Kept & Counted

The raw record — kept verbatim as it shipped

Read № 40 · Tuesday, July 28, 2026

Keep Counting [Daily] — 2026-07-28 (Tue)

universe 1590 · latest daily bar 2026-07-28 (latest daily (today in-progress)) SETUP 1 · COILING 87 (cohering 47 / diverging 18) · FRESH_BREAK 2

🌐 REGIME — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

capitulation — don’t chase weakness; watch the ⭐ coils for the turn today 182↑ / 113↓ (4%+ day-movers) · 5-bar balance +0 · T2108 9% above 40-d MA ⚖️ Breadth divergence: POSITIVE — price made a lower low but breadth held a higher low — selling exhausting (turn watch)

⏫ What moved since last run (2026-07-27)

  • ⚠️ FLIPPED cohering→diverging (early distribution warning): $CNC (2G/3R), $MOG.A (1G/1R)
  • 🚀 BROKE OUT (setup→fresh): $WEX
  • ⬆️ GRADUATED coil→setup: $DBD
  • 🌀 new coil: $NDAQ, $PRG, $TPR, $HGV, $EPC, $BOX, $LPG, $MATW, $JBLU, $TDY, $MUSA, $ELAN, $AMG, $UFPT, $MTN, $TFIN, $HAE, $PHIN, $OSCR, $BIIB, $LAUR, $CASY, $KRYS, $HCSG, $HPQ, $COLM
  • ➖ dropped out: $ATI, $TXG, $WT, $VSXY, $TEX, $UFCS, $LNTH, $RAL, $WLY, $PARR, $THC, $LLY, $CW, $SW, $PRSU, $RNG, $KOP, $TKR, $CRS, $HSTM, $PRLB, $VAC, $PII, $ROIV, $FTRE

🚦 Gate — WASHOUT / OVERSOLD

Capitulation — these coils are TURN-WATCH, not chase-now. Size small, let the regime flip green before leaning in. ⚖️ Breadth divergence: POSITIVE — selling exhausting under a lower-low price; turn may be near. Watch the ⭐ coils.

⭐ Worth a real look

  • $DBD (-1.4% from high, 3%/day, +6% 3mo) — inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 7G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high
  • $CHEF (-2.6% from high, 3%/day, +53% 3mo) — 5G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $BLFS (-3.4% from high, 3%/day, +50% 3mo) — 3G/2R net accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $AIR (-4.1% from high, 4%/day, +27% 3mo) — 6G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; pressed to the high
  • $TFIN (-7.7% from high, 3%/day, +14% 3mo) — 7G/2R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; 8% off the high
  • $PRG (-5.6% from high, 4%/day, +43% 3mo) — 3G/3R net accumulation under a flat tape; 6% off the high; range contracting

⚠️ Clearest fakes — decisive distribution at the highs

  • $KRYS (-4.8% from high) — 4G/6R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $SNDR (-7.9% from high) — 2G/6R — supply leaving while 8% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $HCSG (-7.8% from high) — 1G/3R — supply leaving while 8% off the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit
  • $PTGX (-4.5% from high) — 3G/4R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🎯 SETUP — act-ready (inside bar pressed to box top)

  • $DBD -1.4% 3.3%/day 3mo +6% $ 23M 7G/3R accu COHERING

⚠️ DIVERGING — fake-coil risk (the don’t-buy list)

  • $MLKN -0.7% 4.1%/day 3mo +34% $ 16M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $CNXN -1.3% 3.0%/day 3mo +29% $ 11M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $PLUS -1.5% 3.7%/day 3mo +9% $ 20M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $EAT -2.3% 4.0%/day 3mo +43% $ 194M 4G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $M -3.6% 3.3%/day 3mo +25% $ 111M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $MOG.A -3.7% 3.2%/day 3mo +32% $ 111M 1G/1R dist DIVERGING
  • $PTGX -4.5% 4.1%/day 3mo +37% $ 83M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $KRYS -4.8% 4.0%/day 3mo +34% $ 115M 4G/6R dist DIVERGING
  • $GKOS -6.3% 3.6%/day 3mo +25% $ 104M 1G/2R dist DIVERGING
  • $RHI -6.5% 4.1%/day 3mo +54% $ 81M 3G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $COLM -6.6% 3.2%/day 3mo +7% $ 29M 4G/5R dist DIVERGING
  • $HZO -7.0% 3.6%/day 3mo +19% $ 9M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $IBKR -7.1% 3.4%/day 3mo +17% $ 403M 3G/7R dist DIVERGING
  • $LAUR -7.4% 3.2%/day 3mo +22% $ 42M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $UFPT -7.7% 4.0%/day 3mo +29% $ 53M 3G/4R dist DIVERGING
  • $HCSG -7.8% 3.1%/day 3mo +6% $ 16M 1G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $CNC -7.9% 3.4%/day 3mo +47% $ 294M 2G/3R dist DIVERGING
  • $SNDR -7.9% 3.4%/day 3mo +19% $ 28M 2G/6R dist DIVERGING

