXW, $ETSY, $TWST, $NEM, $FRO, $CHRD, $WHD, $KYMR
↩️ flipped diverging→cohering: $LPG
➖ dropped out: $RELY, $DFTX, $APA, $CSW, $SKY, $QLYS, $KMX, $VSEC, $SW, $DXPE, $EAT, $UFPT, $QNST, $SBH, $HPQ, $EWTX, $FLR, $ARWR, $CCS, $PBF, $PRGS, $IBKR

🚦 Gate — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

Beach-mode — longs HEAVILY suppressed: only the most decisive G/0R survive, and even those swim against the tide. Most coils FAIL here. Learn/watch tape, not a buy tape. regime gate suppressed 7 cohering coil(s) that weren’t decisive enough for this tape.

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs (lead this regime)

$XYZ (-7.7% from high) — 0G/4R — supply leaving while 8% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$ETSY (-7.7% from high) — 3G/4R — supply leaving while 8% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$GEO (-2.8% from high) — 4G/7R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$NEOG (-7.9% from high) — 1G/3R — supply leaving while 8% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⭐ Worth a real look (secondary — fakes lead this regime)

$ABNB (-2.2% from high, 3%/day, +36% 3mo) — 3G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting
$CART (-1.4% from high, 3%/day, +25% 3mo) — 4G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high
$NSIT (-7.0% from high, 4%/day, +59% 3mo) — 5G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 7% off the high; range contracting

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

$HP -2.0% 3.2%/day 3mo +8% $ 37M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$SAIC -2.6% 3.0%/day 3mo +32% $ 47M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$BOX -2.9% 3.2%/day 3mo +28% $ 71M 4G/1R accu MIXED

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

$GEO -2.8% 4.0%/day 3mo +37% $ 52M 4G/7R dist DIVERGING
$DAR -3.1% 3.3%/day 3mo +15% $ 135M 0G/1R dist DIVERGING
$FIVE -6.1% 3.4%/day 3mo +10% $ 205M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING
$AMN -6.5% 3.7%/day 3mo +30% $ 22M 2G/5R dist DIVERGING
$ETSY -7.7% 3.4%/day 3mo +41% $ 218M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING
$XYZ -7.7% 3.0%/day 3mo +16% $ 354M 0G/4R dist DIVERGING
$NEOG -7.9% 4.0%/day 3mo +34% $ 23M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

$TDW -0.0% 3.3%/day 3mo +14% $ 48M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$RVTY -0.2% 3.0%/day 3mo +31% $ 147M 3G/0R accu COHERING
$BIO -1.1% 3.2%/day 3mo +31% $ 93M 1G/0R accu COHERING
$WEX -1.1% 3.2%/day 3mo +37% $ 100M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$CART -1.4% 3.4%/day 3mo +25% $ 160M 4G/2R accu COHERING
$FCX -1.5% 3.5%/day 3mo +17% $ 805M 4G/0R accu COHERING
$SM -1.6% 3.6%/day 3mo +8% $ 111M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$IQV -1.6% 3.3%/day 3mo +48% $ 306M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$LPG -1.8% 3.6%/day 3mo +17% $ 26M 1G/0R accu COHERING
$ABNB -2.2% 3.0%/day 3mo +36% $ 752M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$CHRD -2.7% 3.3%/day 3mo +2% $ 95M 1G/0R accu COHERING
$ROIV -3.0% 3.4%/day 3mo +31% $ 191M 7G/1R accu COHERING
$ILMN -3.2% 3.7%/day 3mo +50% $ 336M 6G/4R accu COHERING
$EXPE -3.2% 3.8%/day 3mo +49% $ 449M 4G/3R accu COHERING
$FTI -3.6% 3.4%/day 3mo +7% $ 233M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$TALO -3.7% 4.1%/day 3mo +7% $ 27M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$CXW -3.9% 4.0%/day 3mo +57% $ 38M 8G/3R accu COHERING
$RGEN -4.5% 4.0%/day 3mo +61% $ 159M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$ZD -4.6% 3.2%/day 3mo +31% $ 30M 6G/3R accu COHERING
$CNK -5.4% 3.2%/day 3mo +40% $ 82M 4G/1R accu COHERING
$NEM -5.4% 3.1%/day 3mo +19% $ 806M 4G/0R accu COHERING
$ACAD -6.2% 3.0%/day 3mo +39% $ 41M 4G/1R accu COHERING
$DBX -6.3% 3.7%/day 3mo +24% $ 140M 6G/4R accu COHERING
$HCC -6.4% 3.6%/day 3mo +22% $ 56M 1G/0R accu COHERING
$ZBRA -6.7% 3.3%/day 3mo +48% $ 272M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$RCUS -7.0% 4.3%/day 3mo +30% $ 32M 3G/2R accu COHERING
$NSIT -7.0% 3.8%/day 3mo +59% $ 57M 5G/0R accu COHERING
$WHD -7.0% 3.3%/day 3mo +13% $ 47M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$GFF -7.8% 3.3%/day 3mo +20% $ 32M 2G/2R accu COHERING
$MLKN -7.9% 3.4%/day 3mo +51% $ 12M 3G/0R accu COHERING
$EPC -8.0% 3.7%/day 3mo +63% $ 16M 3G/0R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

