Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-08-14 (Fri)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-08-14 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 23 · COILING 80 (cohering 54 / diverging 9) · FRESH_BREAK 0

🌐 REGIME — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

beach-mode — most coils fail here; sit on hands or G/0R only today 48↑ / 26↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance +131 · T2108 51% above 40-d MA

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-08-13)

⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $RGEN, $PBF, $THC, $WEX, $DELL, $HPQ, $APH, $ASML, $CART, $BIO, $SKY, $AIR, $WT, $VSEC, $ZD, $CSW, $CNC, $FIVE, $ROIV, $GPN, $PRGS
🆕 NEW setup: $CXW
🌀 new coil: $CRL, $UMAC, $OKTA, $RCUS, $TALO, $FTNT, $URBN, $SNOW, $INVX, $CHEF, $GKOS, $HSTM, $SM, $RL, $HLX, $NBIS, $FSS
↩️ flipped diverging→cohering: $FTI
➖ dropped out: $NSP, $NX, $SNDR, $DNOW, $OMC, $IBKR, $NEOG, $CARG, $ASH, $SBH, $CACI, $QNST, $RNG, $WAT, $AEHR, $KTB, $APO, $LTH

🚦 Gate — CORRECTION / DISTRIBUTION

Beach-mode — longs HEAVILY suppressed: only the most decisive G/0R survive, and even those swim against the tide. Most coils FAIL here. Learn/watch tape, not a buy tape. regime gate suppressed 25 cohering coil(s) that weren’t decisive enough for this tape.

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs (lead this regime)

$CNC (-2.7% from high) — 5G/6R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$NOV (-1.9% from high) — 3G/4R — supply leaving while glued to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$PARR (-7.7% from high) — 3G/3R — supply leaving while 8% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
$MOG.A (-0.3% from high) — 3G/3R — supply leaving while glued to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⭐ Worth a real look (secondary — fakes lead this regime)

$HP (-1.0% from high, 3%/day, +12% 3mo) — 3G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting
$XNCR (-0.5% from high, 6%/day, +89% 3mo) — 5G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting
$SABR (-2.8% from high, 6%/day, +41% 3mo) — 4G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

$THC -1.0% 3.4%/day 3mo +35% $ 253M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$WT -2.1% 3.9%/day 3mo +15% $ 42M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$ROIV -2.2% 3.4%/day 3mo +24% $ 173M 5G/4R accu COHERING
$BIO -2.4% 3.2%/day 3mo +45% $ 93M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$VSEC -2.4% 4.6%/day 3mo +35% $ 81M 5G/1R accu COHERING
$CSW -2.7% 3.3%/day 3mo +33% $ 53M 5G/1R accu COHERING
$PBF -3.9% 5.9%/day 3mo +77% $ 203M 6G/6R accu COHERING
$WEX -4.0% 3.4%/day 3mo +43% $ 130M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$GFF -4.1% 3.3%/day 3mo +21% $ 30M 2G/2R accu COHERING
$CART -4.3% 3.3%/day 3mo +22% $ 151M 2G/2R accu COHERING
$DELL -4.5% 6.5%/day 3mo +98% $ 2315M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$ZD -4.6% 3.4%/day 3mo +36% $ 31M 6G/3R accu COHERING
$SKY -4.7% 3.3%/day 3mo +36% $ 49M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$CXW -5.9% 3.9%/day 3mo +54% $ 31M 6G/3R accu COHERING
$APH -6.4% 3.3%/day 3mo +29% $ 974M 4G/0R accu COHERING
$GPN -2.6% 3.4%/day 3mo +38% $ 260M 6G/2R accu MIXED
$FIVE -2.8% 3.5%/day 3mo +16% $ 213M 2G/1R neut MIXED
$HPQ -6.5% 4.4%/day 3mo +45% $ 382M 5G/2R accu MIXED
$PRGS -7.7% 3.6%/day 3mo +63% $ 18M 3G/0R accu MIXED
$ASML -7.8% 3.2%/day 3mo +16% $ 2437M 0G/0R neut MIXED
$CNC -2.7% 3.6%/day 3mo +15% $ 272M 5G/6R dist DIVERGING
$RGEN -5.1% 4.2%/day 3mo +61% $ 171M 0G/1R dist DIVERGING
$AIR -5.7% 4.4%/day 3mo +34% $ 49M 0G/1R dist DIVERGING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