🌀 COILING — cohering, near highs (top 40)

  • $CNK -0.3% 3.4%/day 3mo +23% $ 73M 4G/0R accu COHERING
  • $TRN -0.6% 3.0%/day 3mo +20% $ 25M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $INSW -0.8% 4.1%/day 3mo +18% $ 40M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $ETSY -0.8% 3.8%/day 3mo +38% $ 200M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $BURL -0.9% 3.1%/day 3mo +12% $ 203M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $ACIW -0.9% 3.0%/day 3mo +39% $ 54M 4G/1R accu COHERING
  • $SAH -0.9% 3.5%/day 3mo +46% $ 22M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $CRL -0.9% 4.0%/day 3mo +42% $ 203M 8G/3R accu COHERING
  • $KTB -1.0% 3.3%/day 3mo +21% $ 60M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $XYZ -1.2% 3.1%/day 3mo +17% $ 365M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $ICUI -1.3% 3.1%/day 3mo +33% $ 38M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $SAIC -1.5% 3.2%/day 3mo +27% $ 48M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $MAN -1.9% 5.1%/day 3mo +88% $ 53M 2G/0R accu COHERING
  • $SWK -1.9% 3.2%/day 3mo +23% $ 118M 6G/4R accu COHERING
  • $BFH -1.9% 3.0%/day 3mo +25% $ 67M 5G/0R accu COHERING
  • $YETI -2.5% 3.2%/day 3mo +32% $ 50M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $BRKR -2.5% 3.6%/day 3mo +72% $ 112M 5G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CHEF -2.6% 3.4%/day 3mo +53% $ 38M 5G/3R accu COHERING
  • $MTUS -2.9% 3.3%/day 3mo +10% $ 7M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $CORT -2.9% 4.0%/day 3mo+104% $ 100M 9G/4R accu COHERING
  • $SMG -3.0% 3.2%/day 3mo +9% $ 51M 5G/5R accu COHERING
  • $PLMR -3.0% 3.7%/day 3mo +14% $ 40M 5G/2R accu COHERING
  • $ILMN -3.1% 3.5%/day 3mo +51% $ 320M 5G/4R accu COHERING
  • $BLFS -3.4% 3.4%/day 3mo +50% $ 20M 3G/2R accu COHERING
  • $IART -3.6% 3.8%/day 3mo +87% $ 16M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $MD -3.9% 3.0%/day 3mo +17% $ 19M 4G/2R accu COHERING
  • $AIR -4.1% 4.0%/day 3mo +27% $ 62M 6G/3R accu COHERING
  • $VCEL -4.2% 3.7%/day 3mo +31% $ 23M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $INDV -4.3% 3.2%/day 3mo +23% $ 62M 5G/3R accu COHERING
  • $PSMT -4.3% 3.2%/day 3mo +19% $ 56M 7G/5R accu COHERING
  • $AMN -4.4% 4.8%/day 3mo +70% $ 24M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $HGV -4.8% 3.0%/day 3mo +14% $ 50M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $MUSA -5.4% 3.1%/day 3mo +13% $ 157M 2G/2R accu COHERING
  • $HAE -5.5% 3.2%/day 3mo +38% $ 46M 3G/0R accu COHERING
  • $PRG -5.6% 3.7%/day 3mo +43% $ 19M 3G/3R accu COHERING
  • $XNCR -6.1% 5.9%/day 3mo +54% $ 16M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $CCS -6.2% 3.7%/day 3mo +19% $ 18M 4G/3R accu COHERING
  • $TDY -6.3% 3.5%/day 3mo +0% $ 210M 7G/4R accu COHERING
  • $BIIB -6.4% 3.4%/day 3mo +12% $ 244M 8G/3R accu COHERING
  • $IRM -6.7% 3.2%/day 3mo +8% $ 224M 3G/1R accu COHERING