$PGEN -0.7% 6.4%/day 3mo +74% $ 36M 7G/2R accu COHERING
$FRO -3.6% 3.2%/day 3mo +12% $ 76M 3G/0R accu COHERING
$GH -4.9% 4.6%/day 3mo +71% $ 359M 5G/2R accu COHERING
$TWST -6.3% 6.7%/day 3mo+175% $ 144M 3G/2R accu COHERING
$KYMR -6.6% 3.9%/day 3mo +55% $ 58M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$OSCR -5.7% 5.1%/day 3mo +35% $ 170M 2G/2R dist DIVERGING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

$XHLD — 5/5 days
$RCEL — 5/5 days
$OABI — 5/5 days
$ABCL — 5/5 days
$QMCO — 5/5 days
$SMJF — 5/5 days
$TEAM — 5/5 days
$OMER — 5/5 days
$LUNL — 5/5 days
$ARX — 5/5 days
$VREX — 5/5 days
$STIM — 5/5 days
$BWMN — 5/5 days
$HTFL — 4/5 days
$BWET — 4/5 days
$NIQ — 4/5 days
$STKH — 4/5 days
$AXTU — 4/5 days
$AXTX — 4/5 days
$SMCL — 4/5 days
$AXTL — 4/5 days
$SMCX — 4/5 days
$RDWU — 4/5 days
$AEHG — 4/5 days
$LIFE — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $ABNB

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 3G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high; range contracting

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $GEO

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 4G/7R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⚖️ Decisive vs Thin — why the count matters — $ROIV

A lopsided tally (e.g. 7G/0R) is decisive commitment; a 2G/2R or 1G/1R is NO read — not enough committed flow to validate either way. Trust decisive, skip thin. This name: 7G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_0820 (6)

ABNB,CART,NSIT,HP,SAIC,BOX

KC_Coils_D_0820 (31)

TDW,RVTY,BIO,WEX,CART,FCX,SM,IQV,LPG,ABNB,CHRD,ROIV,ILMN,EXPE,FTI,TALO,CXW,RGEN,ZD,CNK,NEM,ACAD,DBX,HCC,ZBRA,RCUS,NSIT,WHD,GFF,MLKN,EPC

KC_Fakes_D_0820 (7)

GEO,DAR,FIVE,AMN,ETSY,XYZ,NEOG

KC_OffIdx_D_0820 (6)

PGEN,FRO,GH,TWST,KYMR,OSCR

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.

Read № 70 · Thursday, August 20, 2026