$MOG.A -0.3% 3.3%/day 3mo +41% $ 106M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
$LPG -1.6% 3.7%/day 3mo +17% $ 27M 3G/5R dist DIVERGING
$NOV -1.9% 3.1%/day 3mo +3% $ 64M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING
$CNC -2.7% 3.6%/day 3mo +15% $ 272M 5G/6R dist DIVERGING
$RAL -4.1% 3.5%/day 3mo +18% $ 104M 4G/5R dist DIVERGING
$RGEN -5.1% 4.2%/day 3mo +61% $ 171M 0G/1R dist DIVERGING
$AIR -5.7% 4.4%/day 3mo +34% $ 49M 0G/1R dist DIVERGING
$TALO -7.5% 4.1%/day 3mo +3% $ 28M 6G/6R dist DIVERGING
$PARR -7.7% 5.5%/day 3mo +33% $ 83M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

$ECPG -0.0% 4.1%/day 3mo +27% $ 31M 5G/1R accu COHERING
$EXPE -0.2% 3.4%/day 3mo +53% $ 442M 5G/2R accu COHERING
$XNCR -0.5% 6.0%/day 3mo +89% $ 23M 5G/3R accu COHERING
$DINO -0.6% 3.7%/day 3mo +36% $ 272M 8G/5R accu COHERING
$FTI -0.8% 3.4%/day 3mo +8% $ 234M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$LQDT -0.8% 3.3%/day 3mo +30% $ 7M 4G/4R accu COHERING
$HP -1.0% 3.3%/day 3mo +12% $ 36M 3G/0R accu COHERING
$WHD -1.0% 3.6%/day 3mo +31% $ 47M 3G/2R accu COHERING
$SAIC -1.0% 3.0%/day 3mo +40% $ 48M 4G/0R accu COHERING
$TDW -1.1% 3.6%/day 3mo +15% $ 47M 3G/2R accu COHERING
$PRLB -1.2% 3.5%/day 3mo +28% $ 14M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$RVTY -1.3% 3.3%/day 3mo +21% $ 155M 7G/1R accu COHERING
$EMR -1.9% 3.0%/day 3mo +18% $ 445M 6G/1R accu COHERING
$SWK -2.5% 3.2%/day 3mo +32% $ 195M 3G/2R accu COHERING
$ZBRA -2.6% 3.3%/day 3mo +46% $ 258M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$CRL -2.8% 3.4%/day 3mo +76% $ 233M 5G/1R accu COHERING
$GKOS -2.8% 3.1%/day 3mo +34% $ 120M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$SABR -2.8% 6.2%/day 3mo +41% $ 7M 4G/2R accu COHERING
$RELY -3.1% 4.1%/day 3mo +13% $ 67M 5G/3R accu COHERING
$OII -3.3% 4.1%/day 3mo +35% $ 40M 2G/2R accu COHERING
$MTUS -3.4% 3.6%/day 3mo +22% $ 8M 6G/6R accu COHERING
$DXPE -3.4% 3.8%/day 3mo +32% $ 25M 3G/2R accu COHERING
$MLKN -3.6% 3.1%/day 3mo +60% $ 14M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$IRM -3.9% 3.3%/day 3mo +1% $ 212M 6G/3R accu COHERING
$NHC -3.9% 3.1%/day 3mo +13% $ 24M 6G/2R accu COHERING
$CNK -4.1% 3.2%/day 3mo +42% $ 86M 5G/1R accu COHERING
$AVT -4.3% 3.4%/day 3mo +10% $ 98M 5G/4R accu COHERING
$BIIB -4.5% 3.1%/day 3mo +10% $ 183M 3G/0R accu COHERING
$EPC -5.1% 3.8%/day 3mo +70% $ 16M 3G/0R accu COHERING
$DBX -5.2% 3.8%/day 3mo +31% $ 135M 6G/4R accu COHERING
$ETN -5.5% 3.5%/day 3mo +11% $ 779M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$NOVT -5.6% 4.0%/day 3mo +7% $ 58M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$NEO -5.8% 4.3%/day 3mo +91% $ 29M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$IQV -5.8% 3.0%/day 3mo +37% $ 281M 2G/0R accu COHERING
$ATI -6.2% 4.1%/day 3mo +41% $ 293M 3G/0R accu COHERING
$TFIN -6.3% 3.5%/day 3mo +22% $ 16M 1G/0R accu COHERING
$FSS -6.4% 3.0%/day 3mo +9% $ 48M 3G/1R accu COHERING
$SW -6.5% 3.6%/day 3mo +23% $ 208M 3G/2R accu COHERING
$EAT -6.5% 3.9%/day 3mo +73% $ 226M 3G/3R accu COHERING
$KWR -6.7% 3.4%/day 3mo +20% $ 23M 5G/3R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