⊕ Off-index operator radar — watch / learn (outside the indexes)

  • $LQDA -4.5% 5.9%/day 3mo+133% $ 103M 2G/1R accu COHERING
  • $SNOW -5.1% 4.6%/day 3mo +87% $ 1105M 1G/0R accu COHERING
  • $OSCR -5.1% 5.2%/day 3mo +83% $ 127M 3G/1R accu COHERING
  • $TVTX -7.0% 3.9%/day 3mo +38% $ 80M 4G/1R neut MIXED

🔥 Stockbee momentum — persistent bursts (3+ of last 5 days)

different pattern (1–5 day burst, not a coil) — watch/learn; ⭐ = also coiling in the cockpit

  • $FBRX — 5/5 days
  • $UTZ — 5/5 days
  • $NXTC — 5/5 days
  • $TRAX — 5/5 days
  • $AGEN — 5/5 days
  • $SSPC — 5/5 days
  • $SPCG — 5/5 days
  • $SNK — 5/5 days
  • $SPCQ — 5/5 days
  • $COAG — 5/5 days
  • $MAN — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $CRNX — 5/5 days
  • $PYPG — 5/5 days
  • $ATAI — 5/5 days
  • $RKLZ — 5/5 days
  • $IONZ — 5/5 days
  • $SNAL — 5/5 days
  • $XNCR — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $VSTM — 5/5 days
  • $PARR — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $PBF — 5/5 days ⭐ also coiling
  • $ADVB — 4/5 days
  • $SKYQ — 4/5 days
  • $QBTZ — 4/5 days
  • $BWET — 4/5 days

📚 Pattern lesson — learn by example

one clean live instance of each archetype; charts saved to the Pattern Guide Plates library

📈 Cohering Coil — real accumulation — $DBD

Tight box pressed to the high with green caps dominating: institutions buying INTO the pause. Structure (coil) and commitment (caps) AGREE → the roof is being validated. This name: inside-bar trigger cocked at the box top; 7G/3R decisive accumulation under a flat tape; glued to the high

🎭 Fake-Coil — distribution in disguise — $KRYS

Looks identical to a real coil on price — tight, near the high — but the caps under it are RED. Supply leaving while price hovers. Structure says coil, commitment says exit. The trap. This name: 4G/6R — supply leaving while pressed to the high; structure says coil, commitment says exit

🚫 Extended — what we do NOT chase — $OGN

Already ran far from the 40-MA (high ATR-extension): the obvious move everyone sees, edge gone, prone to the pullback. We surface the pre-obvious coil, not this. This name: +106.9 ATR above the 200d — -0.6% off high but already extended

📋 ThinkOrSwim watchlists — copy/paste (create a new watchlist, paste the line)

KC_Focus_D_0728 (6)

DBD,CHEF,BLFS,AIR,TFIN,PRG

KC_Coils_D_0728 (47)

CNK,TRN,INSW,ETSY,BURL,ACIW,SAH,CRL,KTB,XYZ,ICUI,SAIC,MAN,SWK,BFH,YETI,BRKR,CHEF,MTUS,CORT,SMG,PLMR,ILMN,BLFS,IART,MD,AIR,VCEL,INDV,PSMT,AMN,HGV,MUSA,HAE,PRG,XNCR,CCS,TDY,BIIB,IRM,MATW,TPR,PHIN,LPG,CASY,JBLU,TFIN

KC_Fakes_D_0728 (18)

MLKN,CNXN,PLUS,EAT,M,MOG/A,PTGX,KRYS,GKOS,RHI,COLM,HZO,IBKR,LAUR,UFPT,HCSG,CNC,SNDR

KC_OffIdx_D_0728 (4)

LQDA,SNOW,OSCR,TVTX

aG/bR = green vs red caps in the box (commitment). COHERING = structure + commitment agree · DIVERGING = distribution under a coil near highs.