$UMAC -2.5% 10.2%/day 3mo+101% $ 85M 4G/2R accu COHERING
$SNOW -3.8% 4.0%/day 3mo+118% $ 1425M 4G/1R accu COHERING
$FRO -4.4% 3.2%/day 3mo +11% $ 67M 4G/2R accu COHERING
$TVTX -6.2% 4.1%/day 3mo +39% $ 77M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$TWST -6.2% 7.0%/day 3mo+118% $ 125M 2G/1R accu COHERING
$COMP -6.7% 4.5%/day 3mo +60% $ 124M 3G/2R accu COHERING
$OSCR -1.5% 4.8%/day 3mo +42% $ 144M 4G/5R dist DIVERGING

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

$ZTG — 5/5 days
$AEHG — 5/5 days
$ABCL — 5/5 days
$RDWU — 5/5 days
$SMJF — 5/5 days
$VREX — 5/5 days
$KTUP — 5/5 days
$TEAM — 5/5 days
$NXTC — 5/5 days
$RCEL — 5/5 days
$OABI — 5/5 days
$LIFE — 5/5 days
$XHLD — 4/5 days
$QMCO — 4/5 days
$STKH — 4/5 days
$STIM — 4/5 days
$NIQ — 4/5 days
$BWMN — 4/5 days
$PTIR — 4/5 days
$PLTU — 4/5 days
$PLTG — 4/5 days
$VOYG — 4/5 days
$SGHT — 4/5 days
$HZO — 4/5 days ⭐ also coiling
$SENS — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $HP

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: 3G/0R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high; range contracting

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $CNC

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 5G/6R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

⚖️ Decisive vs Thin — why the count matters — $RVTY

A lopsided tally (e.g. 7G/0R) is decisive commitment; a 2G/2R or 1G/1R is NO read — not enough committed flow to validate either way. Trust decisive, skip thin. This name: 7G/1R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_0814 (26)

HP,XNCR,SABR,THC,WT,ROIV,BIO,VSEC,CSW,PBF,WEX,GFF,CART,DELL,ZD,SKY,CXW,APH,GPN,FIVE,HPQ,PRGS,ASML,CNC,RGEN,AIR

KC_Coils_D_0814 (50)

ECPG,EXPE,XNCR,DINO,FTI,LQDT,HP,WHD,SAIC,TDW,PRLB,RVTY,EMR,SWK,ZBRA,CRL,GKOS,SABR,RELY,OII,MTUS,DXPE,MLKN,IRM,NHC,CNK,AVT,BIIB,EPC,DBX,ETN,NOVT,NEO,IQV,ATI,TFIN,FSS,SW,EAT,KWR,HRMY,CROX,HSTM,FTNT,CHEF,MTRN,CCS,NBIS,ANET,SPHR

KC_Fakes_D_0814 (9)

CNC,RGEN,AIR,MOG/A,LPG,NOV,RAL,TALO,PARR

KC_OffIdx_D_0814 (7)

UMAC,SNOW,FRO,TVTX,TWST,COMP,OSCR

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.

Read № 63 · Friday, August 14, 2026